All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Marion County |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Circle City Conference |
Nike Twilight |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/14 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
| Team Rating |
165 | |
196 |
152 |
140 |
275 |
174 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
196 |
152 |
140 |
146 |
174 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Marion County |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Circle City Conference |
Nike Twilight |
|---|
| 11 |
Lucy Wood |
11 |
18:32 |
19:17 |
18:27 |
18:15 |
18:32 |
|
18:48 |
| 38 |
Isabel Garcia |
10 |
19:07 |
19:26 |
19:53 |
18:57 |
18:55 |
18:59 |
18:52 |
| 40 |
Madison Riggins |
9 |
19:10 |
|
19:01 |
19:04 |
19:03 |
19:05 |
19:24 |
| 75 |
Emily Garten |
12 |
19:33 |
19:37 |
19:30 |
19:35 |
19:24 |
19:23 |
19:37 |
| 118 |
Claudia Keller |
12 |
19:56 |
22:00 |
20:08 |
19:50 |
19:42 |
19:45 |
19:54 |
| 513 |
Kennedy Riggins |
9 |
21:36 |
|
|
|
|
21:30 |
21:38 |
| 728 |
Leila Dahlstrom |
9 |
22:09 |
|
22:01 |
21:51 |
21:52 |
22:42 |
22:23 |
| 753 |
Anna Balaban |
12 |
22:13 |
|
22:06 |
21:43 |
|
|
23:03 |
| 918 |
Avani Chugh |
11 |
22:38 |
|
|
|
22:34 |
|
|
| 924 |
Talia Sicuso |
11 |
22:39 |
23:59 |
22:33 |
22:35 |
22:31 |
22:45 |
22:22 |
| 929 |
Helena Wells |
11 |
22:39 |
23:23 |
22:24 |
22:08 |
22:30 |
23:06 |
22:49 |
| 973 |
Anna Dunn |
11 |
22:47 |
21:21 |
22:35 |
22:41 |
23:42 |
|
|
| 1,011 |
Amelia Roberts |
12 |
22:52 |
22:29 |
22:50 |
22:44 |
|
22:50 |
23:04 |
| 1,108 |
Isabella Brothers |
11 |
23:05 |
23:41 |
23:12 |
22:51 |
22:43 |
23:07 |
23:08 |
| 1,136 |
Caroline Caffrey |
10 |
23:11 |
|
23:31 |
23:40 |
21:15 |
|
|
| 1,246 |
Lilian Dahlstrom |
9 |
23:25 |
|
23:19 |
23:11 |
23:41 |
23:31 |
23:07 |
|
Lexi Harasty |
10 |
23:36 |
|
22:59 |
|
23:44 |
23:33 |
23:52 |
|
Meredith Hershberger |
12 |
23:45 |
|
|
23:15 |
23:05 |
24:39 |
24:08 |
|
Meaghan Keller |
12 |
24:20 |
23:33 |
23:50 |
25:12 |
24:24 |
|
|
|
Juliet Potts |
11 |
24:33 |
23:15 |
24:29 |
24:50 |
24:15 |
|
24:55 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100.0% |
4.5 |
191 |
3.5 |
16.9 |
20.1 |
16.7 |
13.7 |
10.7 |
7.1 |
4.8 |
3.1 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.3 |
74 |
4.9 |
70.6 |
19.1 |
4.7 |
0.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
20 |
99.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucy Wood |
100% |
14.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
5.5 |
5.8 |
5.3 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Isabel Garcia |
100% |
40.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Madison Riggins |
100% |
43.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Emily Garten |
100% |
76.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Claudia Keller |
100.0% |
118.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
97.8% |
| Kennedy Riggins |
100.0% |
236.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Leila Dahlstrom |
100.0% |
244.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucy Wood |
100% |
2.6 |
1.0 |
33.6 |
26.3 |
14.9 |
10.0 |
6.0 |
4.0 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Isabel Garcia |
100% |
9.9 |
|
0.1 |
1.3 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
6.3 |
8.2 |
9.0 |
8.5 |
9.2 |
8.7 |
8.1 |
6.5 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Madison Riggins |
100% |
10.8 |
|
|
0.8 |
1.8 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
6.2 |
8.3 |
8.3 |
9.1 |
8.8 |
8.2 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Emily Garten |
100% |
19.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
6.4 |
5.4 |
4.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Claudia Keller |
100% |
27.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Kennedy Riggins |
100% |
85.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Leila Dahlstrom |
100% |
111.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Lucy Wood |
1.0 |
97.6 |
2.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Isabel Garcia |
2.2 |
0.7 |
43.8 |
34.5 |
16.3 |
3.4 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Madison Riggins |
2.5 |
0.3 |
30.5 |
39.8 |
22.2 |
4.7 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emily Garten |
4.6 |
|
0.7 |
3.3 |
20.3 |
41.7 |
16.4 |
9.3 |
6.3 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Claudia Keller |
7.5 |
|
|
|
0.7 |
3.8 |
18.4 |
17.4 |
19.6 |
21.4 |
10.2 |
4.3 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kennedy Riggins |
25.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
3.7 |
6.3 |
7.9 |
11.5 |
12.1 |
| Leila Dahlstrom |
33.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
|
