All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Marion County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Nike Twilight |
NCXC JV Invite |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/18 |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/9 |
| Team Rating |
221 | |
239 |
193 |
198 |
220 |
227 |
772 |
231 |
221 |
192 |
844 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
239 |
193 |
198 |
220 |
227 |
221 |
231 |
221 |
192 |
221 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kick-Off |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Marion County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invitational |
Flashrock Invitational |
Metro Interscholastic Conf. |
Nike Twilight |
NCXC JV Invite |
|---|
| 41 |
Kelsey Rehmel |
11 |
19:10 |
19:40 |
19:32 |
19:09 |
18:59 |
19:11 |
19:00 |
|
19:09 |
19:11 |
18:45 |
|
| 48 |
Kaelina Matthews |
12 |
19:16 |
19:15 |
19:07 |
19:13 |
19:20 |
19:14 |
19:05 |
|
19:29 |
19:09 |
19:16 |
|
| 63 |
Elizabeth Rocchio |
11 |
19:27 |
18:42 |
19:49 |
19:29 |
18:56 |
19:18 |
19:58 |
|
19:18 |
19:26 |
19:25 |
|
| 112 |
Aislinn Biesecker |
9 |
19:53 |
|
19:22 |
19:27 |
20:00 |
20:18 |
19:43 |
|
20:01 |
20:06 |
19:54 |
|
| 152 |
Ruby Brown |
10 |
20:11 |
20:49 |
20:42 |
19:55 |
20:07 |
20:01 |
20:18 |
|
20:19 |
20:02 |
19:45 |
|
| 171 |
Valerie Fernhaber |
10 |
20:20 |
20:28 |
20:33 |
19:55 |
19:58 |
20:11 |
20:16 |
|
20:16 |
20:30 |
20:56 |
|
| 357 |
Isabella Ewer |
9 |
21:05 |
|
21:21 |
21:09 |
21:03 |
21:02 |
|
|
|
20:48 |
20:58 |
|
| 362 |
Isabel Tipmore |
12 |
21:05 |
20:43 |
20:40 |
|
21:12 |
20:53 |
21:23 |
|
21:00 |
21:01 |
21:22 |
|
| 494 |
Tatum Houle |
11 |
21:34 |
21:15 |
21:47 |
21:22 |
|
21:40 |
21:10 |
|
21:44 |
21:53 |
|
21:16 |
| 584 |
Eleanor Kirchhoff |
9 |
21:46 |
|
22:52 |
21:33 |
21:53 |
22:41 |
|
21:21 |
21:53 |
21:04 |
21:22 |
|
| 599 |
Adrienne Spacey |
9 |
21:49 |
|
22:04 |
22:01 |
20:40 |
21:41 |
21:47 |
|
22:03 |
21:50 |
|
|
| 672 |
Stella Sermersheim |
9 |
22:01 |
|
22:16 |
22:47 |
22:04 |
21:51 |
|
21:54 |
21:12 |
21:58 |
|
|
| 695 |
Betty Gebreananya |
10 |
22:04 |
20:46 |
|
22:02 |
|
22:06 |
|
21:57 |
21:50 |
22:33 |
|
|
| 713 |
Megan Smith |
9 |
22:07 |
|
|
21:40 |
22:01 |
22:52 |
|
22:04 |
22:15 |
21:57 |
|
|
| 739 |
Elle Bryant |
12 |
22:10 |
22:22 |
22:46 |
22:25 |
|
22:17 |
|
21:45 |
22:21 |
21:28 |
22:11 |
21:35 |
| 740 |
Clara Smith |
10 |
22:10 |
20:10 |
|
22:31 |
|
21:43 |
|
22:23 |
24:14 |
22:20 |
|
24:10 |
| 742 |
Charlotte Mallon |
11 |
22:11 |
21:56 |
22:41 |
22:02 |
|
21:43 |
|
21:45 |
22:20 |
22:45 |
|
|
| 743 |
Marlee Scott |
10 |
22:11 |
23:49 |
21:54 |
21:31 |
|
22:31 |
|
21:54 |
|
22:33 |
|
|
| 867 |
Georgia Colmen |
10 |
22:31 |
21:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22:24 |
|
22:49 |
| 923 |
Lucy Phillips |
10 |
22:39 |
24:07 |
23:02 |
22:37 |
|
23:12 |
|
22:07 |
22:43 |
22:09 |
|
22:00 |
| 996 |
Julia Eynon |
11 |
22:50 |
22:31 |
|
23:10 |
|
22:48 |
|
23:03 |
22:14 |
23:21 |
|
22:17 |
| 1,058 |
Talia Ingemi |
11 |
22:59 |
23:29 |
22:10 |
21:54 |
|
22:58 |
|
22:55 |
|
23:57 |
|
23:15 |
| 1,064 |
Annabell Jameson |
9 |
23:00 |
|
|
22:55 |
22:41 |
23:08 |
|
22:56 |
22:34 |
23:10 |
|
23:15 |
| 1,128 |
Lainey Deetz |
12 |
23:09 |
22:39 |
23:41 |
23:58 |
|
22:33 |
|
23:48 |
22:12 |
23:16 |
|
22:43 |
|
Theo Jessup |
11 |
24:03 |
|
|
24:34 |
|
24:13 |
|
24:13 |
24:10 |
23:26 |
|
22:55 |
|
Madison Jackson |
12 |
24:11 |
|
25:54 |
24:02 |
|
24:05 |
|
24:20 |
23:59 |
23:26 |
|
25:27 |
|
Kate Baldwin |
11 |
24:19 |
|
|
24:32 |
|
25:05 |
|
24:27 |
24:09 |
23:33 |
|
23:49 |
|
Adelaide Hensley |
10 |
25:40 |
24:01 |
|
|
|
25:29 |
|
27:15 |
26:41 |
25:37 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
96.8% |
8.4 |
261 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
4.7 |
7.5 |
10.2 |
11.4 |
12.8 |
12.0 |
10.7 |
7.8 |
5.8 |
4.2 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.5 |
102 |
0.4 |
13.4 |
39.5 |
32.6 |
11.0 |
2.7 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.6 |
63 |
0.6 |
51.4 |
33.7 |
14.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kelsey Rehmel |
100% |
43.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Kaelina Matthews |
100% |
50.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Rocchio |
100% |
65.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Aislinn Biesecker |
99.6% |
112.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
87.5% |
98.8% |
| Ruby Brown |
97.7% |
144.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28.8% |
86.9% |
| Valerie Fernhaber |
97.3% |
159.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15.0% |
73.0% |
| Isabella Ewer |
96.8% |
217.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.8% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kelsey Rehmel |
100% |
10.6 |
|
0.4 |
0.8 |
2.5 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
6.4 |
6.9 |
9.4 |
9.2 |
8.9 |
8.3 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
4.5 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Kaelina Matthews |
100% |
12.9 |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.7 |
4.8 |
6.3 |
6.7 |
7.8 |
7.4 |
8.1 |
7.6 |
7.3 |
6.5 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Rocchio |
100% |
16.9 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
5.3 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
7.6 |
7.2 |
7.0 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Aislinn Biesecker |
100% |
26.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
6.7 |
6.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Ruby Brown |
100% |
33.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Valerie Fernhaber |
100% |
37.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Isabella Ewer |
100% |
63.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kelsey Rehmel |
6.5 |
|
1.4 |
5.1 |
7.9 |
13.2 |
14.9 |
15.9 |
11.6 |
9.9 |
6.8 |
5.3 |
3.6 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kaelina Matthews |
7.9 |
|
0.5 |
2.1 |
3.8 |
7.5 |
10.6 |
12.8 |
14.2 |
11.9 |
10.7 |
8.6 |
6.3 |
4.9 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elizabeth Rocchio |
10.4 |
|
0.0 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
4.2 |
6.1 |
8.9 |
10.7 |
11.9 |
11.6 |
11.5 |
9.3 |
8.3 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
2.5 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Aislinn Biesecker |
16.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
5.9 |
8.1 |
10.9 |
12.4 |
13.6 |
13.7 |
11.3 |
7.7 |
4.1 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Ruby Brown |
19.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
4.4 |
6.7 |
9.5 |
12.5 |
15.9 |
15.0 |
12.3 |
8.6 |
5.1 |
2.8 |
| Valerie Fernhaber |
21.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
4.9 |
8.2 |
11.3 |
13.9 |
16.4 |
14.4 |
11.0 |
7.6 |
| Isabella Ewer |
28.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
4.3 |
|
