Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#175
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#190
Pace67.6#214
Improvement+3.4#41

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#65
First Shot+6.4#31
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#283
Layup/Dunks-4.6#321
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.9#5
Freethrows+0.8#118
Improvement+5.0#5

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#302
First Shot-5.1#314
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#174
Layups/Dunks-1.7#242
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#344
Freethrows+3.3#5
Improvement-1.6#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 411 - 312 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 04, 2020 54   @ Michigan St. L 76-83 13%     0 - 1 +4.7 +4.5 +0.8
  Dec 06, 2020 84   @ Notre Dame L 70-78 19%     0 - 2 +1.0 -3.1 +4.1
  Dec 09, 2020 116   Kent St. L 66-80 42%     0 - 3 -12.5 -10.7 -0.8
  Dec 12, 2020 276   @ Western Michigan W 67-57 70%     1 - 3 +4.2 -0.3 +5.6
  Dec 19, 2020 76   Wright St. L 70-93 27%     1 - 4 0 - 1 -17.1 -5.3 -10.2
  Dec 20, 2020 76   Wright St. L 72-85 27%     1 - 5 0 - 2 -7.1 -2.5 -3.9
  Dec 26, 2020 223   Oakland L 75-77 OT 71%     1 - 6 0 - 3 -8.1 -11.8 +3.9
  Dec 27, 2020 223   Oakland L 80-83 71%     1 - 7 0 - 4 -9.1 +1.5 -10.7
  Jan 15, 2021 251   Green Bay W 86-61 76%     2 - 7 1 - 4 +17.3 +9.2 +9.0
  Jan 16, 2021 251   Green Bay W 68-65 76%     3 - 7 2 - 4 -4.7 -1.1 -3.1
  Jan 22, 2021 223   @ Oakland L 81-86 57%     3 - 8 2 - 5 -7.3 +4.7 -12.0
  Jan 23, 2021 223   @ Oakland W 82-72 57%     4 - 8 3 - 5 +7.7 +6.0 +1.7
  Jan 29, 2021 236   @ Youngstown St. W 78-75 60%     5 - 8 4 - 5 -0.1 +13.6 -13.3
  Jan 30, 2021 236   @ Youngstown St. W 77-72 60%     6 - 8 5 - 5 +1.9 +2.2 -0.2
  Feb 05, 2021 268   Purdue Fort Wayne W 82-72 79%     7 - 8 +0.9 +10.5 -8.6
  Feb 06, 2021 268   Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-56 79%     8 - 8 +17.9 +9.6 +10.5
  Feb 12, 2021 176   @ Cleveland St. W 89-83 43%     9 - 8 6 - 5 +7.4 +12.4 -5.4
  Feb 13, 2021 176   @ Cleveland St. L 64-71 43%     9 - 9 6 - 6 -5.6 -2.3 -3.8
  Feb 19, 2021 296   Robert Morris W 85-74 83%     10 - 9 +0.4 +0.6 -0.7
  Feb 20, 2021 296   Robert Morris W 80-61 83%     11 - 9 +8.4 +11.9 -0.6
  Feb 25, 2021 296   Robert Morris W 83-73 83%     12 - 9 -0.6 +10.2 -9.9
  Mar 02, 2021 200   @ Northern Kentucky L 69-70 52%     12 - 10 -1.9 +4.2 -6.3
Projected Record 12 - 10 6 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-12 1-11 2-10 3-9 4-8 5-7 6-6 7-5 8-4 9-3 10-2 11-1 12-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3
8-4
7-5
6-6 100.0% 100.0
5-7
4-8
3-9
2-10
1-11
0-12
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%