Dayton
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
217  Taylor Vernot JR 20:18
264  Emily Leonard SR 20:26
309  Chloe Flora SO 20:32
507  Emily Borchers JR 20:51
642  Grace McDonald SR 21:03
985  Nicole Steinbicker SR 21:27
1,479  Allison Triskett JR 21:58
1,631  Kaci Bornhorst SO 22:08
2,217  Alexandra Curtin SO 22:48
2,267  Kelly Wilker FR 22:54
2,408  Abbie VanFossen JR 23:07
2,443  Victoria Stallkamp JR 23:10
National Rank #58 of 348
Great Lakes Region Rank #8 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.6%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 4.6%
Top 10 in Regional 85.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Taylor Vernot Emily Leonard Chloe Flora Emily Borchers Grace McDonald Nicole Steinbicker Allison Triskett Kaci Bornhorst Alexandra Curtin Kelly Wilker Abbie VanFossen
National Catholic Invitational 09/15 929 20:54 20:23 20:36 20:59 20:57 21:33 22:10 23:35
Friendship Invitational 09/16 1405 22:44 22:19 23:17
All Ohio Championships 09/29 829 20:24 20:29 20:13 21:01 21:03 21:20 22:05 22:20 22:46
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 23:17 22:49 22:39
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 821 20:04 20:13 20:46 20:59 21:10 22:25
A10 Championship 10/28 744 20:13 20:16 20:25 20:37 20:57 20:59 21:27 21:24 22:44 23:12
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/10 726 20:04 20:23 20:24 20:25 21:16 21:40 21:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.6% 27.3 651 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Region Championship 100% 8.5 266 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.1 7.2 15.6 25.3 19.8 13.4 7.6 3.7 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Vernot 8.6% 132.3
Emily Leonard 3.1% 145.5
Chloe Flora 2.2% 156.5
Emily Borchers 1.6% 199.0
Grace McDonald 1.6% 219.0
Nicole Steinbicker 1.6% 242.0
Allison Triskett 1.7% 249.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Vernot 30.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 0.7 1.1 0.8 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 2.4 1.9 2.6 2.4 2.1 2.6 2.4 2.1 3.6 3.2
Emily Leonard 38.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.4
Chloe Flora 45.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.1
Emily Borchers 66.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2
Grace McDonald 81.3
Nicole Steinbicker 108.3
Allison Triskett 144.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 2
3 0.4% 100.0% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 3
4 1.1% 40.9% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 4
5 3.1% 11.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.7 0.4 5
6 7.2% 4.9% 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.8 0.4 6
7 15.6% 15.6 7
8 25.3% 25.3 8
9 19.8% 19.8 9
10 13.4% 13.4 10
11 7.6% 7.6 11
12 3.7% 3.7 12
13 1.9% 1.9 13
14 1.0% 1.0 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 1.6% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 98.4 0.1 1.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0