Carmel
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #1
Brownsburg Regional Rank #1
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 82.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off John Cleland Invitational (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Culver Invitational Nike Twilight Noblesville JV Invite
Date 8/18 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/7
Team Rating 100 60 103 90 117 112 79 296 126 359
Team Adjusted Rating 60 89 90 117 112 76 138 126 100
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kick-Off John Cleland Invitational (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational Culver Invitational Nike Twilight Noblesville JV Invite
9  Sadie Foley 11 18:27 18:41 18:02 18:20 18:25 18:53 18:37 18:13 18:27
22  Annabel Pollert 10 18:46 19:10 18:49 18:33 18:42 18:54 18:52 18:26 18:55 18:35
27  Larkin Taylor 10 18:50 19:11 18:15 18:44 18:44 18:56 18:46 18:43 19:08
37  Margo Halle 9 19:05 18:53 19:04 19:05 19:10 18:53 18:43 20:12
46  Olivia Mundt 12 19:15 18:59 18:35 19:06 19:11 19:49 20:05 19:01
103  Katy Dascoli 12 19:45 20:03 19:37 19:35 19:32 19:44 19:46 19:19 20:21 19:50
109  Ella Gaddis 12 19:51 20:22 20:01 19:43 19:23 19:44 19:45 19:51 20:10
115  Kaitlyn Oshimura 11 19:54 19:20 19:57 20:01 19:37 19:37 20:54 20:10 20:21
173  Lilliana Cate 11 20:22 21:16 20:10 20:38 20:24 20:17 20:13 20:05 20:48 20:19 20:04
179  Charlotte Konow 12 20:23 19:53 20:08 20:09 20:13 20:24 20:34 20:34 20:30 20:23
217  Kalinda Lee 9 20:33 20:09 24:09 20:24 20:30 20:25 20:30 21:01 20:48 21:02
218  Noelle Avila 11 20:33 20:56 20:44 20:15 20:33 20:42 20:19 20:40 20:14 20:27
220  Ella Weaver 9 20:34 21:20 20:18 20:40 20:19 20:37 20:44 20:16 20:29 20:10
243  Maija Gilhooly 10 20:40 20:47 20:42 20:27 20:18 20:49 20:59 20:39 20:30 20:36
260  Nola Elling 12 20:42 20:14 20:11 21:04 20:30 20:35 21:36 20:42
274  Ellie Smith 11 20:46 21:02 20:45 20:34 20:32 20:59 20:35
306  Arden Finley 11 20:54 21:28 24:16 20:51 21:04 20:55 20:29 20:52 20:58 20:39 20:46
310  Raya Chauhan 12 20:54 20:55 20:48
355  Sophia Vasquez 12 21:04 21:07 20:56
399  Veronica Strzynski 12 21:15 21:50 25:16 21:36 20:51 21:01 21:24 21:34 20:56 20:57 21:23
411  Katie Zhuravlev 9 21:18 21:05 20:59 21:07 21:27 21:27 21:25 21:25 21:08
433  Malia Larger 10 21:24 21:32 21:26 21:00 21:10 21:11 22:10 20:42 21:30 22:00 21:17
439  Maddie Cox 11 21:25 21:15 21:36 21:09 21:18 21:08 21:49 21:27
462  Elise Maurer 9 21:29 21:30 34:22 22:25 21:28 21:02 21:16 21:16 21:31
511  Caroline Schmidt 11 21:36 21:23 21:36 21:22 21:44 21:39 21:34 21:39 21:41 21:18
592  Emma Meisner 10 21:49 21:45 22:04 21:48 21:46 21:16 21:32 21:51 21:32 22:16 22:01
602  Brianna Roper 12 21:50 21:25 21:34 22:28 21:37 21:35 21:55 22:53 21:34 21:50 21:44
650  Emma Kistler 11 21:57 22:29 21:25 22:18 21:33 22:01 21:26 21:37 22:13 22:06 22:18
679  Andrea Bendaly 12 22:02 21:01 21:58 22:28 21:52 22:31 21:27 21:39 22:26
770  Lauren Goedde 9 22:17 22:25 22:07
790  Annabelle Inman 10 22:20 20:41 23:48 22:07 22:34 22:24 22:39 22:03 21:48 23:18 22:09
802  Sophie Frey 9 22:22 23:28 22:26 22:20 22:10 22:15 22:17 21:57
832  Eleanor Snopek 9 22:26 22:20 21:59 22:42 22:57 22:07 22:23 21:51 22:35 22:41
863  Eza Ahmad 9 22:30 22:41 22:35 23:08 22:53 22:08 22:12 21:46
1,039  Hanna Schaller 10 22:56 21:48 22:50 23:44 23:21 22:03 21:53 23:40 22:01 23:14 23:32
1,100  Vera Griffin 10 23:04 23:25 23:32 23:13 23:16 22:43 22:50 22:35
1,117  Mia Watson 10 23:07 23:24 23:36 23:49 22:00 22:41 23:33 22:27 22:38 23:40
1,166  Frannie Anderson 9 23:14 23:43 23:43 23:32 22:48 22:38 22:47
1,170  Gia Ferrettie 10 23:14 23:28 23:06 23:08 23:25 22:54 27:25 23:09 23:23
1,191  Sarina Patel 10 23:17 23:19 23:10 23:38 23:44 22:54 22:55 23:05 23:22
1,215  Francesca Andersen 9 23:22 23:30 23:11
Ansley Lyons 9 23:31 23:32 23:02 25:25 24:56 23:51 23:09 23:47 22:30
Camrin Petro 11 23:39 23:33 23:38 23:43 23:58 23:46 23:12 22:39 23:28 24:21
Regan Murphy 11 23:39 23:01 23:30 23:26 24:51 27:05
Maddy Hill 9 23:43 23:24 23:39 24:48 23:39 24:56 23:44 23:26 23:14 23:28
Izzie Shin 9 23:45 23:26 23:36 24:13 25:56
Ashlyn Neuoff 11 23:52 23:22 23:50 23:47 23:41 24:07 24:17 23:47 23:53
Audrey Nace 12 23:52 23:26 24:02 23:36 24:42 23:50 24:02 24:12 23:37 23:42 23:09
Lexi Marsella 11 23:53 23:11 24:17 23:52 23:44 23:52
Demi Zhang 9 24:00 25:06 23:39 26:08 24:10 24:26 24:29 23:41 23:24 22:57
Emma Imler 12 24:00 24:22 24:22 23:53 24:09 23:50 23:57 23:33
Marie Perrin 9 24:05 23:35 24:04 24:02 23:45 24:04 24:38 24:03 24:03 24:19
Madelyn Putman 12 24:07 23:22 23:55 23:58 24:41 25:20 24:05 23:34 24:02
Misha Desai 10 24:27 23:41 24:37 25:59 24:39 24:17 25:03 24:16 24:06 24:23
Sam Feys 10 24:30 22:58 24:29 24:03 24:38 24:58 26:15 24:38
Keeley Rohrer 12 24:40 24:14 25:46 24:38 24:39 25:19 24:33 24:10 24:21
Ella Cantafio 11 24:51 23:23 25:18
Emma Warner 10 25:07 23:36 25:30 25:03 25:08 24:38 25:54 26:48
Eva Marsden 11 25:08 24:03 25:35 24:18 25:40 25:46 24:33 25:13
Emily Migut 9 25:18 26:33 23:25 25:26 26:31 25:38 24:52 24:07
Ananya Potluri 9 30:29 21:47 34:19 33:39
Piper Owen  9 31:46 31:19 32:58 33:13 32:50 31:59 33:17 35:03




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 1.3 101 82.3 11.9 3.7 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 39 94.5 5.0 0.4 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 99.0 0.8 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 100% 11.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.8 4.6 8.1 7.8 7.7 8.2 6.7 6.3 5.1 5.5 4.7 4.5 3.8 3.8 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.2 1.6 1.2 1.3 100.0%
Annabel Pollert 100% 22.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.7 2.7 3.3 3.0 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.3 3.5 4.0 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 25.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.6 3.2 3.1 3.6 3.6 3.4 4.0 3.7 3.6 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 38.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.6 1.5 1.8 1.8 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 48.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 100.0%
Katy Dascoli 100% 96.4 99.7%
Ella Gaddis 100% 107.7 99.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 100% 2.1 2.3 45.6 29.0 12.4 5.8 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Annabel Pollert 100% 4.7 0.1 3.4 12.5 19.8 18.9 14.9 10.7 6.4 4.3 2.8 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 5.4 0.0 1.7 7.9 15.7 18.8 16.3 11.6 8.6 6.2 3.9 3.0 1.8 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 9.1 0.1 0.8 2.1 4.4 8.3 11.6 11.0 10.8 9.4 7.3 6.9 6.1 5.0 4.0 3.6 2.6 1.9 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Olivia Mundt 100% 12.3 0.1 0.1 1.2 2.8 4.6 6.7 8.1 7.6 7.9 8.3 7.7 7.5 6.9 6.3 5.3 4.8 3.6 3.2 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.9 0.5 100.0%
Katy Dascoli 100% 23.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 2.0 2.3 2.9 3.4 5.1 5.7 6.9 7.1 7.6 7.6 8.0 100.0%
Ella Gaddis 100% 25.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.7 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.6 5.5 6.2 7.0 7.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sadie Foley 1.6 2.4 82.3 11.9 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Annabel Pollert 3.0 0.1 7.9 42.2 28.5 11.1 4.9 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Larkin Taylor 3.4 0.0 4.4 29.7 35.7 14.6 7.1 4.0 2.3 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Margo Halle 5.6 0.2 3.1 10.5 25.4 19.0 12.2 9.3 7.4 5.0 3.4 2.1 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Olivia Mundt 7.5 0.6 1.9 9.9 17.0 13.9 13.0 10.9 9.2 8.1 6.4 4.1 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Katy Dascoli 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.5 4.3 5.2 7.4 9.9 11.8 12.8 12.0 11.9 7.7 5.4 3.1 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1
Ella Gaddis 15.8 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.2 2.9 4.4 7.2 8.7 11.7 13.3 13.5 11.2 8.2 5.7 4.1 2.6 0.9 0.5 0.3