All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Marion County |
Marion Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
NCXC JV Invite |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/18 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/9 |
| Team Rating |
285 | |
961 |
311 |
279 |
275 |
1,041 |
957 |
291 |
276 |
914 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
285 |
311 |
279 |
275 |
285 |
285 |
291 |
261 |
285 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Marion County |
Marion Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
NCXC JV Invite |
|---|
| 73 |
Justin Reedus |
11 |
16:26 |
16:22 |
|
16:28 |
16:22 |
16:24 |
|
|
16:29 |
16:27 |
|
| 83 |
Evan Farmer |
12 |
16:31 |
16:09 |
|
17:05 |
16:40 |
16:40 |
|
|
16:21 |
16:04 |
|
| 100 |
Cooper Trout |
11 |
16:36 |
17:23 |
|
16:24 |
16:34 |
16:29 |
|
|
16:42 |
16:36 |
|
| 141 |
Ian Tharp |
10 |
16:46 |
16:48 |
|
16:32 |
16:42 |
16:40 |
|
|
17:04 |
|
|
| 180 |
Emilio Leal |
12 |
16:55 |
16:44 |
|
17:04 |
16:49 |
16:51 |
|
|
16:53 |
17:00 |
|
| 214 |
Drew Wright |
11 |
17:01 |
16:51 |
|
18:29 |
17:14 |
17:07 |
|
|
16:53 |
16:55 |
|
| 336 |
Josh Lasley |
11 |
17:19 |
17:35 |
|
17:13 |
16:57 |
17:24 |
|
|
17:37 |
17:18 |
17:17 |
| 504 |
Jason Decker |
10 |
17:45 |
18:38 |
17:46 |
17:59 |
18:01 |
|
17:44 |
17:46 |
17:15 |
17:30 |
17:39 |
| 931 |
Kervenson Clerger |
11 |
18:28 |
|
18:56 |
18:38 |
18:11 |
|
18:23 |
18:19 |
19:52 |
18:35 |
18:20 |
| 1,018 |
Cole Rigler |
9 |
18:35 |
|
18:24 |
18:41 |
17:54 |
18:22 |
|
21:14 |
20:44 |
18:52 |
19:27 |
| 1,047 |
Elliott McVey |
10 |
18:37 |
18:52 |
18:43 |
18:53 |
18:08 |
|
18:23 |
18:36 |
18:34 |
|
18:47 |
| 1,098 |
Oliver Pollert |
9 |
18:42 |
|
18:15 |
19:11 |
18:43 |
|
18:52 |
18:30 |
18:41 |
|
|
|
Andrew Gray |
10 |
19:21 |
18:54 |
20:15 |
18:41 |
19:28 |
|
19:43 |
18:50 |
19:27 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
85.3% |
11.7 |
332 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
5.5 |
7.0 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
9.7 |
9.1 |
6.7 |
5.6 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.3 |
129 |
1.2 |
8.4 |
15.9 |
24.9 |
34.9 |
11.4 |
3.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.6 |
34 |
39.4 |
60.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Justin Reedus |
98.6% |
73.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
90.5% |
98.1% |
| Evan Farmer |
96.7% |
88.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
77.4% |
94.7% |
| Cooper Trout |
94.3% |
102.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
61.0% |
88.8% |
| Ian Tharp |
87.2% |
132.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.8% |
62.3% |
| Emilio Leal |
85.6% |
159.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.0% |
32.8% |
| Drew Wright |
85.4% |
174.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
17.5% |
| Josh Lasley |
85.3% |
208.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Justin Reedus |
100% |
14.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.8 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
5.0 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Evan Farmer |
100% |
19.5 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Cooper Trout |
100% |
23.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ian Tharp |
100% |
35.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Emilio Leal |
100% |
46.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Drew Wright |
100% |
53.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Josh Lasley |
100% |
76.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Justin Reedus |
2.3 |
4.7 |
39.8 |
20.2 |
12.7 |
8.4 |
6.0 |
3.9 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Evan Farmer |
3.7 |
1.1 |
13.6 |
23.9 |
17.3 |
12.5 |
10.0 |
8.1 |
6.0 |
3.7 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cooper Trout |
5.0 |
0.4 |
5.0 |
12.5 |
19.2 |
13.4 |
13.1 |
11.0 |
9.5 |
6.4 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ian Tharp |
8.2 |
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
3.4 |
10.1 |
9.7 |
10.7 |
12.8 |
13.4 |
11.6 |
9.1 |
7.0 |
4.7 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Emilio Leal |
11.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.6 |
3.4 |
4.6 |
6.9 |
8.8 |
11.4 |
12.0 |
11.6 |
11.3 |
9.4 |
6.8 |
5.0 |
3.3 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
| Drew Wright |
13.3 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
4.4 |
6.2 |
8.8 |
10.6 |
11.5 |
12.4 |
12.1 |
8.9 |
7.3 |
4.9 |
3.3 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
| Josh Lasley |
18.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
4.9 |
7.1 |
10.1 |
12.1 |
10.6 |
10.8 |
10.6 |
8.7 |
6.2 |
4.7 |
3.4 |
|
