Northwestern
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
158  Lexie Goldsmith JR 20:17
196  Michelle Moriset JR 20:22
213  Audrey Huth SR 20:24
413  Sophie Ewald SR 20:49
459  Ann Powers JR 20:53
551  Libby Kocha JR 21:02
613  Lauren Neuschel SR 21:07
675  Megan O'Brien FR 21:11
719  Abby Tracy SR 21:14
735  Allison Jacobsen FR 21:16
757  Jessie Baloga FR 21:17
771  Camille Blackman FR 21:18
810  Ashley Greenwell SR 21:21
891  Moira Ryan SR 21:26
1,010  Nicole Oliver JR 21:35
1,052  Janelle Li-A-Ping SR 21:37
1,131  Julia Buford JR 21:43
1,148  Mallory Abel FR 21:44
1,308  Allegra Mayer SR 21:54
1,322  Elena Barham FR 21:55
1,618  Rachel Weathered FR 22:14
2,002  Allison Naval FR 22:38
2,371  Elizabeth Fierro SO 23:04
2,584  Charlotte ter Haar JR 23:22
2,765  Angela Henry SR 23:36
2,818  Erica Grubbs FR 23:41
3,135  Kayleen Mc Monigal SO 24:20
National Rank #46 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #4 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 14.9%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 2.0%


Regional Champion 0.1%
Top 5 in Regional 88.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Lexie Goldsmith Michelle Moriset Audrey Huth Sophie Ewald Ann Powers Libby Kocha Lauren Neuschel Megan O'Brien Abby Tracy Allison Jacobsen Jessie Baloga
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 755 20:35 20:30 20:00 20:32 20:55
Sean Earl Loyola Lakefront Invitational 09/29 1141 21:14 21:12 21:00 21:16 21:18
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/12 754 20:28 20:23 19:52 20:51 21:14 20:58
Bradley Classic 10/12 1243
Big Ten Championships 10/28 811 20:51 20:16 20:22 20:46 20:40 21:00 21:18 22:39
Midwest Region Championships 11/09 824 19:52 20:20 24:38 21:22 21:20 21:03 20:44





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 14.9% 26.1 603 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.4 2.1 2.5
Region Championship 100% 4.2 157 0.1 5.8 19.8 44.0 18.6 7.4 3.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexie Goldsmith 15.0% 110.8
Michelle Moriset 14.9% 127.0
Audrey Huth 14.9% 130.3
Sophie Ewald 14.9% 197.7
Ann Powers 14.9% 207.3
Libby Kocha 14.9% 221.9
Lauren Neuschel 14.9% 228.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Lexie Goldsmith 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.3 4.2 4.5 5.9 5.6 6.1 6.2 6.5 6.4 5.6 5.8 4.1 4.0 4.1 3.6
Michelle Moriset 20.7 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.6 3.2 3.5 4.6 5.3 5.4 5.8 5.5 5.5 5.5 4.8 4.9 4.5 4.5
Audrey Huth 22.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.8 2.7 3.0 3.3 4.3 3.9 4.8 5.4 6.1 5.6 5.3 5.5 4.7 4.5
Sophie Ewald 43.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9
Ann Powers 48.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7
Libby Kocha 61.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
Lauren Neuschel 67.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 1
2 5.8% 100.0% 5.8 5.8 2
3 19.8% 31.4% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.4 13.6 6.2 3
4 44.0% 5.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 41.7 2.3 4
5 18.6% 1.9% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 18.3 0.4 5
6 7.4% 7.4 6
7 3.0% 3.0 7
8 0.8% 0.8 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 0.0% 0.0 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 14.9% 0.1 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 85.1 6.0 8.9




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
SMU 23.6% 1.0 0.2
Princeton 14.9% 1.0 0.1
Wisconsin 12.8% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 7.5% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina 2.9% 2.0 0.1
Colorado St. 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Illinois 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Indiana 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Iowa 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Virginia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0