Syracuse
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
27  Paige Stoner SR 19:31
106  Shannon Malone JR 19:59
314  Madeleine Davison SO 20:32
328  Rachel Bonner FR 20:34
832  Eva Scott FR 21:17
1,224  Taylor Spillane SR 21:43
1,374  Chelsie Pennello SR 21:52
1,471  Maggie Toczko FR 21:58
National Rank #33 of 348
Northeast Region Rank #3 of 44
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 9.0%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.0%


Regional Champion 1.4%
Top 5 in Regional 40.2%
Top 10 in Regional 99.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Paige Stoner Shannon Malone Madeleine Davison Rachel Bonner Eva Scott Taylor Spillane Chelsie Pennello Maggie Toczko
Coast-To-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/22 797 19:39 20:32 20:28 21:01 21:19 21:18 21:58 22:02
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 624 19:29 19:48 20:38 20:24 21:33 22:15
ACC Championship 10/27 537 19:14 19:33 20:24 20:21 21:15 22:13 21:42
Northeast Region Championships 11/10 607 19:34 19:43 20:26 20:39 21:02 21:34 21:52





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 9.0% 22.1 533 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1
Region Championship 100% 5.8 180 1.4 3.7 7.8 11.2 16.3 21.6 23.8 9.9 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paige Stoner 99.9% 34.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.6 1.6 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.1 1.7 1.9 1.7 2.5 1.9
Shannon Malone 40.8% 85.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Madeleine Davison 9.1% 164.6
Rachel Bonner 9.2% 165.7
Eva Scott 9.0% 235.9
Taylor Spillane 9.0% 248.0
Chelsie Pennello 9.2% 249.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Paige Stoner 2.1 14.2 33.6 18.0 12.5 8.7 4.4 3.0 2.3 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
Shannon Malone 8.8 0.2 0.8 3.4 5.2 8.2 7.7 8.9 8.7 8.8 6.6 5.8 5.3 4.4 3.2 3.6 3.4 2.6 2.4 2.3 1.6 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.7
Madeleine Davison 31.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.4 2.2 2.0 2.6 1.9 2.8 2.2 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.7
Rachel Bonner 32.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.2 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.5 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.4 2.8
Eva Scott 96.5
Taylor Spillane 143.8
Chelsie Pennello 159.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1.4% 100.0% 1.4 1.4 1
2 3.7% 100.0% 3.7 3.7 2
3 7.8% 34.2% 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 5.1 2.7 3
4 11.2% 7.6% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 10.3 0.9 4
5 16.3% 2.5% 0.1 0.1 0.3 15.9 0.4 5
6 21.6% 21.6 6
7 23.8% 23.8 7
8 9.9% 9.9 8
9 3.3% 3.3 9
10 0.9% 0.9 10
11 0.2% 0.2 11
12 0.2% 0.2 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
Total 100% 9.0% 1.4 3.7 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 1.0 91.1 5.1 3.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Air Force 32.3% 1.0 0.3
Georgetown 26.5% 1.0 0.3
Baylor 17.5% 1.0 0.2
Yale 14.2% 1.0 0.1
Virginia 8.9% 1.0 0.1
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 5.0