Kentucky
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
30  Katy Kunc SR 19:33
267  Avery Bussjager JR 20:27
394  Michelle McKinney SR 20:41
656  Caitlin Shepard SO 21:04
812  Sarah Crawford SO 21:16
1,057  Madisyn Peeples FR 21:32
National Rank #53 of 348
Southeast Region Rank #9 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.8%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 3.1%
Top 10 in Regional 69.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katy Kunc Avery Bussjager Michelle McKinney Caitlin Shepard Sarah Crawford Madisyn Peeples
Kentucky Bluegrass Invitational 09/09 799 19:27 20:36 20:35 21:01 21:14 21:19
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 729 19:37 20:20 20:34 20:43 21:06 21:31
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 798 20:00 20:13 20:34 20:55 21:41 21:53
SEC Championship 10/27 768 19:22 20:17 20:37 21:19 21:13 21:49
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 845 19:29 20:41 20:47 21:16 21:05 21:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.8% 27.4 658 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 9.4 275 0.1 1.2 1.8 3.8 9.5 16.6 21.0 15.7 12.9 9.5 6.3 1.3 0.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katy Kunc 95.9% 40.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.7 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.8 1.3 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.2 1.5
Avery Bussjager 0.8% 149.5
Michelle McKinney 0.8% 179.0
Caitlin Shepard 0.8% 217.5
Sarah Crawford 0.8% 227.0
Madisyn Peeples 0.8% 244.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katy Kunc 6.4 6.6 8.2 9.3 8.7 7.7 6.8 7.7 6.8 7.1 5.8 5.8 4.3 4.0 2.9 2.3 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3
Avery Bussjager 36.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.5 2.1 1.0 2.3 1.8 2.0 2.9
Michelle McKinney 51.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 1.0
Caitlin Shepard 79.7
Sarah Crawford 96.1
Madisyn Peeples 118.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 3
4 1.2% 12.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.1 0.2 4
5 1.8% 2.8% 0.1 1.8 0.1 5
6 3.8% 4.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.6 0.2 6
7 9.5% 2.1% 0.1 0.1 9.3 0.2 7
8 16.6% 1.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 16.4 0.2 8
9 21.0% 21.0 9
10 15.7% 15.7 10
11 12.9% 12.9 11
12 9.5% 9.5 12
13 6.3% 6.3 13
14 1.3% 1.3 14
15 0.5% 0.5 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 0.8% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 99.2 0.0 0.8




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Virginia Tech 27.9% 1.0 0.3
Samford 10.8% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.5
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0