Iowa State
Men
-
Women
2011
-
2012 -
2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
1 |
Betsy Saina |
SR |
18:59 |
11 |
Meaghan Nelson |
SR |
19:21 |
87 |
Samantha Bluske |
JR |
19:58 |
124 |
Crystal Nelson |
|
20:07 |
149 |
Katy Moen |
SO |
20:15 |
307 |
Taylor Petersen |
SR |
20:36 |
446 |
Colleen Riley |
FR |
20:52 |
493 |
Maddy Becker |
SO |
20:57 |
511 |
Bethany Olson |
JR |
20:59 |
639 |
Maggie Gannon |
SO |
21:09 |
752 |
Anna Buenneke |
JR |
21:17 |
984 |
Emily Meese |
JR |
21:33 |
1,265 |
Andrea Toppin |
FR |
21:51 |
1,717 |
Erin Valenti |
FR |
22:20 |
|
National Champion |
3.2% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
43.9% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
84.7% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
99.6% |
Regional Champion |
94.2% |
Top 5 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Betsy Saina |
Meaghan Nelson |
Samantha Bluske |
Crystal Nelson |
Katy Moen |
Taylor Petersen |
Colleen Riley |
Maddy Becker |
Bethany Olson |
Maggie Gannon |
Anna Buenneke |
Roy Griak Invitational |
09/29 |
252 |
19:07 |
19:15 |
19:49 |
20:11 |
20:01 |
20:35 |
20:53 |
20:58 |
20:47 |
21:03 |
21:18 |
Wisconsin adidas Invitational |
10/12 |
187 |
19:09 |
19:18 |
19:47 |
19:43 |
20:00 |
20:33 |
|
|
21:04 |
|
|
Big 12 Championships |
10/27 |
316 |
19:17 |
19:20 |
20:00 |
19:56 |
20:27 |
20:38 |
20:41 |
|
21:04 |
21:17 |
21:16 |
Midwest Region Championships |
11/09 |
393 |
18:52 |
19:35 |
20:12 |
20:11 |
20:29 |
20:32 |
20:54 |
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NCAA Championship |
11/17 |
438 |
18:50 |
19:22 |
20:10 |
20:46 |
20:22 |
20:47 |
21:02 |
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|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
100% |
6.7 |
262 |
3.2 |
7.9 |
10.3 |
10.7 |
11.8 |
11.1 |
9.8 |
7.7 |
6.5 |
5.6 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
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|
Region Championship |
100% |
1.1 |
50 |
94.2 |
5.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Betsy Saina |
100% |
2.5 |
25.1 |
18.5 |
12.3 |
10.2 |
7.5 |
5.4 |
4.4 |
3.5 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Meaghan Nelson |
100% |
14.3 |
0.4 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
Samantha Bluske |
100% |
85.8 |
|
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Crystal Nelson |
100% |
108.8 |
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0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
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|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
Katy Moen |
100% |
130.3 |
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0.0 |
|
0.0 |
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Taylor Petersen |
100% |
186.7 |
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Colleen Riley |
100% |
218.3 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Betsy Saina |
1.0 |
55.6 |
31.2 |
10.5 |
2.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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Meaghan Nelson |
3.2 |
1.5 |
12.9 |
29.3 |
31.2 |
13.6 |
6.3 |
2.7 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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Samantha Bluske |
10.4 |
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0.0 |
0.5 |
3.3 |
5.1 |
7.7 |
9.2 |
10.0 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
9.8 |
7.5 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
Crystal Nelson |
13.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
4.0 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
8.9 |
8.2 |
7.7 |
6.6 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
Katy Moen |
17.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
4.8 |
6.4 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
5.6 |
5.0 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
Taylor Petersen |
31.1 |
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0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
Colleen Riley |
47.1 |
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0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
NCAA Championship Selection Detail
|
|
|
|
Total |
|
Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
94.2% |
100.0% |
94.2 |
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94.2 |
|
1 |
2 |
5.3% |
100.0% |
|
5.3 |
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5.3 |
|
2 |
3 |
0.4% |
100.0% |
| |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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0.4 |
3 |
4 |
0.1% |
100.0% |
| |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.1 |
4 |
5 |
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| |
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5 |
6 |
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| |
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6 |
7 |
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| |
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7 |
8 |
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8 |
9 |
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| |
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9 |
10 |
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| |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
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Total |
100% |
100.0% |
94.2 |
5.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
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0.0 |
99.6 |
0.4 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Received By Beating | Chance Received | Average If >0 | Average |
Duke |
100.0% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Providence |
99.9% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Weber State |
99.6% |
2.0 |
2.0 |
Stanford |
99.3% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Penn State |
99.0% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Arizona |
98.5% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Minnesota |
98.0% |
2.0 |
2.0 |
New Mexico |
98.0% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Washington |
97.8% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Connecticut |
97.5% |
2.0 |
2.0 |
Cornell |
97.4% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Michigan State |
97.3% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Notre Dame |
95.3% |
1.0 |
1.0 |
Texas |
94.9% |
1.0 |
0.9 |
Vanderbilt |
87.8% |
1.0 |
0.9 |
Toledo |
71.9% |
1.0 |
0.7 |
Boston College |
68.1% |
1.0 |
0.7 |
North Carolina St. |
53.9% |
1.0 |
0.5 |
Oklahoma State |
40.6% |
1.0 |
0.4 |
UCLA |
39.1% |
1.0 |
0.4 |
San Francisco |
27.7% |
1.0 |
0.3 |
Yale |
24.0% |
1.0 |
0.2 |
Princeton |
14.9% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Wisconsin |
12.8% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Georgia |
10.8% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Northwestern |
7.9% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Dartmouth |
7.5% |
1.0 |
0.1 |
Syracuse |
3.7% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
North Carolina |
2.9% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
BYU |
2.8% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Harvard |
2.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Colorado St. |
1.2% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Brown |
0.5% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Baylor |
0.5% |
2.0 |
0.0 |
Ohio State |
0.4% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
West Virginia |
0.2% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Indiana |
0.2% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Columbia |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Iowa |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
James Madison |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Portland |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Texas A&M |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Virginia |
0.1% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Northern Arizona |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Cal Poly |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
Boise State |
0.0% |
1.0 |
0.0 |
|
Total |
|
|
21.5 |
|
Minimum |
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|
15.0 |
Maximum |
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|
27.0 |