All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Franklin Community Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Jasper Wildcat Invitational |
Nike Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
| Team Rating |
205 | |
214 |
147 |
165 |
217 |
234 |
195 |
653 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
214 |
147 |
165 |
217 |
234 |
195 |
205 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Franklin Community Invitational |
Rick Weinheimer Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Conference Indiana |
Jasper Wildcat Invitational |
Nike Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invite |
|---|
| 17 |
Carys Glen-Jones |
12 |
18:40 |
18:57 |
18:32 |
18:22 |
18:27 |
18:48 |
18:44 |
19:24 |
|
| 74 |
Kyleigh Wolf |
12 |
19:33 |
19:29 |
19:40 |
19:14 |
19:02 |
19:27 |
20:03 |
19:41 |
|
| 81 |
Tristan Works |
10 |
19:35 |
20:36 |
19:51 |
19:12 |
19:17 |
19:47 |
19:27 |
19:36 |
|
| 106 |
Macy Eaton |
12 |
19:48 |
20:35 |
19:45 |
19:15 |
19:54 |
19:52 |
20:06 |
19:18 |
|
| 108 |
Ainsley Sherlock |
11 |
19:49 |
19:44 |
19:46 |
19:59 |
19:32 |
19:51 |
20:14 |
19:21 |
|
| 129 |
Emma Lowther |
10 |
20:01 |
20:28 |
20:03 |
19:44 |
20:06 |
20:05 |
19:48 |
19:55 |
|
| 177 |
Rendy Zhong |
10 |
20:23 |
|
20:04 |
20:22 |
20:26 |
20:24 |
20:25 |
20:26 |
20:19 |
| 188 |
Adira Sluder |
10 |
20:26 |
21:29 |
20:38 |
20:17 |
20:17 |
20:12 |
20:24 |
20:28 |
|
| 207 |
Kodi Smith |
9 |
20:31 |
|
20:12 |
20:23 |
20:48 |
20:15 |
20:48 |
20:17 |
20:47 |
| 383 |
Wendy Zhong |
10 |
21:11 |
22:32 |
21:03 |
20:30 |
21:31 |
21:16 |
20:38 |
21:01 |
21:46 |
| 499 |
Reece Peeples |
10 |
21:34 |
21:49 |
21:11 |
21:29 |
22:27 |
21:24 |
21:35 |
21:24 |
21:28 |
| 895 |
Brooklyn Donner |
10 |
22:34 |
23:24 |
23:05 |
23:37 |
22:22 |
22:34 |
22:03 |
21:59 |
22:17 |
| 903 |
Katie Frazier |
12 |
22:35 |
21:19 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:17 |
22:20 |
| 914 |
Andi Carothers |
10 |
22:37 |
21:59 |
22:02 |
24:22 |
23:08 |
23:17 |
22:15 |
22:27 |
22:46 |
| 950 |
Maggie Russell |
12 |
22:43 |
21:25 |
22:14 |
22:51 |
22:06 |
22:47 |
22:58 |
22:39 |
23:43 |
| 1,030 |
Mckynze Contratto |
10 |
22:55 |
23:10 |
22:41 |
23:03 |
22:21 |
23:12 |
|
22:48 |
23:00 |
| 1,080 |
Lucy Nevins |
9 |
23:01 |
|
22:44 |
23:00 |
22:23 |
22:53 |
23:00 |
23:24 |
23:52 |
| 1,197 |
Cooper Gant |
9 |
23:18 |
|
23:42 |
24:03 |
22:56 |
23:09 |
|
22:51 |
23:14 |
|
Ellie Frazier |
9 |
23:34 |
|
23:49 |
23:22 |
23:17 |
24:10 |
23:10 |
22:59 |
24:38 |
|
Claire Rawlings |
10 |
23:36 |
|
23:43 |
24:03 |
23:18 |
23:28 |
|
23:15 |
23:47 |
|
Ava Horn |
9 |
23:51 |
|
23:10 |
23:38 |
23:42 |
24:06 |
|
24:31 |
23:58 |
|
Rebecca Simon |
11 |
24:37 |
22:54 |
24:53 |
24:34 |
24:08 |
|
|
25:09 |
24:51 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
7.1 |
239 |
0.4 |
3.7 |
6.4 |
8.5 |
10.9 |
14.1 |
14.4 |
11.9 |
9.9 |
6.9 |
5.3 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
50 |
88.7 |
11.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
20 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Carys Glen-Jones |
100% |
19.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
4.4 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Kyleigh Wolf |
100% |
75.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Tristan Works |
100% |
79.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Macy Eaton |
100% |
103.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Ainsley Sherlock |
100% |
103.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Emma Lowther |
100% |
126.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.4% |
| Rendy Zhong |
100% |
165.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
88.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Carys Glen-Jones |
100% |
1.3 |
41.8 |
26.9 |
16.8 |
8.0 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kyleigh Wolf |
100% |
9.9 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
4.4 |
7.0 |
9.1 |
12.9 |
13.2 |
12.2 |
10.1 |
8.1 |
5.8 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Tristan Works |
100% |
10.4 |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
5.4 |
8.2 |
11.2 |
12.7 |
12.3 |
11.5 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
4.9 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Macy Eaton |
100% |
14.1 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
5.1 |
7.6 |
8.8 |
10.1 |
9.9 |
9.3 |
8.4 |
7.4 |
6.5 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Ainsley Sherlock |
100% |
14.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
6.9 |
8.8 |
9.7 |
10.3 |
9.6 |
8.7 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Emma Lowther |
100% |
18.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
7.1 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
6.3 |
5.7 |
4.3 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Rendy Zhong |
100% |
27.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
5.1 |
4.8 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Carys Glen-Jones |
1.0 |
57.6 |
42.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kyleigh Wolf |
3.1 |
|
1.1 |
44.9 |
30.4 |
13.6 |
6.9 |
2.3 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tristan Works |
3.4 |
|
0.8 |
36.0 |
33.2 |
17.0 |
7.9 |
3.5 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Macy Eaton |
5.2 |
|
0.1 |
6.4 |
13.1 |
24.8 |
25.8 |
17.3 |
9.0 |
2.9 |
0.5 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ainsley Sherlock |
5.3 |
|
0.0 |
4.9 |
11.9 |
24.5 |
26.8 |
18.0 |
10.1 |
3.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Emma Lowther |
7.0 |
|
|
0.4 |
2.0 |
5.5 |
13.5 |
28.3 |
26.8 |
17.5 |
4.9 |
1.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rendy Zhong |
9.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.7 |
10.7 |
26.0 |
38.4 |
19.6 |
1.7 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
