All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Harrier Invitational |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Harrison Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Nike Twilight |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/18 |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
10/5 |
| Team Rating |
267 | |
342 |
350 |
342 |
283 |
399 |
484 |
272 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
227 |
255 |
248 |
255 |
296 |
270 |
272 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
Harrier Invitational |
Dennis Bays Warrior Invitational |
Harrison Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Nike Twilight |
|---|
| 26 |
Lexi Kollbaum |
10 |
18:48 |
19:05 |
18:12 |
19:07 |
18:20 |
18:48 |
18:53 |
19:08 |
18:37 |
| 102 |
Aurelia Martoglio |
11 |
19:44 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
19:52 |
| 122 |
Jasmine Martoglio |
11 |
19:58 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
19:27 |
20:41 |
|
20:04 |
| 145 |
Mary Asplund |
10 |
20:06 |
20:14 |
19:51 |
19:58 |
20:04 |
20:19 |
|
20:10 |
19:50 |
| 180 |
Julianne Hoover |
11 |
20:23 |
20:28 |
19:57 |
19:59 |
20:11 |
20:26 |
20:34 |
|
20:38 |
| 216 |
Julia Polit |
9 |
20:32 |
|
21:17 |
20:35 |
20:23 |
20:24 |
20:26 |
20:10 |
20:36 |
| 474 |
Grace Stringer |
12 |
21:31 |
21:10 |
21:54 |
21:07 |
21:17 |
21:31 |
21:17 |
21:58 |
21:41 |
| 571 |
Lila Pierce |
11 |
21:44 |
|
20:46 |
|
|
23:09 |
22:13 |
21:45 |
21:45 |
| 758 |
Elizabeth Merkley |
12 |
22:14 |
21:49 |
|
22:07 |
22:32 |
|
|
24:06 |
|
| 776 |
Maddie Merkley |
9 |
22:18 |
|
21:40 |
22:21 |
22:01 |
22:20 |
22:24 |
22:57 |
22:04 |
| 853 |
Laeceigh Farris |
11 |
22:29 |
|
22:07 |
22:22 |
23:21 |
|
22:34 |
22:13 |
24:50 |
| 887 |
Hazel Hammerstein |
11 |
22:33 |
23:21 |
23:03 |
22:16 |
23:01 |
22:30 |
22:09 |
22:01 |
22:40 |
| 975 |
Gwendolyn Roeder |
11 |
22:47 |
|
22:49 |
22:28 |
|
|
23:37 |
22:22 |
22:50 |
| 1,047 |
Kaari Tabor |
11 |
22:57 |
22:48 |
22:29 |
22:52 |
25:43 |
|
24:00 |
22:04 |
23:50 |
|
Nikki Beshkar |
10 |
23:33 |
24:10 |
22:55 |
23:35 |
23:05 |
|
24:06 |
24:04 |
23:01 |
|
Addison Staten |
9 |
23:54 |
|
25:05 |
23:54 |
23:53 |
|
23:38 |
23:51 |
23:27 |
|
Ella Sturdevant |
9 |
23:59 |
|
24:15 |
23:45 |
23:38 |
|
24:02 |
24:13 |
23:53 |
|
Sophia Trcka |
10 |
24:10 |
|
24:16 |
24:29 |
23:48 |
|
24:09 |
23:56 |
24:16 |
|
Aspen Siek |
12 |
24:28 |
|
24:12 |
25:48 |
24:55 |
|
24:36 |
23:57 |
23:51 |
|
Ella Pizzo |
10 |
24:36 |
|
24:51 |
24:56 |
24:35 |
|
24:36 |
23:58 |
24:30 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
12.7 |
335 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.7 |
4.3 |
6.3 |
8.9 |
10.1 |
12.2 |
12.7 |
12.1 |
9.0 |
7.3 |
4.9 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
78 |
11.1 |
82.0 |
6.1 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
24 |
99.6 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lexi Kollbaum |
100% |
24.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Aurelia Martoglio |
100% |
95.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jasmine Martoglio |
100% |
121.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Mary Asplund |
100% |
136.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.5% |
| Julianne Hoover |
100% |
164.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87.9% |
| Julia Polit |
100% |
181.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
71.8% |
| Grace Stringer |
100% |
233.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lexi Kollbaum |
100% |
2.1 |
22.0 |
25.6 |
22.3 |
12.7 |
8.0 |
5.0 |
2.6 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Aurelia Martoglio |
100% |
12.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
9.1 |
9.6 |
9.2 |
9.0 |
9.2 |
7.4 |
6.0 |
5.0 |
3.6 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Jasmine Martoglio |
100% |
17.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
5.2 |
6.4 |
6.9 |
8.6 |
7.9 |
8.6 |
9.1 |
7.1 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
4.3 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Mary Asplund |
100% |
20.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
4.3 |
5.2 |
5.8 |
7.1 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
8.1 |
7.5 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Julianne Hoover |
100% |
26.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
6.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Julia Polit |
100% |
31.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Grace Stringer |
100% |
62.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lexi Kollbaum |
1.0 |
99.5 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Aurelia Martoglio |
2.6 |
|
34.8 |
26.7 |
19.2 |
11.6 |
4.9 |
2.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jasmine Martoglio |
4.5 |
|
5.1 |
14.4 |
20.7 |
20.8 |
18.5 |
10.9 |
5.3 |
2.5 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mary Asplund |
5.8 |
|
1.6 |
5.3 |
10.2 |
16.7 |
20.2 |
20.9 |
11.9 |
6.0 |
3.4 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Julianne Hoover |
8.3 |
|
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.6 |
6.5 |
12.4 |
21.1 |
17.6 |
12.7 |
9.0 |
6.9 |
4.9 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Julia Polit |
10.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
4.1 |
9.2 |
16.2 |
17.5 |
13.5 |
11.2 |
9.0 |
7.0 |
5.3 |
2.8 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Grace Stringer |
19.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
4.4 |
7.6 |
12.7 |
16.4 |
18.9 |
16.3 |
11.2 |
6.1 |
2.7 |
0.8 |
|
