North Carolina
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
157  Morgan Ilse SO 20:12
536  Mady Clahane FR 20:59
823  Blair Ramsey FR 21:20
913  Erin Edmundson FR 21:27
1,029  Blake Dodge SO 21:33
National Rank #94 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #15 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.7%
Top 10 in Regional 10.1%
Top 20 in Regional 99.7%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Morgan Ilse Mady Clahane Blair Ramsey Erin Edmundson Blake Dodge
adidas Challenge 09/16 699 19:50 20:53 20:42 21:26 21:39
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 972 19:55 21:02 20:56 21:33 21:22
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 1052 20:13 20:58 21:15 21:49 22:10
ACC Championships 10/28 1041 20:08 21:06 22:40 21:22 21:13
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 1099 20:37 21:00 21:54 21:04 21:40





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 13.8 381 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.3 4.4 8.3 12.2 15.2 14.7 13.4 9.9 6.9 5.3 2.9 0.9 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Ilse 4.7% 85.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Ilse 18.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.7 4.0 3.2 4.3 4.8 3.8 4.7 4.8 5.0 4.4 5.8 5.3 5.4 4.1 3.8 3.3 3.0
Mady Clahane 58.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
Blair Ramsey 87.8
Erin Edmundson 99.7
Blake Dodge 111.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.3% 0.3 4
5 0.4% 0.4 5
6 0.6% 0.6 6
7 0.9% 0.9 7
8 1.4% 1.4 8
9 2.3% 2.3 9
10 4.4% 4.4 10
11 8.3% 8.3 11
12 12.2% 12.2 12
13 15.2% 15.2 13
14 14.7% 14.7 14
15 13.4% 13.4 15
16 9.9% 9.9 16
17 6.9% 6.9 17
18 5.3% 5.3 18
19 2.9% 2.9 19
20 0.9% 0.9 20
21 0.3% 0.3 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wake Forest 2.4% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0