Buffalo
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
677  Kara Patrick SO 21:11
1,049  Samantha Beim SR 21:37
1,080  Shelby Janutol SR 21:40
1,283  Katilin McCadden FR 21:53
1,359  Emma Denton SR 21:57
1,437  Katherine Sanders SR 22:03
1,666  Gabrielle Leo SO 22:18
1,970  Alyssa Drapeau FR 22:36
1,979  Christina Clarkin SO 22:36
2,035  Hilary Swartwood JR 22:41
2,385  Danielle Vazquez FR 23:05
2,461  Caitlin Curry SR 23:11
3,110  Kesley Fitzgerald SR 24:16
3,513  Molly Halpin SO 25:34
National Rank #163 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #20 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 85.6%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kara Patrick Samantha Beim Shelby Janutol Katilin McCadden Emma Denton Katherine Sanders Gabrielle Leo Alyssa Drapeau Christina Clarkin Hilary Swartwood Danielle Vazquez
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 1238 21:51 21:34 21:46 21:57 22:44 22:18 22:36 22:38 23:11
Princeton Invitational (I) 10/13 1239 21:45 21:35 21:52 21:59 22:27 22:08 22:43
Princeton Invitational (II) 10/13 1449 22:35 23:06
Mid-American Conference Championships 10/27 1200 21:14 21:25 21:46 21:47 21:53 21:27 22:18 22:24 22:31
Northeast Region Championships 11/09 1204 21:08 21:27 21:48 22:11 22:00 21:38 22:28





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 18.0 575 0.1 1.0 13.5 14.9 15.5 15.3 14.5 11.0 8.3 3.9 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kara Patrick 82.9
Samantha Beim 112.4
Shelby Janutol 114.9
Katilin McCadden 131.1
Emma Denton 136.3
Katherine Sanders 143.4
Gabrielle Leo 162.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 1.0% 1.0 14
15 13.5% 13.5 15
16 14.9% 14.9 16
17 15.5% 15.5 17
18 15.3% 15.3 18
19 14.5% 14.5 19
20 11.0% 11.0 20
21 8.3% 8.3 21
22 3.9% 3.9 22
23 1.5% 1.5 23
24 0.5% 0.5 24
25 0.1% 0.1 25
26 0.1% 0.1 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0