Minnesota
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
77  Laura Docherty SR 19:56
89  Molly Kayfes JR 20:00
123  Maggie Bollig SR 20:09
179  Katie Moraczewski SR 20:19
241  Kelli Budd SR 20:28
247  Becca Dyson SO 20:29
258  Rachel Drake SR 20:31
278  Liz Berkholtz SO 20:33
373  Kaila Urick SO 20:45
379  Kait Mincke SR 20:46
522  Kate Bucknam SO 20:59
568  Haley Johnson FR 21:03
883  Jamie Vandenberg SR 21:26
891  Taylor Mikkalson FR 21:26
1,010  Katie Hill SR 21:34
1,049  Andie Zeman SO 21:36
1,148  Cassy Opitz SR 21:42
1,180  Anne Ferguson SO 21:44
1,186  Jillian Johnson JR 21:45
1,196  Hannah Trasser SO 21:45
1,200  Stacey Swatek SO 21:45
1,237  Melissa Cabak FR 21:48
1,300  Lauren Domski SO 21:52
1,311  Chelsea Pettit JR 21:53
1,401  Stephanie Solfelt SR 21:59
2,519  Megan Bailey SO 23:07
National Rank #20 of 340
Midwest Region Rank #2 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Nationals


National Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at Nationals 3.2%
Top 10 at Nationals 16.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 74.0%


Regional Champion 30.5%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Laura Docherty Molly Kayfes Maggie Bollig Katie Moraczewski Kelli Budd Becca Dyson Rachel Drake Liz Berkholtz Kaila Urick Kait Mincke Kate Bucknam
Roy Griak Invitational 09/28 433 19:48 20:08 20:05 19:57 20:30 20:37 20:21 20:24 20:37 20:51 21:00
SDSU Classic 10/04 532 20:13 20:07 20:08 20:14 20:20 20:33 20:36 20:46 20:52 20:48 20:58
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 502 20:02 20:00 20:20 20:14 21:11 20:21 20:43 20:14 20:44
Big Ten Championships 11/03 471 19:49 19:55 20:09 20:44 20:15 20:26 20:28 20:30 20:39
Midwest Region Championships 11/15 496 20:03 19:47 20:01 20:31 20:51 20:23 20:46
NCAA Championship 11/23 526 19:49 20:15 20:12 20:23 20:15 20:41 20:42





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100.0% 16.6 427 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.4 3.1 3.4 4.1 4.1 5.3 5.5 6.5 5.9 7.5 6.0 6.9 6.2 6.0 4.4 3.9 3.3 2.6 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3
Region Championship 100% 1.7 65 30.5 69.0 0.4 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Laura Docherty 100.0% 76.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2
Molly Kayfes 100.0% 87.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Maggie Bollig 100.0% 109.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Katie Moraczewski 100.0% 138.3 0.0
Kelli Budd 100.0% 165.3
Becca Dyson 100.0% 167.5
Rachel Drake 100.0% 173.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Laura Docherty 5.7 2.3 6.0 9.5 12.0 12.4 11.2 9.1 7.4 5.7 5.3 4.7 3.1 2.5 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Molly Kayfes 7.3 1.0 3.0 6.2 8.5 9.9 10.8 8.3 8.1 8.3 6.0 5.5 4.9 4.2 3.0 2.7 2.2 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1
Maggie Bollig 11.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.1 4.3 5.7 6.3 7.6 6.7 6.6 6.7 6.5 5.9 6.4 4.9 4.7 3.7 3.7 2.4 2.7 1.9 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.9
Katie Moraczewski 16.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.9 3.0 3.2 4.0 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.9 5.4 4.8 4.9 4.6 4.5 3.3 3.3 2.8
Kelli Budd 23.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.6 3.9 4.0 4.8 4.9 4.0 5.2 4.5 4.4 4.1
Becca Dyson 23.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 2.9 3.4 3.7 3.6 4.2 4.9 4.0 4.4 4.9 4.7 3.9
Rachel Drake 25.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.6 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.0 4.1 5.1 4.5 4.6 4.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 30.5% 100.0% 30.5 30.5 1
2 69.0% 100.0% 69.0 69.0 2
3 0.4% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3
4 4
5 0.0% 0.0 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 100.0% 30.5 69.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6 0.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Iowa State 100.0% 1.0 1.0
Washington 94.2% 1.0 0.9
San Francisco 91.9% 1.0 0.9
Cornell 80.6% 1.0 0.8
Syracuse 75.6% 2.0 1.5
Notre Dame 74.1% 1.0 0.7
Vanderbilt 73.9% 2.0 1.5
Indiana 70.1% 2.0 1.4
Texas A&M 56.7% 1.0 0.6
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
Harvard 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Wisconsin 35.7% 2.0 0.7
Arizona State 33.7% 2.0 0.7
Boston College 31.0% 1.0 0.3
Florida 29.1% 1.0 0.3
BYU 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Texas 8.2% 1.0 0.1
Duke 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.1% 2.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 4.8% 2.0 0.1
Columbia 1.5% 1.0 0.0
UC Davis 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 12.7
Minimum 3.0
Maximum 21.0