All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
| Team Rating |
134 | |
119 |
142 |
112 |
702 |
139 |
138 |
600 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
119 |
142 |
112 |
210 |
139 |
138 |
134 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
|---|
| 15 |
Ian Baker |
12 |
15:52 |
15:36 |
15:36 |
19:21 |
15:53 |
19:17 |
16:03 |
19:44 |
|
| 17 |
Brandon Haas |
11 |
15:55 |
16:08 |
15:38 |
15:50 |
15:51 |
|
16:01 |
16:08 |
|
| 27 |
Elijah Balbach |
11 |
16:04 |
16:28 |
16:05 |
16:14 |
15:58 |
|
15:57 |
16:01 |
|
| 51 |
Joseph Kerzee |
12 |
16:18 |
16:38 |
16:26 |
16:16 |
16:06 |
|
16:16 |
16:18 |
|
| 75 |
Aaron Ferkowicz |
12 |
16:26 |
17:56 |
16:18 |
16:24 |
16:22 |
|
16:26 |
16:26 |
|
| 240 |
Wes Grant |
9 |
17:05 |
|
16:58 |
17:02 |
17:02 |
|
17:08 |
17:09 |
|
| 312 |
Aliou Jalloh |
12 |
17:17 |
19:16 |
16:57 |
|
|
17:09 |
17:22 |
17:11 |
17:23 |
| 324 |
Charlie Rosa |
11 |
17:18 |
|
17:10 |
17:12 |
17:14 |
|
17:19 |
17:28 |
17:19 |
| 383 |
Hunter Sardinas |
11 |
17:29 |
17:38 |
17:21 |
17:07 |
17:06 |
|
17:42 |
17:38 |
17:48 |
| 425 |
Josiah Aynes |
10 |
17:34 |
|
17:45 |
17:04 |
17:39 |
|
17:31 |
17:28 |
17:54 |
| 444 |
Joshua Nugent |
11 |
17:36 |
18:03 |
17:30 |
17:47 |
|
17:30 |
17:26 |
17:56 |
17:11 |
| 590 |
Jackson Hoaglin |
10 |
17:55 |
18:39 |
17:25 |
17:29 |
18:02 |
17:57 |
17:55 |
18:13 |
17:57 |
| 665 |
Eli Cronin |
10 |
18:03 |
18:28 |
18:03 |
18:14 |
|
18:03 |
17:56 |
17:50 |
17:59 |
| 702 |
Raul Maturana |
10 |
18:07 |
|
17:49 |
17:41 |
|
18:44 |
18:11 |
18:15 |
18:00 |
| 822 |
Ashton Hultman |
9 |
18:19 |
|
18:21 |
|
|
18:21 |
18:13 |
|
18:17 |
| 861 |
Sammy Trippeer |
10 |
18:23 |
18:36 |
17:39 |
|
|
18:56 |
18:24 |
18:15 |
18:23 |
| 923 |
Rylan Bruna |
9 |
18:27 |
|
|
18:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 976 |
Patrick McCluskey |
11 |
18:31 |
|
18:43 |
18:34 |
|
18:30 |
18:52 |
18:02 |
18:14 |
| 1,008 |
Caleb Hurt |
10 |
18:34 |
|
18:41 |
18:54 |
|
18:12 |
18:56 |
18:18 |
18:24 |
| 1,032 |
Kase Blickenstaff |
10 |
18:36 |
18:31 |
18:56 |
18:34 |
|
18:21 |
18:34 |
18:47 |
18:29 |
| 1,137 |
Tim McCluskey |
9 |
18:46 |
|
18:49 |
|
|
20:06 |
19:07 |
18:35 |
18:28 |
| 1,234 |
Noah Harvey |
10 |
18:54 |
18:52 |
18:51 |
18:37 |
|
|
|
19:20 |
18:51 |
| 1,238 |
Keaton Carnes |
10 |
18:54 |
18:39 |
17:46 |
19:16 |
|
|
|
18:47 |
19:23 |
|
Montgomery Fenol |
9 |
19:14 |
|
19:12 |
19:23 |
|
18:57 |
19:33 |
19:16 |
18:54 |
|
Michael Fenol |
12 |
19:23 |
18:55 |
|
19:29 |
|
19:11 |
19:25 |
19:05 |
20:03 |
|
Jayden Vazquez |
9 |
19:33 |
|
|
19:35 |
|
|
19:45 |
19:36 |
18:59 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
2.4 |
127 |
39.5 |
24.3 |
15.3 |
10.0 |
5.3 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
44 |
90.7 |
9.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
29 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
100% |
16.1 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
5.4 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Brandon Haas |
100% |
18.6 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Balbach |
100% |
28.8 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Joseph Kerzee |
100% |
53.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
|
99.9% |
| Aaron Ferkowicz |
100% |
74.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
|
98.5% |
| Wes Grant |
100% |
187.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.9% |
| Aliou Jalloh |
100% |
206.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
100% |
3.8 |
9.8 |
13.4 |
15.0 |
14.7 |
13.5 |
10.4 |
7.7 |
6.0 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Brandon Haas |
100% |
4.8 |
5.2 |
9.1 |
11.8 |
12.5 |
13.6 |
12.9 |
10.6 |
7.6 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Balbach |
100% |
8.0 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.8 |
4.9 |
6.7 |
9.7 |
11.5 |
12.4 |
11.3 |
9.9 |
7.4 |
6.4 |
4.8 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Joseph Kerzee |
100% |
13.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
3.6 |
5.4 |
6.9 |
7.9 |
8.3 |
9.3 |
9.1 |
8.4 |
7.9 |
7.2 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
2.2 |
2.1 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Aaron Ferkowicz |
100% |
17.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
5.6 |
6.7 |
7.1 |
7.5 |
7.6 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
7.9 |
5.7 |
4.8 |
4.2 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Wes Grant |
100% |
46.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Aliou Jalloh |
100% |
61.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ian Baker |
2.4 |
15.0 |
23.7 |
27.3 |
19.3 |
10.2 |
3.5 |
0.9 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brandon Haas |
3.0 |
7.3 |
16.5 |
25.2 |
25.1 |
15.2 |
8.0 |
2.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elijah Balbach |
4.9 |
0.5 |
2.7 |
6.7 |
15.5 |
27.8 |
26.6 |
15.5 |
3.7 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Joseph Kerzee |
7.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
3.8 |
12.6 |
25.5 |
32.9 |
17.1 |
5.1 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aaron Ferkowicz |
8.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
2.6 |
9.4 |
20.9 |
35.7 |
19.0 |
7.8 |
2.5 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Wes Grant |
16.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.1 |
3.4 |
7.2 |
8.4 |
8.5 |
9.0 |
8.2 |
8.4 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
5.9 |
5.4 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
| Aliou Jalloh |
22.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
5.4 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
6.2 |
5.9 |
6.9 |
|
