UNC-Wilmington
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,474  Ashley Wybersky SR 22:02
1,559  Haley Kapheim SR 22:08
1,590  Rachel Quinn JR 22:10
1,663  Michaela Moran SO 22:14
2,309  Kim Black JR 22:56
2,338  Dakota Foskey SO 22:58
2,710  Hannah Riordan FR 23:24
2,753  Sarah Alexander SO 23:28
2,922  Sarah Goodnight FR 23:43
3,434  Parker Navarro FR 25:02
3,521  Allison Worsdale FR 25:28
National Rank #236 of 340
Southeast Region Rank #34 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 32nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ashley Wybersky Haley Kapheim Rachel Quinn Michaela Moran Kim Black Dakota Foskey Hannah Riordan Sarah Alexander Sarah Goodnight Parker Navarro Allison Worsdale
Mason Invitational 10/05 1288 22:09 22:38 22:26 22:40 23:05 25:01
Blue Ridge Open 10/18 1280 21:55 22:15 22:07 22:16 23:23 23:14 23:27 23:27 23:20 24:25 25:27
CAA Championships 11/02 1263 22:30 21:48 22:01 22:10 22:47 22:54 23:25 23:44 25:46
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 1273 21:52 22:21 22:15 22:18 23:03 22:59 23:31





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 31.3 922 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 4.6 5.7 8.4 11.1 12.6



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ashley Wybersky 159.3
Haley Kapheim 169.9
Rachel Quinn 172.9
Michaela Moran 181.3
Kim Black 243.3
Dakota Foskey 245.1
Hannah Riordan 264.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 0.0% 0.0 20
21 0.0% 0.0 21
22 0.1% 0.1 22
23 0.2% 0.2 23
24 0.6% 0.6 24
25 1.5% 1.5 25
26 3.0% 3.0 26
27 4.6% 4.6 27
28 5.7% 5.7 28
29 8.4% 8.4 29
30 11.1% 11.1 30
31 12.6% 12.6 31
32 15.1% 15.1 32
33 14.4% 14.4 33
34 11.8% 11.8 34
35 7.6% 7.6 35
36 2.5% 2.5 36
37 0.5% 0.5 37
38 0.2% 0.2 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0