Pre-tourney Rankings
Grand Canyon
Western Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#112
Expected Predictive Rating+1.9#143
Pace63.9#300
Improvement+0.8#146

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#146
First Shot+0.1#171
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#111
Layup/Dunks+1.3#116
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#236
Freethrows-1.1#258
Improvement-2.7#303

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#86
First Shot+3.3#77
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#183
Layups/Dunks+1.9#102
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#250
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#65
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement+3.4#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round9.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 33 - 33 - 4
Quad 411 - 214 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 317   Grambling St. W 69-53 93%     1 - 0 +3.2 -7.9 +11.1
  Dec 01, 2020 347   Mississippi Valley W 88-49 99.7%    2 - 0 +6.4 -1.7 +7.2
  Dec 11, 2020 87   Nevada W 87-77 48%     3 - 0 +14.7 +16.4 -1.5
  Dec 13, 2020 103   Arizona St. L 70-71 54%     3 - 1 +2.1 -4.1 +6.2
  Dec 20, 2020 104   San Francisco L 65-68 47%     3 - 2 +1.9 -2.8 +4.6
  Dec 22, 2020 23   Colorado L 64-74 17%     3 - 3 +4.4 +5.2 -2.1
  Jan 08, 2021 257   @ Tarleton St. W 75-72 78%     4 - 3 1 - 0 -1.1 +3.6 -4.6
  Jan 09, 2021 257   @ Tarleton St. W 59-48 78%     5 - 3 2 - 0 +6.9 -5.3 +14.0
  Jan 22, 2021 325   @ Dixie St. W 77-74 90%     6 - 3 3 - 0 -7.2 -2.2 -5.2
  Jan 23, 2021 325   @ Dixie St. W 81-46 90%     7 - 3 4 - 0 +24.8 +7.3 +18.2
  Jan 29, 2021 158   New Mexico St. W 70-62 70%     8 - 3 5 - 0 +6.6 +4.1 +3.6
  Jan 30, 2021 158   New Mexico St. W 70-62 70%     9 - 3 6 - 0 +6.6 +3.4 +4.2
  Feb 19, 2021 239   California Baptist W 71-61 85%     10 - 3 7 - 0 +3.1 -6.3 +9.8
  Feb 20, 2021 239   California Baptist L 62-65 85%     10 - 4 7 - 1 -9.9 -13.8 +3.6
  Feb 26, 2021 222   @ Seattle L 57-63 73%     10 - 5 7 - 2 -8.3 -13.1 +4.4
  Feb 27, 2021 222   @ Seattle W 81-71 73%     11 - 5 8 - 2 +7.7 +6.1 +1.4
  Mar 05, 2021 215   Utah Valley L 55-59 82%     11 - 6 8 - 3 -9.4 -17.4 +7.7
  Mar 06, 2021 215   Utah Valley W 74-64 82%     12 - 6 9 - 3 +4.6 +2.5 +2.6
  Mar 12, 2021 222   Seattle W 81-47 79%     13 - 6 +29.8 +10.7 +20.8
  Mar 13, 2021 158   New Mexico St. W 74-56 64%     14 - 6 +18.5 +8.6 +12.1
Projected Record 14 - 6 9 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-12 1-11 2-10 3-9 4-8 5-7 6-6 7-5 8-4 9-3 10-2 11-1 12-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
8-4
7-5
6-6
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
12-0
11-1
10-2
9-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.8 0.2 25.1 71.7 3.0
8-4
7-5
6-6
5-7
4-8
3-9
2-10
1-11
0-12
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.2 25.1 71.7 3.0