Arkansas
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
78  Nikki Hiltz SR 19:51
80  Taylor Werner SO 19:51
81  Carina Viljoen SO 19:51
96  Lauren Gregory FR 19:57
116  Therese Haiss SR 20:00
147  Devin Clark JR 20:07
150  Ashton Endsley FR 20:08
206  Sydney Brown JR 20:17
321  Maddy Reed SO 20:33
489  Alex Ritchey FR 20:50
670  Ruth Wiggins FR 21:06
1,003  Greta Taylor FR 21:28
National Rank #8 of 348
South Central Region Rank #1 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 100.0%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Nationals


National Champion 0.4%
Top 5 at Nationals 16.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 61.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 94.3%


Regional Champion 99.7%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nikki Hiltz Taylor Werner Carina Viljoen Lauren Gregory Therese Haiss Devin Clark Ashton Endsley Sydney Brown Maddy Reed Alex Ritchey Ruth Wiggins
Missouri Southern Stampede 09/16 1204 21:16
UCR Invitational 09/16 512 20:09 20:09 20:17 20:10 20:18 20:09 20:21
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 425 19:51 20:00 19:45 20:29 20:08
Chile Pepper Festival 09/29 784 20:06 20:16 20:38 20:54 20:52
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 1020 20:43 20:49 20:45 21:02
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 239 19:33 19:56 19:45 19:50 19:39 20:05 20:05
SEC Championship 10/27 220 19:57 19:16 19:37 19:49 19:47 19:57 20:07 20:18 20:49 21:15
South Region Championships 11/10 370 19:35 20:14 19:36 20:19 19:58 20:21 20:20





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 100% 10.3 331 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.5 7.5 9.9 9.5 11.2 8.0 6.6 5.7 5.4 5.0 3.7 3.4 2.7 1.9 2.6 1.7 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 1.0 34 99.7 0.3



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nikki Hiltz 100% 79.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4
Taylor Werner 100% 78.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.4
Carina Viljoen 100% 81.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.4
Lauren Gregory 100% 97.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5
Therese Haiss 100% 106.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Devin Clark 100% 125.6
Ashton Endsley 100% 130.3 0.1


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nikki Hiltz 5.5 7.7 8.5 11.0 9.0 9.3 9.1 8.6 7.1 7.0 5.2 5.5 3.0 2.6 2.1 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Taylor Werner 5.5 7.0 9.7 9.3 9.4 10.3 9.2 8.6 7.5 7.1 5.3 4.6 3.1 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Carina Viljoen 5.5 6.9 8.8 10.1 10.3 9.4 9.2 8.4 8.3 5.9 5.4 4.8 3.6 3.1 1.8 1.5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Lauren Gregory 7.7 3.3 3.8 4.9 7.4 7.1 8.7 9.1 8.4 7.6 7.1 7.2 7.1 4.9 4.2 3.3 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1
Therese Haiss 9.0 1.3 2.6 3.9 4.9 6.0 6.6 8.1 7.8 8.7 7.3 7.5 7.6 6.6 6.8 4.3 3.4 1.6 1.8 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
Devin Clark 11.6 0.4 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.2 3.8 5.7 5.3 7.3 8.4 7.7 7.2 8.3 8.4 6.7 5.7 5.0 3.2 2.1 2.3 1.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.3
Ashton Endsley 11.7 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.6 2.5 3.7 4.1 6.4 7.6 7.6 8.3 9.0 8.1 7.5 6.7 6.7 5.3 3.2 3.7 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 99.7% 100.0% 99.7 99.7 1
2 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 100.0% 99.7 0.3 0.0 100.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan 98.8% 1.0 1.0
Mississippi 97.2% 1.0 1.0
Georgia 96.9% 1.0 1.0
Utah State 89.9% 1.0 0.9
BYU 82.0% 1.0 0.8
California 58.5% 1.0 0.6
Texas 58.3% 2.0 1.2
Eastern Kentucky 45.5% 1.0 0.5
Utah 43.1% 1.0 0.4
Ohio State 37.3% 2.0 0.7
Louisville 33.4% 1.0 0.3
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Eastern Michigan 29.6% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 27.9% 1.0 0.3
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Northern Arizona 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Duke 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Arizona 2.8% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
Alabama 1.0% 2.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dayton 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 10.1
Minimum 5.0
Maximum 15.0