Providence
Big East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating +11.5 32
INCC Stats Results Rating +11.4 35
Consistency 0.15 154
Pace 67.3 198
Improvement +0.4 163

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A- 15 B- A- B A- B-
Defense B- 84 B- B- C- B+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 54 C+ 60% 124 +3.4 58
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 215 C+ 38% 135 -0.3 196
Three Pointers 36% 264 B- 36% 91 -0.4 204
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.5 110 B- +2.1 101
1st FG Attempt B- 1.05 86
Second Chance A- 35.4% 14 B 1.09 57 A- 0.39 16
Opponents' Steals B- 8.3% 80
Other Turnovers B- 8.0% 84
Turnovers B 16.3% 60
Freethrows A- 0.34 22 B- 75% 77 A- 0.25 16
Total Offense A- +8.2 15

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 59% 38 C 10.2% 163
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 152 B- 3.7% 93
Three Pointers C+ 84% 155 C- 1.2% 270
Total B 60% 50 C 5.5% 195


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 53 B 52% 43 +0.2 195
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 154 B- 34% 94 -0.4 149
Three Pointers 34% 304 C+ 33% 136 -2.8 65
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 228 B -3.2 57
1st FG Attempt B- 0.94 76
Second Chance B- 26.3% 98 C+ 0.97 111 B- 0.26 84
Turnovers from Steals C+ 9.7% 131
Other Turnovers D 7.8% 316
Turnovers C- 17.4% 214
Freethrows B+ 0.22 28 C 72% 202 B+ 0.16 37
Total Defense B- +3.3 84

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B+ 39% 30 B+ 15.3% 36
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 17% 18 B 7.5% 45
Three Pointers C+ 79% 103 C+ 1.2% 101
Total B+ 45% 42 A- 8.6% 21

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 134 18.1 295
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 27 0.12 51
Consistency 0.11 108 0.13 239
Improvement +0.8 127 -0.4 209



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Tue, Nov 8 210 Rider W 66 - 65 93% -3  29% 1 - 0 C- -4 F -9 F B- B B+ +5 D+ A- B+
Sat, Nov 12 308 Northeastern W 89 - 65 97% +8  95% 2 - 0 A- +13 A +12 A+ A+ C+ B- +2 C+ C C-
Tue, Nov 15 331 Stonehill W 100 - 76 98% +14  99% 3 - 0 B+ +11 A+ +17 A A+ B D- -7 F B- C-
Sat, Nov 19 23 Miami (FL) L 64 - 74 45% -7  15% 3 - 1 C+ +3 F+ -7 C F D+ A +10 A+ D C-
Sun, Nov 20 97 Saint Louis L 73 - 76 74% +2  54% 3 - 2 C+ +2 C -0 D- A+ C- B- +2 C+ B F+
Wed, Nov 23 304 Merrimack W 71 - 57 97% +8  93% 4 - 2 C+ +3 C+ +3 B- B A- B- +2 D A- C+
Sat, Nov 26 344 Columbia W 78 - 64 98% +8  70% 5 - 2 C -1 D -4 B F C B +4 A F C-
Wed, Nov 30 22 TCU L 62 - 75 34% -7  4% 5 - 3 C+ +3 D+ -3 B- D+ F+ B+ +6 D+ C+ B+
Sat, Dec 3 254 Rhode Island W 88 - 74 89% +8  73% 6 - 3 B+ +12 A+ +15 B+ A+ A- C- -2 F+ A F
Wed, Dec 7 306 Manhattan W 99 - 59 97% +22  96% 7 - 3 A+ +29 B+ +7 A+ B C A+ +17 B+ A+ B-
Sat, Dec 10 342 Albany W 93 - 55 98% +18  98% 8 - 3 A+ +24 B- +5 B- A+ C A+ +17 A+ C+ C+
Sat, Dec 17 54 Seton Hall W 71 - 67 47% -0  46% 9 - 3 1 - 0 A +16 C+ +3 B+ C- B- A+ +13 B- A+ C
Tue, Dec 20 8 Marquette W 103 - 98 2OT 45% +0  49% 10 - 3 2 - 0 A +18 A+ +13 B A+ A B +4 C B+ C
Thu, Dec 29 105 Butler W 72 - 52 66% +17  84% 11 - 3 3 - 0 A+ +27 B+ +7 C+ A+ D+ A+ +21 A+ C- C
Sun, Jan 1 126 DePaul W 74 - 59 72% +13  97% 12 - 3 4 - 0 A+ +20 D -4 B+ B+ F A+ +24 A+ A+ A+
Wed, Jan 4 1 Connecticut W 73 - 61 28% +2  56% 13 - 3 5 - 0 A+ +30 A+ +17 B+ A A A+ +15 A+ A+ F
Sat, Jan 7 76 St. John's W 83 - 80 75% +1  59% 14 - 3 6 - 0 B +7 C+ +2 A+ D C B+ +5 C A+ D
Sat, Jan 14 12 Creighton L 67 - 73 26% -5  5% 14 - 4 6 - 1 B+ +12 C+ +3 F A+ D A +9 A A F
Wed, Jan 18 8 Marquette L 75 - 83 24% -6  12% 14 - 5 6 - 2 B+ +11 A +12 D A+ A- C- -1 B F C-
Sat, Jan 21 126 DePaul W 75 - 64 87% +6  95% 15 - 5 7 - 2 B+ +10 C+ +2 A- D+ C A +9 A- F D+
Wed, Jan 25 105 Butler W 79 - 58 83% +10  75% 16 - 5 8 - 2 A+ +22 A +12 A+ A+ C A+ +12 A A D+
Sun, Jan 29 51 Villanova W 70 - 65 46% -1  31% 17 - 5 9 - 2 A +18 A- +9 A C- A- A +10 A C- D
Wed, Feb 1 13 Xavier L 83 - 85 OT 28% -4  18% 17 - 6 9 - 3 A +16 A +12 C+ A+ A+ B +4 A- D+ F
Wed, Feb 8 212 Georgetown W 74 - 62 93% +8  84% 18 - 6 10 - 3 B +7 C- -1 C+ B- A- A +9 A+ C- D+
Sat, Feb 11 76 St. John's L 68 - 73 54% -6  1% 18 - 7 10 - 4 B- +5 D+ -3 F B B+ A +9 C+ A+ F+
Tue, Feb 14 12 Creighton W 94 - 86 2OT 47% +1  48% 19 - 7 11 - 4 A+ +20 B+ +7 B+ B- A+ A+ +11 A- A C
Sat, Feb 18 51 Villanova W 85 - 72 68% +7  93% 20 - 7 12 - 4 A+ +20 A+ +15 A+ C+ B B+ +5 A+ C- F+
Wed, Feb 22 1 Connecticut L 69 - 87 13% -7  10% 20 - 8 12 - 5 B- +6 A +11 A B- A+ D- -7 F F B
Sun, Feb 26 212 Georgetown W 88 - 68 84% +13  86% 21 - 8 13 - 5 A+ +21 A +12 B+ A+ A- A +9 B- D+ B+
Wed, Mar 1 13 Xavier L 89 - 94 50% -9  0% 21 - 9 13 - 6 B- +7 A+ +16 B A- A+ F -9 F+ A F
Sat, Mar 4 54 Seton Hall L 58 - 82 69% -14  2% 21 - 10 13 - 7 F -18 C- -0 F A+ A- F -22 F F C-
Thu, Mar 9 1 Connecticut L 66 - 73 20% -11  0% 21 - 11 A- +14 B +6 B+ C+ A+ A- +7 F+ D- A+
Fri, Mar 17 28 Kentucky L 53 - 61 48% -4  20% 21 - 12 C+ +4 F -13 D F B- A+ +16 A+ C C+
Totals 21 - 12 13 - 7 +12 A- +8 C B- B- B- +3 B- B- A-


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A- C+ C+ B- B- 42% 40% 36% B- B- A- B A- B A- B- A- B- B B- C+ B 42% 24% 34% C- B- B- C+ B- C- B+ C B+
1.20 60% 38% 36% +2 +1 1.05 35% 1.1 .39 16% .34 75% .25 1.04 52% 34% 33% -3 0 0.94 26% 1.0 .26 17% .22 72% .24
Nov
8		 Rider F F F F F 50% 11% 39% B+ F A F B- B A+ D A+ B+ A+ A- F D+ 37% 35% 29% C- D+ C+ A A- B+ B+ D- B
1.01 45% 20% 18% -17 +3 0.70 38% 0.9 .35 14% .77 60% .46 1.00 33% 29% 64% +2 -2 1.00 31% 0.8 .26 22% .20 80% .16
Nov
12		 Northeastern A C A+ A+ A+ 60% 14% 26% A A+ A A+ A+ C+ B+ C+ B+ B- A F B- B- 42% 21% 37% C- C+ C C C C- C C- C
1.31 57% 57% 54% +10 +3 1.26 38% 1.4 .54 13% .32 74% .24 0.96 41% 45% 32% -7 +1 0.88 31% 1.0 .31 21% .26 71% .19
Nov
15		 Stonehill A+ C+ F A+ A- 54% 14% 32% A- A A+ A+ A+ B A A+ A+ D- D- B+ F F 52% 13% 36% F F B- B B- C- A+ A+ A+
1.39 60% 25% 50% +7 +2 1.20 52% 1.4 .74 17% .35 86% .30 1.05 62% 29% 50% +10 +3 1.25 14% 0.8 .11 19% .12 57% .07
Nov
19		 Miami FL F+ A B- F C 35% 22% 43% C+ C F+ F F D+ A+ A- A+ A A+ C+ C- A+ 50% 30% 20% C A+ F+ B- D C- C- F F+
0.94 69% 40% 25% -1 0 0.98 20% 0.7 .13 21% .41 77% .31 1.09 44% 38% 36% -6 0 0.89 38% 1.1 .43 15% .31 89% .28
Nov
20		 St. Louis C F+ F A D 33% 33% 35% D- D- A+ A- A+ C- A A+ A+ B- D F A+ C 37% 37% 25% A+ C+ C- A B F+ D+ F F
1.07 47% 18% 39% -7 -2 0.83 38% 1.1 .43 16% .35 100% .35 1.11 63% 53% 23% +4 -2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 13% .29 88% .25
Nov
23		 Merrimack C+ D A+ F B- 53% 31% 16% B- B- A+ D- B A- C+ C C+ B- A- A+ F D 42% 17% 42% C+ D B- A+ A- C+ A+ F A
1.10 54% 60% 25% +3 0 1.06 50% 0.9 .44 22% .28 71% .20 0.88 45% 13% 45% -2 +1 0.98 16% 0.6 .09 22% .16 88% .14
Nov
26		 Columbia D C- A+ B+ B- 37% 18% 46% C+ B C+ F F C F C- F+ B A A+ A A+ 54% 19% 28% F+ A C- F F C- B- D C+
1.10 57% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.12 36% 0.6 .21 17% .19 73% .14 0.90 45% 10% 27% -15 +2 0.74 27% 1.5 .41 20% .23 77% .17
Nov
30		 TCU D+ A F F C 48% 14% 38% A B- A- F D+ F+ A+ F A+ B+ B A+ F C- 58% 17% 25% F D+ C+ C+ C+ B+ C+ F D+
0.91 65% 17% 25% -5 +2 0.95 34% 0.7 .23 26% .48 58% .28 1.09 54% 25% 50% +2 +2 1.08 32% 1.1 .36 18% .28 81% .23
Dec
3		 Rhode Isl. A+ A C F B- 52% 15% 33% A B+ A- A+ A+ A- A- C+ A- C- F C+ C F 46% 32% 21% C- F+ A- A+ A F A+ F A+
1.26 67% 38% 24% 0 +2 1.04 36% 1.8 .67 13% .33 70% .23 1.06 65% 33% 33% +2 -1 1.04 26% 0.7 .18 16% .19 91% .17
Dec
7		 Manhattan B+ A A+ A+ A+ 44% 29% 27% D+ A+ A D B C A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A D- A 40% 12% 47% F B+ A+ A+ A+ B- A B- A
1.24 70% 53% 50% +17 0 1.33 43% 0.9 .40 20% .39 72% .28 0.74 35% 29% 37% -8 +2 0.88 10% 0.5 .05 22% .18 64% .11
Dec
10		 Albany B- A+ A+ F C 55% 10% 35% A+ B- A+ D A+ C A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 13% 49% F+ A+ D+ B+ C+ C+ B+ F C+
1.27 75% 60% 22% +6 +3 1.18 47% 0.9 .43 16% .42 81% .34 0.75 35% 14% 23% -20 +2 0.64 29% 0.7 .21 20% .22 85% .19
Dec
17		 Seton Hall C+ B- C+ A A- 41% 30% 28% D+ B+ C+ D C- B- A+ C A+ A+ D- B- A+ B- 45% 17% 38% C B- A+ A+ A+ C C B- C+
0.98 58% 36% 38% +2 -1 1.02 29% 0.7 .20 21% .49 71% .35 0.93 63% 33% 25% -3 +2 0.96 22% 0.8 .17 19% .36 67% .24
Dec
20		 Marquette A+ B- F C- C+ 49% 13% 38% A B A+ A A+ A A+ B- A+ B C- F D C- 56% 19% 25% B- C C- A+ B+ C C+ B B-
1.20 59% 29% 33% -1 +2 1.04 46% 1.3 .59 19% .70 71% .50 1.14 64% 50% 38% +7 +2 1.19 29% 0.8 .24 15% .26 68% .18
Dec
29		 Butler B+ C- C+ B+ B 38% 40% 23% F C+ A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 30% 43% 28% A+ A+ D B- C- C D A+ C+
1.08 56% 37% 36% 0 -2 0.96 42% 1.1 .45 21% .32 82% .26 0.78 57% 25% 15% -13 -3 0.68 25% 1.0 .25 16% .29 63% .18
Jan
1		 DePaul D B D A+ A- 36% 36% 29% D- B+ D+ A+ B+ F A+ D A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 41% 24% 35% F+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ F C F
1.00 63% 31% 46% +5 -2 1.07 29% 1.3 .39 26% .53 66% .34 0.80 67% 8% 22% -9 0 0.82 28% 0.6 .18 26% .36 75% .27
Jan
4		 Uconn A+ F B- A+ B+ 38% 28% 35% C+ B+ A+ D- A A A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ 48% 15% 37% D+ A+ C- A+ A+ F F+ A+ B+
1.20 33% 36% 43% -5 0 0.90 41% 0.9 .35 15% .68 83% .56 1.00 55% 0% 29% -10 +2 0.85 41% 0.7 .30 13% .36 53% .19
Jan
7		 St. John's C+ B- A A+ A+ 47% 19% 34% B+ A+ F A- D C A+ D- A+ B+ C D B+ C+ 53% 25% 22% D C A+ B- A+ D D+ A+ B-
1.06 59% 44% 44% +7 +1 1.17 18% 1.2 .21 20% .55 65% .35 1.02 58% 40% 31% 0 +1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 15% .30 60% .18
Jan
14		 Creighton C+ D F F F 31% 35% 35% C F A+ A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ A F+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 16% 31% F+ A A+ F A F F C F
0.98 47% 26% 21% -14 -2 0.69 38% 1.3 .50 18% .27 87% .23 1.07 70% 13% 19% -4 +2 0.96 12% 2.0 .24 10% .37 78% .29
Jan
18		 Marquette A F A+ F F+ 49% 17% 34% A- D A+ A+ A+ A- A+ C A+ C- D+ A+ D- B 48% 15% 38% C+ B F+ F F C- F F F
1.14 43% 63% 25% -7 +2 0.89 47% 1.4 .65 20% .36 68% .25 1.26 65% 14% 39% +3 +2 1.10 33% 1.7 .56 14% .35 85% .30
Jan
21		 DePaul C+ C+ D+ A+ A 31% 28% 41% D+ A- B F D+ C F+ B+ D A A D A A 34% 28% 38% C A- B F F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.13 59% 33% 45% +6 -1 1.11 36% 0.8 .27 18% .22 75% .17 0.97 50% 40% 30% -4 -1 0.91 24% 1.6 .38 15% .14 38% .05
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
25		 Butler A A A+ D+ A+ 46% 21% 33% B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C F A 35% 30% 35% C- A B A+ A D+ B A+ A+
1.19 68% 50% 31% +6 +1 1.15 35% 1.7 .58 20% .34 78% .26 0.87 32% 38% 42% -5 -1 0.89 18% 0.7 .13 15% .21 50% .11
Jan
29		 Villanova A- C- A+ C A+ 34% 32% 34% C- A C C- C- A- F A+ D A A- D- A A 43% 14% 43% D+ A D B C- D B+ B- A-
1.12 56% 59% 33% +6 -1 1.09 22% 1.0 .22 14% .15 100% .15 1.04 52% 43% 29% -5 +2 0.94 27% 1.0 .27 13% .26 79% .20
Feb
1		 Xavier A F+ F A+ C+ 41% 28% 31% C C+ A A+ A+ A+ B+ A A B C- A+ C+ A 42% 23% 35% C A- C D- D+ F D- A+ B-
1.16 46% 25% 50% -1 0 0.98 33% 1.2 .38 11% .28 78% .22 1.18 63% 31% 35% +1 +1 1.04 31% 1.1 .36 7% .34 57% .19
Feb
8		 Georgetown C- C+ F+ B C+ 40% 21% 40% C+ C+ C+ B+ B- A- C+ A- B A D+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 38% 26% C A+ A+ F C- D+ D+ F F
1.10 57% 27% 38% 0 +1 1.02 30% 1.2 .35 13% .22 77% .17 0.92 61% 26% 15% -10 -2 0.76 21% 1.6 .32 15% .31 83% .26
Feb
11		 St. John's D+ F+ F F F 48% 22% 30% B F A+ F B B+ B- B+ B+ A B F A+ C+ 44% 27% 29% C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ F+ C F D-
0.93 46% 17% 25% -14 +1 0.74 41% 0.8 .33 18% .28 76% .22 1.00 54% 53% 25% -1 0 0.98 19% 0.6 .11 14% .29 83% .24
Feb
14		 Creighton B+ B+ C A A 31% 44% 25% D- B+ D A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ F A+ A 45% 22% 33% C+ A- A+ F A C A F B+
1.09 59% 35% 39% +2 -3 0.97 17% 1.4 .24 8% .26 86% .23 0.99 60% 53% 23% -1 +1 1.00 9% 2.7 .23 16% .21 87% .18
Feb
18		 Villanova A+ A+ A- B+ A+ 36% 27% 36% C+ A+ C+ C- C+ B A+ C- A+ B+ B F A+ A+ 35% 12% 54% C- A+ B- F+ C- F+ C F+ D+
1.26 88% 42% 38% +14 -1 1.27 25% 1.0 .25 16% .57 75% .43 1.07 56% 50% 25% -6 +2 0.90 22% 1.3 .27 10% .30 89% .27
Feb
22		 Uconn A D D+ A+ A 33% 29% 38% C- A C A- B- A+ A- A+ A+ D- F+ C+ F F 43% 20% 37% B- F F A- F B B- F D
1.08 47% 31% 41% -1 -1 0.96 24% 1.1 .27 14% .36 85% .31 1.36 70% 33% 53% +15 +1 1.33 56% 1.0 .56 20% .27 93% .25
Feb
26		 Georgetown A D C+ A+ A- 46% 25% 30% C B+ A- A+ A+ A- C- D+ D+ A A+ D- F+ B+ 34% 21% 45% F B- C+ F+ D+ B+ A+ A A+
1.25 50% 36% 53% +5 0 1.11 37% 1.4 .50 13% .20 67% .13 0.97 33% 45% 38% -4 0 0.92 28% 1.2 .33 20% .19 64% .12
Mar
1		 Xavier A+ F F+ A+ B 35% 26% 39% C B A+ C- A- A+ A+ A- A+ F A F F F 46% 21% 32% C- F+ B+ A- A F D+ F D-
1.26 37% 29% 52% +1 0 1.02 36% 0.9 .31 10% .53 76% .41 1.33 50% 83% 50% +14 +1 1.30 27% 0.9 .23 11% .32 80% .25
Mar
4		 Seton Hall C- D+ F F F 42% 13% 44% A- F A A+ A+ A- C F D+ F F F F F 50% 14% 36% D F F C+ F C- C+ C- C
0.98 53% 17% 20% -14 +2 0.76 38% 1.4 .51 19% .27 62% .17 1.39 71% 50% 60% +23 +2 1.50 43% 1.1 .48 19% .35 71% .25
Mar
9		 Uconn B B+ B+ F B+ 34% 20% 46% B B+ B D+ C+ A+ C D+ C A- B- F F F 30% 9% 61% C- F+ C F+ D- A+ A+ D A+
1.03 59% 40% 26% -4 0 0.92 29% 0.9 .26 14% .31 71% .22 1.14 57% 75% 43% +11 +2 1.26 40% 1.3 .52 28% .11 80% .09
Mar
17		 Kentucky F A- F F D- 38% 21% 40% B+ D C F F B- D F F A+ A+ B A- A+ 31% 47% 22% A+ A+ D B C C+ B D- B-
0.83 65% 18% 24% -7 +1 0.87 21% 0.3 .05 16% .20 55% .11 0.96 36% 33% 30% -10 -4 0.73 44% 1.0 .44 17% .25 77% .19