All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Invite |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/7 |
| Team Rating |
204 | |
182 |
181 |
551 |
223 |
195 |
165 |
753 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
182 |
181 |
180 |
194 |
195 |
165 |
204 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Invite |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
Noblesville JV Invite |
|---|
| 30 |
Riley Flynn |
12 |
18:52 |
18:59 |
18:57 |
18:37 |
|
18:50 |
19:00 |
18:35 |
|
| 31 |
Ansley Applegate |
11 |
18:56 |
18:59 |
18:43 |
18:52 |
|
19:08 |
19:01 |
18:32 |
|
| 52 |
Brinkley Cooper |
12 |
19:20 |
20:14 |
19:16 |
19:12 |
|
19:12 |
19:26 |
19:11 |
|
| 67 |
Jayde Stamm |
10 |
19:28 |
21:28 |
19:21 |
19:48 |
|
19:12 |
19:11 |
19:28 |
|
| 246 |
Ella Wirkner |
12 |
20:40 |
21:56 |
20:32 |
20:16 |
20:45 |
|
20:48 |
20:32 |
|
| 263 |
Kate Mumaw |
10 |
20:43 |
20:11 |
20:50 |
21:02 |
20:10 |
|
20:31 |
21:02 |
|
| 277 |
Lexi Miller |
12 |
20:47 |
21:15 |
20:30 |
20:09 |
|
21:09 |
21:24 |
20:22 |
|
| 316 |
Gretchen Graham |
11 |
20:55 |
20:21 |
20:43 |
20:44 |
20:51 |
|
21:03 |
21:20 |
|
| 450 |
Norah Mathes |
9 |
21:27 |
|
21:53 |
21:36 |
21:23 |
21:21 |
21:03 |
21:27 |
21:20 |
| 456 |
Addie Scott |
10 |
21:28 |
|
21:02 |
21:42 |
21:43 |
21:10 |
21:35 |
21:19 |
21:34 |
| 710 |
Izzy Salinas |
9 |
22:07 |
|
|
21:48 |
22:03 |
22:34 |
22:19 |
22:11 |
21:27 |
| 723 |
Emmerson Dougherty |
12 |
22:08 |
21:54 |
22:00 |
22:17 |
|
23:30 |
22:34 |
21:55 |
21:51 |
| 795 |
Katie Horbett |
12 |
22:21 |
23:14 |
22:07 |
22:27 |
22:17 |
22:15 |
22:14 |
|
22:18 |
| 796 |
Anna Miller |
10 |
22:21 |
21:47 |
|
24:04 |
22:41 |
21:58 |
21:58 |
22:35 |
22:39 |
| 808 |
Olivia Ozimek |
9 |
22:23 |
|
22:57 |
22:23 |
22:31 |
22:04 |
|
21:41 |
22:24 |
| 830 |
Kenley Johnson |
10 |
22:25 |
21:25 |
23:34 |
22:34 |
22:24 |
22:28 |
24:55 |
21:46 |
22:10 |
| 956 |
Addi Struck |
10 |
22:44 |
22:34 |
22:58 |
22:36 |
22:34 |
22:51 |
|
|
|
| 1,243 |
Addison Emmerson |
12 |
23:25 |
21:46 |
23:26 |
23:38 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Brooke Dinius |
12 |
23:45 |
|
24:08 |
24:15 |
23:18 |
23:45 |
23:38 |
23:49 |
23:03 |
|
Grace Crawford |
10 |
24:12 |
|
|
23:32 |
|
|
24:10 |
24:34 |
24:20 |
|
Selby Jackson |
11 |
24:16 |
23:49 |
24:21 |
24:29 |
23:53 |
24:13 |
24:18 |
24:46 |
23:49 |
|
Hailee Ballard |
12 |
24:40 |
23:38 |
24:52 |
24:59 |
24:42 |
24:33 |
24:26 |
26:06 |
23:32 |
|
Mallory Stewart |
12 |
25:31 |
24:34 |
25:43 |
25:26 |
|
24:43 |
|
26:06 |
25:43 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
6.8 |
234 |
0.2 |
3.0 |
6.1 |
10.2 |
13.9 |
14.7 |
15.3 |
12.6 |
9.0 |
6.1 |
3.7 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.4 |
91 |
67.3 |
22.5 |
8.5 |
1.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.3 |
57 |
76.8 |
21.1 |
1.8 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Riley Flynn |
100% |
27.6 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Ansley Applegate |
100% |
30.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Brinkley Cooper |
100% |
54.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
99.2% |
| Jayde Stamm |
100% |
66.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
96.9% |
| Ella Wirkner |
100% |
191.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.8% |
| Kate Mumaw |
100% |
195.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.4% |
| Lexi Miller |
100% |
200.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.5% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Riley Flynn |
100% |
8.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
4.4 |
7.1 |
10.6 |
13.4 |
14.6 |
14.6 |
12.5 |
8.7 |
5.6 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ansley Applegate |
100% |
8.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
2.4 |
5.0 |
7.7 |
10.4 |
14.0 |
15.5 |
13.7 |
9.9 |
7.5 |
4.8 |
3.2 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Brinkley Cooper |
100% |
14.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
4.2 |
6.4 |
9.0 |
10.1 |
9.7 |
9.3 |
8.3 |
7.4 |
6.2 |
5.6 |
5.0 |
3.7 |
2.9 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Jayde Stamm |
100% |
17.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.6 |
4.1 |
6.1 |
7.3 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
8.1 |
8.6 |
8.2 |
7.3 |
6.3 |
5.3 |
4.5 |
3.8 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Ella Wirkner |
100% |
54.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Kate Mumaw |
100% |
57.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lexi Miller |
100% |
60.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Riley Flynn |
4.6 |
|
0.3 |
9.0 |
20.2 |
33.0 |
23.7 |
7.4 |
3.7 |
1.6 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ansley Applegate |
5.1 |
|
0.1 |
5.3 |
14.4 |
28.3 |
31.4 |
10.8 |
5.4 |
2.6 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brinkley Cooper |
8.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
5.1 |
18.8 |
18.0 |
16.2 |
13.2 |
10.3 |
7.4 |
4.4 |
3.0 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Jayde Stamm |
9.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.1 |
7.6 |
12.7 |
14.0 |
15.1 |
13.5 |
12.9 |
8.6 |
6.3 |
3.7 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Ella Wirkner |
28.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
5.1 |
5.5 |
| Kate Mumaw |
29.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
5.0 |
| Lexi Miller |
31.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
|
