All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/24 |
8/31 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
| Team Rating |
227 | |
260 |
199 |
207 |
207 |
485 |
237 |
213 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
260 |
199 |
207 |
207 |
227 |
237 |
213 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Invitational (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Invite |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Twilight |
|---|
| 47 |
Kathryn Green |
11 |
19:15 |
19:05 |
19:34 |
19:06 |
19:07 |
19:02 |
|
19:35 |
19:14 |
| 60 |
Letty Banwart |
9 |
19:24 |
|
19:24 |
19:12 |
19:37 |
19:07 |
|
19:25 |
19:28 |
| 68 |
Katherine Bowen |
12 |
19:29 |
20:04 |
19:45 |
19:17 |
19:14 |
19:26 |
|
19:28 |
19:28 |
| 113 |
Cailyn Murphy |
11 |
19:53 |
19:44 |
20:13 |
19:54 |
19:49 |
19:43 |
|
20:00 |
19:42 |
| 142 |
Megan Race |
10 |
20:06 |
20:19 |
20:24 |
19:52 |
19:49 |
20:25 |
|
19:54 |
19:55 |
| 164 |
Allison Bruggers |
10 |
20:16 |
20:46 |
20:00 |
19:55 |
20:07 |
20:14 |
|
20:24 |
20:38 |
| 222 |
Marlee Phillips |
11 |
20:35 |
21:02 |
20:36 |
20:48 |
|
20:23 |
20:36 |
20:21 |
20:23 |
| 265 |
Sara Bostwick |
11 |
20:43 |
20:24 |
20:34 |
20:33 |
20:54 |
20:49 |
20:40 |
20:36 |
20:52 |
| 275 |
Madeline Bruns |
11 |
20:46 |
21:00 |
20:33 |
19:59 |
21:28 |
20:55 |
20:44 |
20:56 |
20:13 |
| 291 |
Addisyn Hoffman |
10 |
20:50 |
20:27 |
20:28 |
20:38 |
21:02 |
|
|
21:29 |
20:42 |
| 312 |
Jane Porzel |
10 |
20:55 |
21:27 |
21:21 |
21:07 |
|
20:48 |
20:53 |
20:39 |
20:17 |
| 363 |
Kora Schuitman |
9 |
21:06 |
|
21:23 |
21:39 |
|
20:57 |
20:59 |
20:21 |
21:10 |
| 375 |
Maryn Carter |
9 |
21:09 |
|
21:06 |
20:38 |
21:00 |
21:32 |
21:22 |
21:18 |
20:44 |
| 380 |
Abigail McClure |
11 |
21:10 |
|
20:55 |
21:48 |
|
21:03 |
21:02 |
|
22:18 |
| 406 |
Delaney Schmidt |
10 |
21:17 |
20:30 |
|
23:54 |
|
21:37 |
21:28 |
21:06 |
21:08 |
| 512 |
Clara Carlson |
10 |
21:36 |
21:37 |
21:20 |
21:22 |
|
21:36 |
21:13 |
22:10 |
21:46 |
| 615 |
Maria Vazquez |
11 |
21:52 |
22:35 |
22:03 |
21:07 |
|
22:10 |
21:39 |
22:00 |
21:37 |
| 617 |
Emersyn Billings |
9 |
21:52 |
|
22:10 |
|
|
21:48 |
22:01 |
21:47 |
21:21 |
| 729 |
Sophia Koons |
9 |
22:10 |
|
22:52 |
22:12 |
|
22:18 |
21:51 |
21:57 |
21:43 |
| 788 |
Alyssa Mayrose |
10 |
22:20 |
|
21:28 |
21:48 |
|
|
22:32 |
22:38 |
22:52 |
| 810 |
Avery Hughes |
9 |
22:23 |
|
22:27 |
22:25 |
|
22:09 |
22:28 |
|
22:16 |
| 859 |
Mikaela Hoone |
9 |
22:30 |
|
21:46 |
22:41 |
|
22:25 |
22:27 |
22:34 |
22:44 |
| 911 |
Claire Niziolek |
9 |
22:37 |
|
22:31 |
|
|
22:36 |
22:56 |
22:37 |
22:17 |
| 917 |
Delaney Towns |
9 |
22:38 |
|
22:37 |
22:34 |
|
24:04 |
22:27 |
22:37 |
22:43 |
| 921 |
Lucy Bostian |
10 |
22:38 |
21:30 |
|
22:53 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 990 |
Alexsandra Dehart |
11 |
22:49 |
23:36 |
22:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,001 |
Alexandra Gallagher |
12 |
22:50 |
22:53 |
22:59 |
22:51 |
|
23:07 |
22:48 |
22:19 |
22:39 |
| 1,065 |
Johana Coons |
12 |
23:00 |
22:29 |
23:24 |
23:08 |
|
23:07 |
23:03 |
22:53 |
22:27 |
| 1,111 |
Abigail Altman |
12 |
23:06 |
22:40 |
|
22:11 |
|
22:56 |
23:13 |
23:19 |
23:48 |
| 1,138 |
Carolyn Williams |
12 |
23:11 |
22:21 |
23:47 |
23:11 |
|
23:16 |
25:49 |
22:58 |
22:58 |
| 1,160 |
Kaitlyn Hopkins |
9 |
23:13 |
|
22:54 |
23:08 |
|
23:45 |
22:49 |
23:44 |
23:03 |
| 1,190 |
Olivia van Gelder |
9 |
23:17 |
|
|
23:30 |
|
23:26 |
23:21 |
23:14 |
22:43 |
|
Arleen Reynolds |
10 |
23:35 |
22:25 |
|
24:35 |
|
24:09 |
23:31 |
23:27 |
22:45 |
|
Ava Mounce |
12 |
23:49 |
|
24:40 |
23:43 |
|
24:22 |
23:33 |
23:27 |
23:28 |
|
Liora DeVelvis |
10 |
24:18 |
|
24:56 |
23:15 |
|
24:24 |
24:18 |
|
|
|
Bethany Michael |
11 |
24:24 |
24:23 |
24:45 |
24:22 |
|
24:02 |
25:21 |
23:38 |
24:15 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
95.4% |
8.7 |
267 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
6.5 |
8.6 |
11.2 |
12.6 |
13.0 |
10.9 |
8.5 |
7.0 |
4.4 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.7 |
105 |
0.2 |
10.5 |
34.4 |
38.0 |
12.3 |
3.9 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.8 |
65 |
0.4 |
40.5 |
41.5 |
17.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kathryn Green |
100% |
49.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Letty Banwart |
100% |
60.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Katherine Bowen |
100% |
70.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Cailyn Murphy |
99.5% |
111.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
88.7% |
98.8% |
| Megan Race |
97.9% |
134.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
55.2% |
92.9% |
| Allison Bruggers |
96.6% |
152.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.7% |
79.1% |
| Marlee Phillips |
95.5% |
183.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.2% |
39.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kathryn Green |
100% |
12.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
5.4 |
6.2 |
7.9 |
7.3 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
5.7 |
5.2 |
4.1 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Letty Banwart |
100% |
15.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
6.8 |
8.0 |
7.5 |
8.0 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Katherine Bowen |
100% |
18.0 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
6.7 |
7.5 |
8.0 |
7.9 |
8.0 |
7.4 |
6.4 |
5.1 |
3.9 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Cailyn Murphy |
100% |
26.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
2.4 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
5.0 |
6.1 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Megan Race |
100% |
31.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Allison Bruggers |
100% |
35.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Marlee Phillips |
100% |
45.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kathryn Green |
7.6 |
|
0.7 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
8.9 |
10.6 |
13.2 |
13.4 |
11.8 |
10.5 |
8.1 |
6.3 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Letty Banwart |
9.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
3.7 |
5.7 |
8.7 |
9.7 |
11.5 |
11.9 |
12.7 |
10.4 |
8.4 |
6.1 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Katherine Bowen |
11.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
4.4 |
7.0 |
9.5 |
10.6 |
12.6 |
12.4 |
11.4 |
9.5 |
7.4 |
5.2 |
2.8 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Cailyn Murphy |
16.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
5.9 |
7.9 |
11.2 |
13.5 |
14.7 |
14.5 |
10.7 |
7.2 |
4.3 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
| Megan Race |
18.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
6.1 |
9.3 |
14.8 |
15.8 |
14.6 |
12.4 |
8.3 |
5.6 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
| Allison Bruggers |
20.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.5 |
3.9 |
5.7 |
10.6 |
13.9 |
16.1 |
16.5 |
12.1 |
8.5 |
4.7 |
| Marlee Phillips |
23.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
3.1 |
6.4 |
9.4 |
13.5 |
17.8 |
16.7 |
|
