Tulsa
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
215  Sarah Macpherson SR 20:24
393  Josie Wilcox JR 20:47
429  Erin Huddleston SR 20:51
460  Brandi Krieg SO 20:53
522  Ashley Scott SR 21:00
557  Melanie Hughes SR 21:03
667  Lauren Collette SO 21:11
925  Natasha Cockram SO 21:28
1,007  Olivia O'Hare FR 21:34
1,224  Lacey Erickson SO 21:49
National Rank #71 of 339
Midwest Region Rank #8 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.7%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 44.1%
Top 10 in Regional 97.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Macpherson Josie Wilcox Erin Huddleston Brandi Krieg Ashley Scott Melanie Hughes Lauren Collette Natasha Cockram Olivia O'Hare Lacey Erickson
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 09/28 892 20:09 20:51 20:41 20:58 21:08 20:55 21:24
Pre-Nationals Meet (Red) 10/13 1002 20:38 20:50 20:49 21:02 21:15 21:04 21:10
Pre-Nationals Meet (Black) 10/13 21:49
Conference USA Championships 10/29 964 20:25 20:54 21:04 20:51 20:52 21:11 21:08 21:35 21:18
Midwest Region Championships 11/09 945 20:31 20:53 20:40 20:42 21:18 21:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.7% 29.0 687 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7
Region Championship 100% 6.0 216 0.5 3.3 13.4 26.9 24.0 16.8 7.9 3.5 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Macpherson 1.7% 112.0
Josie Wilcox 1.7% 175.8
Erin Huddleston 1.7% 181.8
Brandi Krieg 1.7% 188.3
Ashley Scott 1.7% 207.3
Melanie Hughes 1.7% 212.8
Lauren Collette 1.7% 225.8


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Macpherson 22.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.7 3.2 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.5 5.0 5.2 5.1 5.4 5.3 4.9 4.4
Josie Wilcox 41.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.7
Erin Huddleston 45.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.0
Brandi Krieg 48.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.7
Ashley Scott 57.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3
Melanie Hughes 60.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Lauren Collette 73.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.5% 100.0% 0.5 0.5 2
3 3.3% 29.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3 1.0 3
4 13.4% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.3 0.1 4
5 26.9% 0.4% 0.0 0.1 26.8 0.1 5
6 24.0% 24.0 6
7 16.8% 16.8 7
8 7.9% 7.9 8
9 3.5% 3.5 9
10 1.7% 1.7 10
11 1.1% 1.1 11
12 0.5% 0.5 12
13 0.3% 0.3 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 0.0% 0.0 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 1.7% 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 98.3 0.5 1.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Ohio U. 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0