Georgia
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
33  Jessica Drop SO 19:34
40  Samantha Drop SO 19:37
301  Hailey Branch JR 20:31
334  Addy Lippitt JR 20:34
339  Grace Tavani JR 20:35
378  Yanely Gomez SO 20:40
1,115  Caroline Dickey JR 21:35
1,163  Lauren Hovis SR 21:39
1,337  Ansley Heavern SO 21:50
1,942  Millie Bergey FR 22:28
National Rank #24 of 348
South Region Rank #2 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 97.4%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 3.7%
Top 20 at Nationals 40.3%


Regional Champion 34.0%
Top 5 in Regional 100.0%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jessica Drop Samantha Drop Hailey Branch Addy Lippitt Grace Tavani Yanely Gomez Caroline Dickey Lauren Hovis Ansley Heavern Millie Bergey
Bulldog SEC Preview 09/09 580 19:42 19:47 20:43 20:26 20:35 21:17 21:11 22:00 21:49 22:33
Paul Short Gold 09/29 514 19:37 19:46 20:14 20:39 20:30 20:35 21:33 21:38 21:33
Furman Gene Mullin Invite 10/07 1230 22:07 21:23 21:41 22:20
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 365 19:26 19:25 20:08 20:18 20:13 21:25 21:32
SEC Championship 10/27 477 19:26 19:28 20:29 20:43 20:11 21:16 21:43 21:24 21:23 22:25
South Region Championships 11/10 484 19:31 19:27 20:38 20:29 21:02 20:15 22:04





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 97.4% 21.2 525 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.5 3.2 3.3 4.6 4.3 4.9 4.2 5.8 5.6 6.4 6.9 6.2 7.7 6.1 6.0 5.4 3.9 2.4 0.8
Region Championship 100% 1.8 81 34.0 53.8 9.6 2.2 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Drop 99.8% 39.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.3 1.5
Samantha Drop 99.6% 45.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6 1.1 0.6 0.7 1.3 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.2
Hailey Branch 97.4% 188.1
Addy Lippitt 97.4% 195.9
Grace Tavani 97.4% 198.5
Yanely Gomez 97.4% 205.6
Caroline Dickey 97.6% 249.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Drop 1.2 43.0 29.8 12.9 5.0 3.8 1.6 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Samantha Drop 1.6 30.2 32.0 15.1 10.1 4.6 2.8 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Hailey Branch 23.5 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 1.2 0.9 1.1 1.6 2.4 2.2 2.6 2.3 3.4 3.8 3.7 3.0 3.5 4.5 3.8 3.4 3.8 4.2 3.4
Addy Lippitt 26.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 1.2 1.7 1.7 2.9 2.4 3.6 3.1 3.1 2.8 2.9 3.5 2.9 3.3 3.6 2.9
Grace Tavani 27.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.2 1.7 1.0 1.8 2.7 3.4 2.7 2.8 3.2 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.0 3.4 3.2
Yanely Gomez 31.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.7 2.0 1.3 1.9 2.0 3.0 2.2 2.3 2.7 2.7 3.1
Caroline Dickey 99.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 34.0% 100.0% 34.0 34.0 1
2 53.8% 100.0% 53.8 53.8 2
3 9.6% 82.7% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.4 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.7 7.9 3
4 2.2% 79.1% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 1.7 4
5 0.5% 0.5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 97.4% 34.0 53.8 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 2.6 87.8 9.6




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Mississippi 97.2% 1.0 1.0
BYU 82.0% 1.0 0.8
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
Eastern Kentucky 45.5% 1.0 0.5
Ohio State 37.3% 1.0 0.4
Louisville 33.4% 1.0 0.3
Virginia Tech 27.9% 1.0 0.3
SMU 20.8% 1.0 0.2
Northern Arizona 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Cornell 13.1% 1.0 0.1
Princeton 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Missouri 5.0% 1.0 0.1
Duke 4.9% 2.0 0.1
Arizona 2.8% 2.0 0.1
Texas A&M 2.7% 1.0 0.0
Wake Forest 2.5% 2.0 0.0
Abilene Christian 1.6% 1.0 0.0
Georgia Tech 1.4% 2.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Miss State 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Arizona State 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Dayton 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 4.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 13.0