Southern Utah
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
744  Shelli Mogensen SR 21:16
972  Dayna VanArsdol SR 21:32
1,122  Aubrey Bryson SO 21:40
1,176  Ashley Hawks SO 21:44
1,320  Rachel Stone FR 21:54
1,336  Sierra Malm FR 21:55
1,363  Morgan Vorwaller FR 21:57
1,480  Lakyn Miller SO 22:03
1,481  Kaylee Boyer SO 22:03
1,664  Josie Brandow FR 22:14
2,207  Brandy Petersen SO 22:48
2,640  Jasmyn Hildebrandt SO 23:17
National Rank #175 of 340
Mountain Region Rank #15 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 2.1%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Shelli Mogensen Dayna VanArsdol Aubrey Bryson Ashley Hawks Rachel Stone Sierra Malm Morgan Vorwaller Lakyn Miller Kaylee Boyer Josie Brandow Brandy Petersen
UNLV Cross Country Invitational 09/28 1225 21:32 21:36 21:40 22:49 21:47 22:02 22:05 22:22 21:56 21:57 22:26
Color Country Invitational 10/04 22:05 21:53 22:57
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/04 1223 21:20 21:39 22:48 21:54 21:56 22:10 21:58
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/19 1229 21:29 21:39 21:51 21:58 22:05 22:04 21:53 22:47
Big Sky Championships 11/01 1194 21:15 21:27 21:31 21:28 22:03 21:56 21:34 22:09
Mountain Region Championships 11/15 1156 20:51 21:23 21:22 21:36 21:44 21:35 21:55





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.6 392 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 3.1 5.9 14.0 25.6 20.5 13.5 9.0 4.9 1.3



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shelli Mogensen 57.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1
Dayna VanArsdol 75.3 0.0
Aubrey Bryson 84.2
Ashley Hawks 87.7
Rachel Stone 96.9
Sierra Malm 97.9
Morgan Vorwaller 99.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.0% 0.0 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.2% 0.2 8
9 0.7% 0.7 9
10 1.2% 1.2 10
11 3.1% 3.1 11
12 5.9% 5.9 12
13 14.0% 14.0 13
14 25.6% 25.6 14
15 20.5% 20.5 15
16 13.5% 13.5 16
17 9.0% 9.0 17
18 4.9% 4.9 18
19 1.3% 1.3 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0