Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -6.3 280
INCC Stats Results Rating -7.0 291
Consistency 0.13 39
Pace 60.4 345
Improvement +3.3 52

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 270 D D+ C+ C- D
Defense D+ 276 D+ B- C- D- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 225 C- 57% 205 -1.1 230
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 78 D- 30% 343 +0.5 154
Three Pointers 34% 303 C- 33% 233 -3.1 296
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 304 D+ -2.8 298
1st FG Attempt D 0.92 311
Second Chance C 27.5% 200 D 0.92 308 D+ 0.25 259
Opponents' Steals B- 8.4% 89
Other Turnovers C 9.0% 201
Turnovers C+ 17.5% 133
Freethrows C+ 0.29 144 D- 67% 325 C- 0.19 217
Total Offense D+ -3.0 270

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 194 C 10.8% 199
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 49% 5 C- 5.6% 230
Three Pointers C 82% 180 F 2.0% 349
Total B- 57% 102 D+ 6.3% 275


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 101 C+ 56% 137 +1.1 232
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 253 C 37% 188 -0.7 121
Three Pointers 38% 211 D- 38% 341 +1.8 263
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 271 D+ +1.7 247
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.04 257
Second Chance C+ 27.0% 135 B- 0.95 92 B- 0.26 94
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.9% 112
Other Turnovers D- 7.4% 335
Turnovers C- 17.3% 224
Freethrows D 0.32 298 F+ 76% 348 D- 0.24 326
Total Defense D+ -3.2 276

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 176 C+ 11.3% 136
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 253 C 5.2% 138
Three Pointers C- 83% 205 D+ 0.5% 260
Total C- 56% 221 C+ 5.8% 139

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 321 18.2 302
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 320 0.13 93
Consistency 0.10 39 0.13 238
Improvement +3.4 36 -0.1 188



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Sat, Nov 12 145 LSU L 52 - 61 16% -5  3% 0 - 1 D+ -5 F -18 F B F A+ +12 B- A+ B
Fri, Nov 18 166 UC Davis L 60 - 75 18% -7  0% 0 - 2 D- -12 F -12 F B- B+ C+ +0 F F A-
Tue, Nov 22 279 Tennessee Martin W 70 - 64 61% -0  38% 1 - 2 C- -3 F -10 C+ C F+ A- +7 C- A+ C-
Fri, Nov 25 286 Prairie View L 59 - 67 62% -1  45% 1 - 3 F -18 F -13 F+ D C+ D -5 C F B
Thu, Dec 1 356 Mississippi Valley St. W 58 - 38 84% +12  99% 2 - 3 C+ +3 F -8 A+ F F A+ +17 A+ C+ D
Tue, Dec 6 337 Central Arkansas L 67 - 72 56% +4  76% 2 - 4 F+ -13 F -10 D+ F B- D+ -3 F+ B C-
Fri, Dec 9 146 Air Force L 55 - 80 16% -12  18% 2 - 5 F -21 D- -6 C+ B F F -20 F D+ F
Wed, Dec 14 256 Southeast Missouri St. W 68 - 61 57% -2  23% 3 - 5 C -1 F -10 F D- A A +9 C- A+ A+
Mon, Dec 19 351 Alabama St. W 72 - 65 82% +1  38% 4 - 5 D -9 D+ -3 B- F+ B- D -5 F+ A+ F+
Thu, Dec 22 326 Arkansas Little Rock W 77 - 75 72% -4  10% 5 - 5 D- -10 C- -1 D- A+ B F -10 D+ D F
Thu, Dec 29 173 Old Dominion W 60 - 57 20% +7  86% 6 - 5 1 - 0 B- +6 C- -2 D+ D F A +8 B- B C+
Sat, Dec 31 278 Louisiana Monroe L 72 - 84 61% -7  7% 6 - 6 1 - 1 F -21 C -0 C- A+ D+ F -22 F F B-
Thu, Jan 5 98 South Alabama L 45 - 63 10% -11  3% 6 - 7 1 - 2 D- -10 F -20 F B- D+ A- +7 C+ A+ F+
Sat, Jan 7 128 Troy L 54 - 66 14% -4  11% 6 - 8 1 - 3 D+ -7 F -15 F C B- A +8 C+ A D+
Thu, Jan 12 189 Texas St. L 58 - 61 42% -3  12% 6 - 9 1 - 4 D -7 F -15 F D+ D A- +7 D+ A+ A-
Sat, Jan 14 113 Southern Miss L 57 - 74 25% -9  10% 6 - 10 1 - 5 F -16 F -16 D- F C+ C -0 D+ F+ A
Thu, Jan 19 91 Louisiana L 71 - 80 20% -11  0% 6 - 11 1 - 6 D+ -6 C- -1 C+ D- A D -6 F A+ B-
Sat, Jan 21 83 Marshall L 78 - 87 OT 17% -4  0% 6 - 12 1 - 7 D+ -5 D+ -2 B+ D- D C- -3 D A F+
Thu, Jan 26 113 Southern Miss L 57 - 73 12% -8  5% 6 - 13 1 - 8 D -9 D- -6 C F A+ D -6 D+ B- F
Sat, Jan 28 181 Appalachian St. L 51 - 63 21% -9  0% 6 - 14 1 - 9 D -10 F -15 D F+ F B +4 D- A+ D
Thu, Feb 2 98 South Alabama L 62 - 82 22% -13  0% 6 - 15 1 - 10 F -18 F+ -7 F A+ A F -13 F C- C
Sat, Feb 4 297 Coastal Carolina W 73 - 57 65% +5  70% 7 - 15 2 - 10 B- +6 D- -6 C F A A+ +13 A+ F+ A
Thu, Feb 9 189 Texas St. L 62 - 66 22% -0  43% 7 - 16 2 - 11 C- -2 D -5 B- F A B- +2 F A+ B+
Sat, Feb 11 206 Georgia Southern L 53 - 68 23% -11  1% 7 - 17 2 - 12 F+ -14 F -12 F A+ F D+ -4 C- F D-
Thu, Feb 16 128 Troy L 62 - 67 30% +1  55% 7 - 18 2 - 13 D+ -6 F -9 D- D+ B+ B +3 B- F A-
Sat, Feb 18 281 Georgia St. W 75 - 70 62% -0  49% 8 - 18 3 - 13 D+ -4 B +6 C+ B A+ F -9 F A F
Wed, Feb 22 91 Louisiana L 74 - 85 9% -8  0% 8 - 19 3 - 14 C- -2 C+ +2 D+ B A+ D+ -4 D+ F C-
Fri, Feb 24 278 Louisiana Monroe W 64 - 61 38% -0  36% 9 - 19 4 - 14 C -0 D+ -2 C F+ A- B- +2 C+ B- F
Tue, Feb 28 297 Coastal Carolina W 86 - 69 54% +4  77% 10 - 19 B+ +10 A+ +12 A+ F A- C -1 C C- C-
Thu, Mar 2 128 Troy L 59 - 63 21% +2  63% 10 - 20 C- -2 D -5 C F+ A+ B- +2 A+ C F
Totals 10 - 20 4 - 14 -6 D+ -3 C D+ D D+ -3 C- D- C-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- D- C- D+ 36% 50% 34% D D C D D+ C+ C+ D- C- D+ C+ C D- D+ 40% 22% 38% D+ D+ C+ B- B- C- D F+ D-
1.04 57% 30% 33% -3 -1 0.92 28% 0.9 .25 17% .29 67% .19 1.13 56% 37% 38% +2 0 1.04 27% 1.0 .26 17% .32 76% .22
Nov
12		 LSU F F+ F F F 35% 16% 49% B F B- B B F F B- F A+ A+ C+ F+ B+ 43% 19% 38% D- B- A A+ A+ B C- F D-
0.81 50% 25% 20% -15 +1 0.73 28% 1.2 .33 25% .08 75% .06 0.95 40% 33% 39% -5 +1 0.91 24% 0.6 .15 20% .31 81% .25
Nov
18		 UC Davis F C+ F F F 38% 31% 31% D F C+ B- B- B+ A- D- B- C+ A- F F F 37% 17% 46% C- F C F F A- C- A B-
0.87 60% 6% 25% -13 -1 0.73 29% 1.0 .29 17% .35 65% .23 1.09 47% 50% 48% +8 +1 1.17 34% 1.3 .44 26% .35 61% .22
Nov
22		 TN Martin F B- F A C 42% 21% 38% B- C+ D+ B+ C F+ C- F D A- A A+ F C 38% 17% 45% F C- A+ A+ A+ C- A- C+ A-
1.02 65% 20% 39% +2 +1 1.06 27% 1.1 .30 20% .29 63% .18 0.93 45% 0% 46% -3 +1 0.96 14% 0.8 .11 16% .22 69% .16
Nov
25		 Prairie View F A+ C F D- 19% 28% 53% F+ F+ F A+ D C+ F A- D D D- A A+ B- 46% 23% 31% F C F B- F B F F F
0.89 78% 38% 24% -4 -2 0.89 10% 2.7 .26 20% .28 80% .22 1.01 59% 27% 20% -8 +1 0.85 45% 0.8 .37 21% .34 78% .27
Dec
1		 MS Valley F A B+ A+ A+ 29% 31% 40% F+ A+ F+ F F F B+ F D- A+ B A+ A+ A+ 39% 37% 24% D+ A+ C B- C+ D C A+ B
1.05 70% 45% 50% +16 -2 1.29 24% 0.8 .19 24% .40 53% .21 0.69 50% 20% 10% -18 -2 0.61 28% 0.9 .25 20% .29 54% .16
Dec
6		 C. Arkansas F A+ F F D 51% 16% 33% B D+ C- F F B- D+ F F D+ D- F A+ D- 41% 12% 47% F F+ C- A B C- F F F
1.00 79% 22% 17% 0 +2 1.04 30% 0.6 .19 15% .25 36% .09 1.08 60% 67% 26% -1 +2 1.02 28% 0.8 .22 18% .35 89% .31
Dec
9		 Air Force D- B- F A+ B- 32% 41% 27% F+ C+ A+ F B F F+ B D- F C+ F F F 31% 25% 44% A- F C- D- D+ F B- F D+
0.96 62% 24% 45% 0 -3 0.95 47% 0.8 .38 28% .22 78% .17 1.40 60% 58% 48% +15 -1 1.29 24% 1.2 .28 9% .25 85% .21
Dec
14		 SE MO St. F C F F F 44% 31% 24% D F C F D- A A+ D A+ A A+ F C- D- 7% 40% 53% A+ C- A A+ A+ A+ F B+ F
0.99 60% 21% 27% -6 -1 0.87 30% 0.8 .24 14% .59 66% .39 0.88 0% 53% 35% +3 -4 0.98 17% 0.7 .11 23% .49 65% .32
Dec
19		 Alabama St. D+ D B A+ B 39% 23% 39% C- B- C F F+ B- A+ B A+ D A+ D+ F F 27% 46% 27% A+ F+ A+ B A+ F+ F D F
1.12 53% 40% 41% +3 0 1.07 34% 0.9 .31 16% .42 74% .31 1.01 31% 36% 54% +1 -4 0.94 19% 0.8 .16 14% .49 74% .36
Dec
22		 Little Rock C- C- F A+ D 46% 32% 22% F+ D- A+ A A+ B A+ F A F C+ A F D+ 36% 38% 26% D+ D+ D C- D F F F F
1.19 58% 23% 56% +3 -1 1.05 46% 1.2 .56 17% .52 54% .28 1.16 53% 28% 50% +1 -2 0.98 31% 1.2 .38 12% .41 83% .34
Dec
29		 Old Dom C- D+ A+ F C 29% 37% 34% F D+ A+ F D F A+ C A+ A F A+ A+ B- 33% 30% 37% C B- F A+ B C+ F A- F+
1.01 55% 50% 23% -2 -2 0.92 42% 0.5 .23 24% .62 68% .42 0.96 71% 23% 25% -5 -1 0.88 42% 0.5 .21 17% .43 62% .26
Dec
31		 LA Monroe C D C+ A+ C 44% 35% 21% D+ C- B+ A+ A+ D+ A+ C A+ F C F+ F F 33% 31% 37% D+ F F D+ F B- F A+ C-
1.12 53% 40% 44% +2 -1 1.02 36% 1.6 .57 20% .39 75% .29 1.30 56% 40% 61% +16 -1 1.29 41% 1.0 .41 19% .34 56% .19
Jan
5		 S. Alabama F F F F F 35% 40% 25% F F B- C B- D+ C+ B- C+ A- F A+ A+ B+ 51% 10% 39% F C+ A A+ A+ F+ F+ F F
0.73 29% 21% 17% -23 -2 0.50 30% 1.1 .32 18% .26 77% .20 1.03 68% 0% 26% -3 +3 1.00 13% 0.5 .07 10% .25 86% .22
Jan
7		 Troy F F F+ F F 29% 46% 25% F F C+ C- C B- C D+ C- A C+ A+ B- B- 40% 13% 48% F+ C+ A+ F A D+ F F+ F
0.80 36% 27% 25% -14 -4 0.65 32% 1.0 .32 21% .30 75% .22 0.98 58% 17% 30% -5 +2 0.94 16% 1.4 .22 16% .39 77% .30
Jan
12		 Texas St. F C F F F 42% 20% 38% B- F D+ C- D+ D F C F+ A- A- C- F D+ 44% 27% 29% F+ D+ A+ F A+ A- F C+ F
0.90 58% 11% 29% -8 +1 0.87 24% 1.1 .26 22% .28 71% .20 0.95 50% 36% 42% 0 0 1.00 14% 1.3 .18 22% .42 71% .30
Jan
14		 S. Miss F F C+ A F+ 39% 28% 33% C D- F F F C+ A+ F A+ C D- D D- D- 19% 42% 40% A+ D+ D+ F F+ A C+ F D-
0.83 33% 38% 40% -6 0 0.87 19% 0.4 .08 20% .48 65% .31 1.08 67% 40% 37% +5 -4 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 22% .26 93% .24
Jan
19		 LA Laf C- F F A+ C 38% 22% 40% B- C+ C- F D- A C+ D C- D D C- F F 43% 28% 30% C- F C A+ A+ B- D- F F
1.06 47% 18% 50% +2 0 1.04 24% 0.8 .18 15% .32 67% .21 1.20 65% 38% 57% +14 0 1.28 33% 0.7 .23 18% .35 74% .26
Jan
21		 Marshall D+ A+ D B A- 33% 23% 44% D+ B+ A- F D- D C- A C+ C- A- D F D- 39% 39% 23% B D A+ C- A F+ F F F
1.04 74% 31% 36% +5 0 1.11 40% 0.5 .20 23% .24 71% .17 1.16 55% 41% 54% +7 -2 1.11 20% 1.0 .20 11% .31 81% .25
Jan
26		 S. Miss D- F A+ F+ C+ 31% 33% 35% D- C F F F A+ D+ F F D F B A D+ 42% 37% 21% B- D+ F A+ B- F C- B C
0.94 47% 56% 29% +1 -2 0.98 21% 0.4 .09 15% .25 54% .13 1.20 73% 32% 27% +2 -1 1.02 47% 0.6 .31 10% .29 69% .20
Jan
28		 App St. F C C- F+ D+ 33% 30% 37% F+ D D- F F+ F F+ F F B C A- F D 43% 25% 32% F D- A+ F A+ D F B+ F
0.81 53% 36% 29% -4 -1 0.89 24% 0.8 .18 22% .16 63% .10 1.01 58% 27% 43% +2 0 1.05 11% 1.3 .15 13% .40 59% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 S. Alabama F+ C- F F F 43% 39% 17% D- F B+ A+ A+ A A+ C- A+ F F F B- F 54% 14% 32% F F B+ F C- C F F F
0.96 55% 22% 0% -16 -2 0.65 33% 1.4 .45 12% .39 73% .28 1.27 70% 57% 31% +8 +3 1.22 17% 1.5 .25 14% .30 88% .27
Feb
4		 Coastal Car. D- A+ F D+ C 36% 19% 45% C+ C F F F A A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 24% 36% B A+ C- F F+ A F+ B D-
1.10 76% 11% 33% +1 +1 1.04 19% 1.0 .19 12% .50 72% .36 0.86 39% 45% 19% -13 0 0.73 31% 1.2 .36 23% .31 75% .23
Feb
9		 Texas St. D D+ F A+ B 30% 30% 41% D- B- D- F F A B- F+ C- B- F A+ A- F 41% 22% 38% F F A+ A+ A+ B+ F F F
1.01 54% 23% 50% +5 -1 1.07 21% 0.4 .09 15% .38 65% .25 1.07 87% 25% 29% +6 +1 1.14 23% 0.8 .18 21% .51 80% .41
Feb
11		 GA Southern F F F F F 35% 40% 25% F F A+ F+ A+ F A+ F A+ D+ A F D C+ 46% 19% 35% F C- D- F F D- C- F D
0.87 43% 25% 20% -15 -2 0.65 47% 0.9 .41 25% .48 64% .30 1.11 45% 44% 35% -3 +1 0.96 30% 1.4 .42 13% .26 79% .21
Feb
16		 Troy F D C- F D- 33% 27% 40% C- D- F A+ D+ B+ A+ C- A+ B B+ C+ A- B+ 41% 15% 44% F+ B- A F F A- F F+ F
0.93 53% 33% 28% -6 -1 0.87 18% 1.5 .27 19% .46 76% .35 1.00 53% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.90 23% 1.7 .40 22% .48 76% .37
Feb
18		 GA St. B D A+ B+ B- 35% 26% 39% D C+ F+ A+ B A+ A+ B A+ F F D A F 40% 30% 30% C- F A- A- A F F+ F F
1.20 50% 50% 39% +4 0 1.07 21% 1.8 .38 11% .41 78% .32 1.12 70% 40% 27% +3 -1 1.04 23% 0.9 .20 13% .35 84% .29
Feb
22		 LA Laf C+ D B C C- 33% 33% 33% D- D+ B C+ B A+ A+ F C D+ C- C D- C- 52% 22% 26% F D+ F+ F F C- F F F
1.06 53% 41% 35% +1 -2 0.98 30% 1.1 .33 13% .41 52% .21 1.22 62% 36% 38% +4 +1 1.10 39% 1.3 .52 16% .41 75% .31
Feb
24		 LA Monroe D+ A+ B+ F B 22% 40% 38% F C F+ D+ F+ A- B- A+ A- B- A+ C- D+ C 22% 33% 45% B C+ B- C+ B- F D A C-
1.04 80% 44% 29% +6 -3 1.04 21% 1.0 .21 15% .29 87% .25 0.99 36% 35% 35% -5 -2 0.86 24% 0.9 .22 11% .29 63% .18
Feb
28		 Coastal Car. A+ A+ F A+ A+ 30% 19% 51% C A+ C F F A- A+ D A+ C C- A+ D- C- 47% 25% 27% C+ C F A- C- C- D- D+ F+
1.35 79% 0% 58% +18 0 1.36 31% 0.9 .28 13% .41 70% .29 1.08 58% 15% 36% -4 0 0.92 35% 0.8 .30 16% .30 81% .24
Mar
2		 Troy D C- D- A+ B- 34% 36% 30% F+ C F A- F+ A+ F C F B- A+ A A- A+ 47% 16% 37% F+ A+ F A+ C F F F F
0.97 56% 29% 43% +1 -2 0.98 18% 1.2 .21 16% .18 78% .14 1.04 39% 25% 28% -14 +2 0.76 39% 0.8 .32 12% .35 79% .28