Texas A&M
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
37  Karis Jochen JR 19:44
430  Arin Rice SO 20:48
737  Kelsey Persyn SO 21:15
820  Haley Deakins JR 21:21
1,021  Katie Watson SR 21:36
1,032  Katie Pia JR 21:37
1,165  Kaitlin Tanner FR 21:47
1,231  Emily Willingham JR 21:51
1,241  Laura Craig JR 21:52
1,256  Devin Norton SO 21:53
1,269  Hannah Campbell FR 21:53
1,475  Lauren Fontana JR 22:08
National Rank #75 of 339
South Central Region Rank #4 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 8.2%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 56.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Karis Jochen Arin Rice Kelsey Persyn Haley Deakins Katie Watson Katie Pia Kaitlin Tanner Emily Willingham Laura Craig Devin Norton Hannah Campbell
Texas A&M Invitational 09/26 947 19:46 20:48 21:20 21:22 22:22 21:22 21:24 21:46 21:36 21:31 21:33
Joe Piane Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/02 996 19:57 21:00 21:36 21:05 21:49 21:48 21:53 22:08
HBU Invite 10/09 1268 21:56
Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational 10/16 922 19:42 20:40 21:14 21:28 21:22 21:35 22:35 21:58 21:57 22:06
SEC Championships 10/30 976 19:41 21:02 21:22 21:27 21:34 21:42 21:43 22:14 22:24 21:48
South Central Region Championships 11/13 1034 20:01 21:10 21:34 21:28 21:51 21:48 22:06
NCAA Championship 11/21 19:39





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 8.2% 30.4 767 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 5.2
Region Championship 100% 5.0 167 8.2 13.3 16.5 18.8 20.3 20.8 2.0 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karis Jochen 98.5% 45.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.7
Arin Rice 8.7% 186.5
Kelsey Persyn 8.2% 230.8
Haley Deakins 8.2% 236.7
Katie Watson 8.2% 246.2
Katie Pia 8.2% 246.6
Kaitlin Tanner 8.2% 249.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Karis Jochen 2.5 3.3 33.3 24.5 15.7 9.3 5.5 3.3 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arin Rice 24.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.2 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.6 3.8 5.0 4.4 4.7 5.2 4.3 4.3
Kelsey Persyn 40.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
Haley Deakins 45.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5
Katie Watson 55.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Katie Pia 57.0 0.0 0.0
Kaitlin Tanner 63.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 8.2% 100.0% 8.2 8.2 2
3 13.3% 13.3 3
4 16.5% 16.5 4
5 18.8% 18.8 5
6 20.3% 20.3 6
7 20.8% 20.8 7
8 2.0% 2.0 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2 91.8 8.2 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Stephen F. Austin 9.1% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0