Rider
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
832  Megan Elgin SR 21:22
1,035  Nicolette Mateescu SO 21:35
1,729  Megan McGarrity FR 22:18
2,730  Josephine Boyle JR 23:26
2,782  Stephanie Welte SO 23:31
3,203  Katie Williams SR 24:20
3,218  Vanessa Rappold SO 24:23
3,467  Gabrielle Randell SR 25:10
3,645  Kaitlyn Mosser SO 26:10
National Rank #248 of 340
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #28 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 27th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 2.4%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Megan Elgin Nicolette Mateescu Megan McGarrity Josephine Boyle Stephanie Welte Katie Williams Vanessa Rappold Gabrielle Randell Kaitlyn Mosser
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Brown) 10/05 1320 21:20 21:16 22:20 23:58 24:11 26:31 26:59
Princeton Invitational 10/19 1329 21:24 22:03 22:24 23:37 24:11 24:10 25:25
MAAC Championships 11/01 1297 21:28 21:29 22:21 23:39 23:22 25:12 23:56 24:16 25:45
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/15 1268 21:16 21:35 22:06 22:57 23:16 24:26





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 26.8 746 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.2 3.5 4.8 6.8 9.6 12.2 15.0 14.1 13.4 9.4 5.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Megan Elgin 75.1 0.0 0.0
Nicolette Mateescu 92.9
Megan McGarrity 150.2
Josephine Boyle 212.9
Stephanie Welte 216.5
Katie Williams 237.1
Vanessa Rappold 237.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.3% 0.3 18
19 0.6% 0.6 19
20 1.4% 1.4 20
21 2.2% 2.2 21
22 3.5% 3.5 22
23 4.8% 4.8 23
24 6.8% 6.8 24
25 9.6% 9.6 25
26 12.2% 12.2 26
27 15.0% 15.0 27
28 14.1% 14.1 28
29 13.4% 13.4 29
30 9.4% 9.4 30
31 5.2% 5.2 31
32 1.3% 1.3 32
33 0.1% 0.1 33
34 0.0% 0.0 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0