Indiana
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
15  Katherine Receveur JR 19:20
172  Brenna Calder JR 20:12
195  Margaret Allen JR 20:15
324  Haley Harris JR 20:33
375  Lexa Barrott SO 20:39
542  Grace Walther SO 20:54
700  Kelsey Harris SO 21:08
788  Stacy Morozov FR 21:14
National Rank #26 of 348
Great Lakes Region Rank #4 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 57.2%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.6%
Top 20 at Nationals 22.7%


Regional Champion 1.5%
Top 5 in Regional 70.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katherine Receveur Brenna Calder Margaret Allen Haley Harris Lexa Barrott Grace Walther Kelsey Harris Stacy Morozov
Indiana Intercollegiate Championship 09/15 1231 20:50
Coast-To-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/22 544 19:38 20:10 20:00 20:32 20:38 20:55 21:04
Sam Bell Invitational 09/30 473 19:18 20:08 19:57 20:27 20:29 21:32 20:48 20:59
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 648 19:13 20:29 20:27 20:38 20:37 21:25 21:07
Big Ten Championship 10/29 624 19:19 20:13 20:41 20:43 20:46 20:27 21:11 21:31
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/10 520 19:34 20:06 19:58 20:20 20:54 21:25 21:46





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 57.2% 21.7 533 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.3 1.3 1.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.8 2.4 2.9 3.6 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.0 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.3 1.5 1.2
Region Championship 100% 4.7 155 1.5 5.7 14.8 26.5 21.9 16.9 8.4 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katherine Receveur 100% 19.0 0.4 1.2 1.8 2.1 2.2 2.9 4.1 2.4 2.4 3.7 3.1 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.2 2.6 3.2 3.5 2.4 2.4 1.8 3.0 2.0 2.3 2.4
Brenna Calder 58.4% 130.4 0.1 0.1
Margaret Allen 57.6% 141.3
Haley Harris 57.2% 185.5
Lexa Barrott 57.2% 200.5
Grace Walther 57.2% 224.0
Kelsey Harris 57.2% 236.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katherine Receveur 1.0 63.4 15.3 8.4 5.1 2.1 1.9 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Brenna Calder 23.6 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.2 2.4 2.2 3.9 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.7 2.9 3.0
Margaret Allen 26.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.0 1.6 1.4 1.4 2.4 2.4 2.1 3.1 2.8 3.3 3.1 3.4 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.1
Haley Harris 46.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.2 0.4 1.3 1.2
Lexa Barrott 53.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4
Grace Walther 70.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Kelsey Harris 85.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.5% 100.0% 1.5 1.5 1
2 5.7% 100.0% 5.7 5.7 2
3 14.8% 92.5% 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.5 1.2 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.3 0.3 1.1 13.7 3
4 26.5% 75.0% 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.7 2.0 2.0 2.0 6.6 19.9 4
5 21.9% 54.9% 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.8 1.8 1.3 2.6 2.1 9.9 12.0 5
6 16.9% 20.7% 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 13.4 3.5 6
7 8.4% 11.4% 0.2 0.2 0.7 7.4 1.0 7
8 3.5% 1.4% 0.1 3.4 0.1 8
9 0.9% 0.9 9
10 0.2% 0.2 10
11 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
Total 100% 57.2% 1.5 5.7 1.1 0.6 0.3 1.0 2.7 4.5 4.4 4.9 6.0 6.5 5.3 6.8 6.3 42.9 7.2 50.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Columbia 78.2% 1.0 0.8
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 26.5% 2.0 0.5
Dartmouth 21.2% 1.0 0.2
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 13.1% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Syracuse 5.6% 2.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 9.0