Texas
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
133  Destiny Collins SO 20:05
266  Abby Guidry SO 20:26
333  Alex Cruz JR 20:34
439  Meghan Lloyd JR 20:46
536  Mary Beth Hamilton SR 20:54
717  Abigail Hirst SO 21:09
1,016  Jordan Welborn JR 21:29
1,186  Olivia Thompson SO 21:40
1,689  Abigail Brudnick FR 22:12
1,759  Anna Norman FR 22:17
National Rank #50 of 348
South Central Region Rank #4 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 58.4%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 1.2%


Regional Champion 0.3%
Top 5 in Regional 99.1%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Destiny Collins Abby Guidry Alex Cruz Meghan Lloyd Mary Beth Hamilton Abigail Hirst Jordan Welborn Olivia Thompson Abigail Brudnick Anna Norman
Texas Invitational 09/14 825 19:45 20:35 20:38 21:04 21:05 21:07 21:16 22:06 21:44
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 781 20:02 20:13 20:46 20:48 21:42 21:16 20:59 21:26 22:11
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 22:18 23:16
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 917 20:15 20:28 20:45 21:16 21:21 22:16
Big 12 Championship 10/28 710 19:58 20:31 20:17 20:36 20:51 20:57 22:01 21:45
South Region Championships 11/10 717 20:05 20:23 20:25 20:39 20:44 20:50 21:41





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 58.4% 29.2 715 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.9 2.1 3.1 4.3 5.7 11.6 26.7
Region Championship 100% 2.7 113 0.3 58.0 23.4 12.9 4.6 1.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Destiny Collins 67.3% 108.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Abby Guidry 58.9% 167.5
Alex Cruz 58.6% 187.0
Meghan Lloyd 58.4% 209.6
Mary Beth Hamilton 58.4% 220.8
Abigail Hirst 58.4% 236.7
Jordan Welborn 58.5% 246.9


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Destiny Collins 10.8 1.7 2.1 4.5 4.2 4.3 4.6 5.1 5.3 6.2 7.0 6.6 7.7 7.7 7.5 7.3 5.8 3.9 2.8 1.8 1.9 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3
Abby Guidry 18.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.2 2.3 2.5 3.1 4.8 4.8 6.0 8.6 8.9 8.5 7.7 6.8 5.6 5.2 4.0 4.3
Alex Cruz 21.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.4 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.5 4.6 6.4 8.1 6.7 6.8 6.5 7.2 6.1 4.8
Meghan Lloyd 26.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.1 1.7 3.3 3.8 4.2 6.1 4.6 6.4 5.5
Mary Beth Hamilton 31.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.7 1.6 1.9 2.6 3.8 3.3 3.8
Abigail Hirst 41.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9
Jordan Welborn 56.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.3% 100.0% 0.3 0.3 1
2 58.0% 100.0% 58.0 58.0 2
3 23.4% 0.4% 0.1 0.1 23.3 0.1 3
4 12.9% 12.9 4
5 4.6% 4.6 5
6 1.0% 1.0 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 58.4% 0.3 58.0 0.1 0.1 41.7 58.3 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Alabama 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Notre Dame 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Pittsburgh 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0