All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/7 |
| Team Rating |
233 | |
242 |
213 |
292 |
242 |
226 |
266 |
646 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
242 |
206 |
214 |
236 |
226 |
245 |
233 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
|---|
| 26 |
Liam Powers |
11 |
16:04 |
16:19 |
16:11 |
15:48 |
|
16:13 |
16:08 |
15:45 |
|
| 79 |
Nick Vega |
12 |
16:29 |
16:18 |
16:31 |
16:29 |
16:29 |
16:23 |
16:23 |
16:46 |
|
| 88 |
Isaac Smith |
10 |
16:33 |
16:20 |
16:34 |
|
|
|
16:37 |
22:35 |
|
| 97 |
Zach Swedarsky |
12 |
16:35 |
16:48 |
16:28 |
16:29 |
16:36 |
16:40 |
16:34 |
16:31 |
|
| 115 |
Ben Tuckis |
12 |
16:39 |
16:57 |
16:57 |
16:29 |
16:35 |
16:34 |
16:32 |
|
|
| 151 |
Riley Schamp |
11 |
16:47 |
16:20 |
|
|
|
16:40 |
17:14 |
16:44 |
|
| 154 |
Aidan Lawson |
12 |
16:49 |
17:13 |
16:57 |
16:41 |
16:20 |
16:41 |
16:45 |
17:18 |
|
| 237 |
Michael Chalfant |
12 |
17:04 |
16:43 |
16:57 |
16:53 |
17:14 |
17:06 |
17:17 |
17:02 |
|
| 294 |
William Henning |
11 |
17:14 |
16:57 |
|
19:37 |
17:28 |
17:04 |
17:08 |
17:06 |
17:49 |
| 311 |
Tate Watson |
12 |
17:16 |
17:29 |
17:21 |
16:51 |
18:20 |
17:24 |
17:07 |
17:00 |
|
| 340 |
Isaac Ober |
11 |
17:20 |
|
16:46 |
17:08 |
17:46 |
17:34 |
17:14 |
17:23 |
|
| 381 |
Deagan Baker |
12 |
17:29 |
17:33 |
17:32 |
17:11 |
17:31 |
18:24 |
17:15 |
17:31 |
17:18 |
| 399 |
Sam Elliott |
11 |
17:32 |
17:57 |
17:44 |
17:36 |
17:22 |
17:32 |
17:19 |
|
17:28 |
| 476 |
Hayden Hoback |
10 |
17:40 |
|
17:19 |
17:22 |
|
18:27 |
17:44 |
17:29 |
17:54 |
| 487 |
Monroe Cluff |
11 |
17:42 |
18:14 |
17:32 |
17:34 |
|
17:33 |
17:54 |
17:33 |
17:53 |
| 509 |
Charlie Ritter |
10 |
17:45 |
|
17:39 |
17:40 |
17:31 |
17:26 |
18:05 |
17:50 |
17:59 |
| 530 |
Elijah Cluff |
|
17:48 |
|
|
|
17:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 544 |
Pj Key |
9 |
17:50 |
|
18:02 |
17:35 |
|
17:42 |
17:38 |
17:57 |
18:04 |
| 651 |
Joshua Montgomery |
11 |
18:02 |
17:00 |
17:38 |
17:48 |
18:05 |
18:23 |
18:46 |
18:04 |
17:55 |
| 668 |
Sam Pridmore |
12 |
18:04 |
|
|
|
17:58 |
17:52 |
18:04 |
|
18:17 |
| 704 |
Max Kleinbub |
9 |
18:07 |
|
17:51 |
17:41 |
18:12 |
18:01 |
18:01 |
18:25 |
18:33 |
| 786 |
Kaden Jones |
12 |
18:15 |
19:04 |
18:36 |
17:32 |
18:34 |
19:05 |
17:47 |
18:18 |
17:41 |
| 844 |
Cameron Conn |
9 |
18:22 |
|
18:07 |
18:21 |
17:59 |
18:34 |
18:31 |
18:21 |
18:27 |
| 865 |
MacKey Pope |
9 |
18:23 |
|
18:51 |
18:27 |
18:21 |
17:53 |
18:23 |
18:10 |
18:33 |
| 869 |
Liam McNiven |
11 |
18:24 |
18:23 |
19:18 |
18:26 |
|
18:31 |
18:12 |
18:06 |
18:20 |
| 890 |
Aiden Brier |
9 |
18:25 |
|
18:18 |
18:15 |
18:25 |
18:15 |
18:43 |
|
18:26 |
| 932 |
Drew McNiven |
9 |
18:28 |
|
17:58 |
18:31 |
18:25 |
18:30 |
18:45 |
20:12 |
20:20 |
| 1,272 |
Drew Cole |
9 |
18:57 |
|
18:16 |
|
|
|
19:06 |
19:08 |
18:58 |
| 1,288 |
Connor Pugh |
11 |
18:59 |
18:59 |
18:48 |
19:24 |
18:46 |
18:52 |
18:57 |
19:10 |
18:56 |
|
Weston Kopeck |
9 |
19:03 |
|
19:05 |
19:28 |
18:42 |
19:07 |
18:51 |
|
19:02 |
|
Nate Randolph |
9 |
19:03 |
|
18:51 |
19:21 |
20:14 |
19:24 |
|
18:37 |
18:20 |
|
Andrew Voight |
11 |
19:04 |
18:38 |
19:01 |
19:21 |
18:37 |
22:21 |
19:43 |
20:46 |
19:01 |
|
Justin Bove |
10 |
19:07 |
|
18:45 |
18:43 |
|
19:24 |
19:12 |
19:03 |
19:26 |
|
Trip Quint |
10 |
19:12 |
|
19:01 |
19:30 |
19:24 |
19:36 |
18:49 |
19:15 |
18:47 |
|
Trewman Francis |
9 |
19:18 |
|
18:31 |
18:34 |
|
21:57 |
21:16 |
20:10 |
19:51 |
|
Samuel Brown |
11 |
19:29 |
|
19:28 |
18:57 |
19:59 |
19:26 |
19:26 |
19:29 |
19:30 |
|
Evan Leblanc |
12 |
19:42 |
18:20 |
20:08 |
19:31 |
19:03 |
19:48 |
19:50 |
|
19:57 |
|
Noah Kline |
12 |
20:46 |
18:57 |
19:56 |
22:22 |
|
20:56 |
20:54 |
21:54 |
20:43 |
|
Graham Weier |
11 |
21:07 |
21:01 |
21:06 |
20:53 |
20:36 |
21:24 |
21:24 |
21:13 |
21:11 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
98.3% |
8.1 |
260 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
7.2 |
9.8 |
10.2 |
11.1 |
10.6 |
9.1 |
8.3 |
7.0 |
5.7 |
4.2 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.9 |
88 |
9.7 |
33.8 |
26.0 |
18.3 |
10.5 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.4 |
64 |
10.0 |
44.4 |
44.2 |
1.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
100% |
28.3 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Nick Vega |
99.3% |
83.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
60.5% |
96.3% |
| Isaac Smith |
99.0% |
96.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
40.7% |
92.4% |
| Zach Swedarsky |
98.7% |
101.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
23.3% |
89.1% |
| Ben Tuckis |
98.6% |
114.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
17.4% |
82.8% |
| Riley Schamp |
98.3% |
142.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.5% |
56.1% |
| Aidan Lawson |
98.3% |
147.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.2% |
52.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
100% |
4.4 |
0.1 |
3.0 |
21.3 |
19.1 |
14.5 |
11.4 |
7.8 |
5.6 |
5.1 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Nick Vega |
100% |
17.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
4.5 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Isaac Smith |
100% |
21.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
3.7 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Zach Swedarsky |
100% |
22.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ben Tuckis |
100% |
26.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Riley Schamp |
100% |
37.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Aidan Lawson |
100% |
38.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Liam Powers |
3.6 |
0.0 |
4.0 |
33.6 |
20.3 |
13.2 |
9.4 |
6.9 |
4.8 |
3.4 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Nick Vega |
12.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
5.5 |
7.4 |
7.8 |
9.1 |
9.1 |
9.0 |
8.9 |
7.5 |
6.4 |
5.4 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
| Isaac Smith |
14.0 |
|
|
|
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
8.3 |
9.1 |
8.7 |
8.8 |
7.1 |
6.3 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
| Zach Swedarsky |
14.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
5.7 |
6.8 |
7.5 |
8.4 |
9.0 |
7.9 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
6.1 |
5.2 |
4.4 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
| Ben Tuckis |
16.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
3.4 |
4.4 |
5.8 |
6.1 |
7.7 |
8.3 |
8.5 |
8.4 |
7.8 |
7.8 |
6.7 |
5.7 |
4.5 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
| Riley Schamp |
21.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
9.5 |
9.7 |
9.1 |
8.0 |
7.1 |
| Aidan Lawson |
21.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
3.8 |
4.9 |
5.9 |
7.2 |
7.6 |
8.6 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
8.8 |
7.8 |
|
