Montana
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
791  Reagan Colyer FR 21:19
957  Sarah Hastings FR 21:31
1,201  Lauryn Wate FR 21:46
1,257  Keli Dennehy JR 21:49
1,318  Allie Parks JR 21:54
1,523  Carly Wilczynski JR 22:05
1,617  Heather Fraley JR 22:11
National Rank #182 of 340
Mountain Region Rank #16 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Reagan Colyer Sarah Hastings Lauryn Wate Keli Dennehy Allie Parks Carly Wilczynski Heather Fraley
Montana Open 10/04 1193 21:23 21:28 21:01 22:09 21:59
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/19 1224 21:24 21:36 21:44 21:54 22:03 22:36 22:00
Big Sky Championships 11/01 1214 21:14 21:37 21:45 21:43 21:49 21:55 22:11
Mountain Region Championships 11/15 1209 21:15 21:19 21:49 21:53 22:03 21:51 22:36





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 15.2 410 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 3.1 9.2 20.9 23.0 18.4 12.8 7.7 3.0



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reagan Colyer 60.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sarah Hastings 74.0 0.0
Lauryn Wate 89.5
Keli Dennehy 93.0
Allie Parks 97.0
Carly Wilczynski 105.8
Heather Fraley 109.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.0% 0.0 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 0.5% 0.5 10
11 1.0% 1.0 11
12 3.1% 3.1 12
13 9.2% 9.2 13
14 20.9% 20.9 14
15 23.0% 23.0 15
16 18.4% 18.4 16
17 12.8% 12.8 17
18 7.7% 7.7 18
19 3.0% 3.0 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0