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Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details. Rating Rank INCC Stats Predictive Rating -12.5 339 INCC Stats Results Rating -11.8 335 Consistency 0.15 189 Pace 71.8 82 Improvement +1.9 92 Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free throws Shot Selection Offense D- 325 D- D+ D D+ F+ Defense D- 342 D- F+ D+ C- C- Offense Breakdown Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect Close Shots 29% 357 D+ 54% 260 -6.1 354 2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 60 D- 31% 342 +1.0 110 Three Pointers 40% 140 C- 33% 243 -0.1 191 Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.6 336 D -3.7 299 1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 323 Second Chance C- 26.8% 235 C- 0.97 248 D+ 0.26 247 Opponents' Steals F 11.8% 354 Other Turnovers C 7.6% 175 Turnovers D 19.4% 317 Freethrows D 0.25 295 B- 75% 80 D+ 0.19 258 Total Offense D- -6.7 325 Assists Opponents' Blocks Close Shots C 47% 174 B- 9.7% 94 2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 53 C- 5.8% 253 Three Pointers B- 87% 91 C+ 0.7% 139 Total B- 58% 95 B- 4.9% 86 Defense Breakdown Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect Close Shots 36% 265 D 61% 296 +0.1 180 2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 275 C- 38% 236 -0.9 101 Three Pointers 44% 35 D- 37% 330 +5.1 350 Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 207 D- +4.0 330 1st FG Attempt D- 1.09 329 Second Chance D 32.2% 316 D- 1.14 331 F+ 0.37 344 Turnovers from Steals C 9.6% 142 Other Turnovers F+ 5.9% 358 Turnovers D+ 15.5% 281 Freethrows C- 0.31 260 C 72% 173 C- 0.22 255 Total Defense D- -5.8 342 Assists Blocks Close Shots C 47% 180 D+ 8.8% 269 2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 214 A- 8.9% 16 Three Pointers B- 78% 69 D+ 0.4% 297 Total C- 55% 214 C- 5.1% 211 Miscellaneous Offense Defense Possession Length 16.5 76 17.2 152 Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 195 0.22 343 Consistency 0.13 273 0.12 151 Improvement -0.6 222 +2.6 59

Date		Opponent	Result/Prediction			Lead		Record		Total Rating		Offense					Defense
						Avg	Time	Overall	Conf			Total		First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total		First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 6		190 Tulsa	L	53 - 70	10%	-8	0%	0 - 1		F+	-15	F	-18	F	F	C	B-	+2	A	F	A+
Mon, Nov 13		338 Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	83 - 85	61%	-4	14%	0 - 2		F	-17	F	-11	D-	B	F	D-	-6	F	B+	C+
Fri, Nov 17		169 Vanderbilt	L	71 - 75	9%	-7	0%	0 - 3		C	-1	C-	-1	B	C+	F+	C	-1	C	F	C-
Mon, Nov 20		352 Southeast Missouri St.	L	68 - 70	47%	+3	69%	0 - 4		F+	-14	F	-12	F	D+	A-	C-	-2	F	B+	C+
Wed, Nov 22		65 Kansas St.	L	56 - 100	2%	-26	0%	0 - 5		F	-33	F	-12	D-	F	A	F	-21	C+	F	F
Sat, Nov 25		324 Eastern Michigan	L	71 - 74	53%	-2	14%	0 - 6		F	-16	D-	-6	D	F+	D+	F	-10	F	C	F+
Sun, Nov 26		346 New Orleans	L	74 - 79	65%	-6	9%	0 - 7		F	-22	F	-14	F+	A-	F	D-	-7	F	F	C+
Wed, Nov 29		186 Loyola Marymount	L	63 - 90	10%	-7	12%	0 - 8		F	-25	F	-16	F	D+	F	F+	-8	D+	F	C-
Sun, Dec 3		163 Hawaii	L	76 - 95	8%	-8	21%	0 - 9		F+	-16	B+	+8	C	A+	C+	F	-25	F	F	F
Thu, Dec 7		195 Arkansas Little Rock	W	75 - 71	23%	+0	50%	1 - 9		C	-1	C	-0	D-	B+	A	C	-1	A	F	C-
Sun, Dec 10		319 Eastern Illinois	W	73 - 70	28%	+1	57%	2 - 9		C-	-3	C-	-1	C	D-	F	C-	-2	D	B	D+
Wed, Dec 20		276 Western Illinois	L	54 - 65	36%	-11	0%	2 - 10		F	-20	F	-23	F	F	F	B-	+3	F	A+	B-
Thu, Dec 28		42 Oklahoma	L	72 - 88	2%	-5	12%	2 - 11		C-	-2	C+	+2	A+	F	F	D+	-3	D-	D	D-
Sat, Dec 30		139 Missouri	L	59 - 92	6%	-16	0%	2 - 12		F	-28	F	-15	D	F	F	F	-13	F	F	A+
Sat, Jan 6		251 North Alabama	W	84 - 81	15%	+11	98%	3 - 12	1 - 0	C	+1	C+	+2	B	C+	D	C	-1	D-	C+	F
Thu, Jan 11		214 Eastern Kentucky	L	63 - 86	26%	-12	8%	3 - 13	1 - 1	F	-29	F	-18	F	C	C	F	-11	F	F	C+
Sat, Jan 13		316 Bellarmine	W	59 - 57	48%	+1	48%	4 - 13	2 - 1	D	-10	F	-14	F+	C	C	B	+4	A-	D+	F+
Thu, Jan 18		167 Lipscomb	W	96 - 86	9%	+6	91%	5 - 13	3 - 1	B+	+13	A+	+15	A+	C	D	C-	-2	C	C	F
Sat, Jan 20		241 Austin Peay	L	71 - 94	14%	-13	5%	5 - 14	3 - 2	F	-24	D-	-7	F	A	D+	F	-18	F	F	F+
Wed, Jan 24		262 Queens	L	79 - 96	17%	-13	0%	5 - 15	3 - 3	F	-19	F	-10	F	C+	F	D-	-6	F	C-	C
Sat, Jan 27		271 Kennesaw St.	W	92 - 87	36%	-3	15%	6 - 15	4 - 3	C-	-4	B-	+4	C-	D-	A+	F+	-8	F	C+	C+
Thu, Feb 1		235 Florida Gulf Coast	L	59 - 82	29%	-21	0%	6 - 16	4 - 4	F	-30	F	-16	F	C	D	F	-15	F	D	C+
Sat, Feb 3		215 Stetson	L	62 - 73 OT	26%	+2	55%	6 - 17	4 - 5	F	-17	F	-26	F	F+	C	A	+9	A+	F	A-
Thu, Feb 8		278 Jacksonville	L	55 - 59	18%	+1	52%	6 - 18	4 - 6	D+	-7	F	-17	F	D	C-	A	+9	B-	A-	F
Sat, Feb 10		245 North Florida	W	79 - 77	15%	+0	48%	7 - 18	5 - 6	C	+1	C-	-0	B	C-	C-	C+	+1	D-	B-	B-
Thu, Feb 15		241 Austin Peay	L	67 - 77	30%	-2	39%	7 - 19	5 - 7	F	-17	F	-15	F	D+	F	C-	-2	B+	C-	F+
Sat, Feb 17		167 Lipscomb	L	68 - 85	19%	-8	5%	7 - 20	5 - 8	F	-20	F+	-9	F+	C	C-	F	-12	F	C-	F
Thu, Feb 22		316 Bellarmine	L	65 - 68	27%	-1	20%	7 - 21	5 - 9	D	-9	F	-15	F+	F+	F	B+	+6	C	B+	F
Sat, Feb 24		214 Eastern Kentucky	L	82 - 95	12%	-9	2%	7 - 22	5 - 10	D-	-13	D+	-3	C-	C	C-	F	-9	F	F	C-
Fri, Mar 1		251 North Alabama	L	78 - 82	32%	+2	65%	7 - 23	5 - 11	D-	-12	D+	-2	B-	C-	F	F	-9	B-	C	F
Totals								7 - 23	5 - 11		-13	D-	-7	C	D	F+	D-	-6	C-	B-	D+

Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

			Offense																						Defense
			Tot Off		First Field Goal Attempt										Second Chance				TOs		Freethrows				Tot Def		First Field Goal Attempt										Second Chance				TOs		Freethrows
					Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				Pts Per Shot														Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				Pts Per Shot
					2 C	2 L	3	Tot	2 C	2 L	3	Tot			Off Reb	PPP	Tot				Att	Perc	Tot				2 C	2 L	3	Tot	2 C	2 L	3	Tot			Off Reb	PPP	Tot				Att	Perc	Tot
Season Ratings			D-		D+	D-	C-	D	29%	52%	40%	F+	D-		C-	C-	D+		D		D	B-	D+		D-		D	C-	D-	D-	36%	20%	44%	C-	D-		D	D-	F+		D+		C-	C	C-
			0.99		54%	31%	33%	-4				-2	0.90		27%	1.0	.26		19%		.25	75%	.19		1.17		61%	38%	37%	+4				0	1.09		32%	1.1	.37		15%		.31	72%	.18
Nov 6	Tulsa	F	F	B	D+	F+	24%	38%	38%	F	F	D+	F	F	C	F	F	F	B-	D-	A+	A+	A+	37%	11%	52%	F+	A	F	F	F	A+	D-	B	D+
		0.79	25%	42%	32%	-7				-3	0.80	26%	0.6	.17	18%	.22	58%	.13	1.04	65%	20%	21%	-9				+2	0.85	50%	1.3	.63	27%	.41	70%	.29
Nov 13	Pine Bluff	F	C	A+	F	D	30%	21%	49%	D	D-	A-	D+	B	F	A-	A	A+	D-	B-	A+	F	F	43%	12%	45%	D	F	C+	A+	B+	C+	F	F+	F
		1.07	63%	55%	27%	0				0	1.00	43%	1.1	.45	24%	.36	81%	.29	1.09	50%	17%	52%	+7				+2	1.18	19%	0.7	.14	18%	.44	82%	.36
Nov 17	Vanderbilt	C-	A-	D-	A+	A-	35%	41%	24%	F	B	B	D+	C+	F+	C	F	D-	C	F	C+	A+	C+	27%	27%	46%	C	C	D+	F	F	C-	D-	A+	C+
		1.05	65%	30%	50%	+6				-3	1.06	31%	1.1	.34	21%	.24	62%	.15	1.11	79%	36%	25%	-1				-1	0.96	31%	1.2	.36	13%	.36	57%	.20
Nov 20	SE MO St.	F	F	D+	C	F	40%	31%	29%	F+	F	F	A	D+	A-	D+	F	D-	C-	F	F	A+	D-	37%	12%	51%	F	F	C	A+	B+	C+	F	C	F
		0.95	38%	38%	33%	-8				-1	0.83	22%	1.4	.30	13%	.35	64%	.22	0.98	68%	67%	23%	-1				+1	1.02	24%	0.6	.15	20%	.36	67%	.24
Nov 22	Kansas St.	F	F	B-	F	D	19%	31%	50%	F+	D-	D+	F	F	A	F+	A	D	F	D+	A+	C	C+	47%	13%	40%	D+	C+	F	F	F	F	D+	A+	B-
		0.79	36%	39%	24%	-11				-2	0.74	24%	0.4	.10	13%	.21	77%	.16	1.42	64%	14%	33%	0				+2	1.04	62%	1.3	.81	14%	.38	61%	.23
Nov 25	E. Michigan	D-	A+	F	A-	C-	25%	39%	35%	F	D	D	F	F+	D+	A+	C-	A+	F	F	A+	F	F	14%	39%	47%	B+	F	B-	D+	C	F+	F	C+	F
		1.06	77%	25%	39%	+3				-3	1.00	27%	0.7	.19	16%	.40	68%	.27	1.11	86%	26%	48%	+10				-4	1.12	24%	1.0	.24	13%	.40	65%	.26
Nov 26	New Orleans	F	A+	F	A	D+	13%	39%	48%	F	F+	C+	A	A-	F	A-	C+	A-	D-	F	B+	F	F	22%	40%	38%	A+	F	D+	F	F	C+	F	A	D
		1.00	100%	17%	41%	+3				-4	0.98	36%	1.3	.47	32%	.40	75%	.30	1.07	73%	30%	42%	+5				-3	1.04	29%	1.2	.34	18%	.39	63%	.25
Nov 29	L. Marymount	F	C	F	F	F	35%	25%	40%	C	F	A-	F	D+	F	F	A+	F+	F+	A+	F	F	C+	51%	8%	42%	F	D+	F	F	F	C-	F	F	F
		0.87	55%	21%	26%	-9				0	0.81	33%	0.8	.26	18%	.15	89%	.13	1.24	37%	75%	45%	0				+3	1.06	41%	1.5	.59	15%	.36	86%	.31
Dec 3	Hawaii	B+	F	B+	A-	C	31%	27%	41%	D+	C	A	A+	A+	C+	C	A	B-	F	D+	F	F	F	39%	16%	45%	C	F	F+	F	F	F	C	F	D
		1.16	44%	43%	38%	0				-1	0.98	34%	1.4	.47	14%	.28	81%	.23	1.45	60%	50%	57%	+19				+1	1.39	32%	1.5	.48	12%	.31	83%	.26
Dec 7	Little Rock	C	C+	F	C	D	29%	35%	35%	F	D-	D-	A+	B+	A	A-	A+	A+	C	F	A+	A	A	21%	32%	47%	B	A	F	B-	F	C-	F	A+	F
		1.12	60%	28%	33%	-3				-2	0.90	24%	1.5	.36	12%	.37	91%	.34	1.06	90%	13%	27%	-5				-2	0.85	48%	1.0	.48	18%	.42	61%	.26
Dec 10	E. Illinois	C-	F	F+	A+	B-	24%	26%	50%	D-	C	B-	F	D-	F	F	A+	C	C-	B	D-	D+	D	36%	30%	34%	D+	D	D-	A+	B	D+	F	B	F
		1.07	42%	31%	48%	+5				-1	1.08	30%	0.7	.21	24%	.23	100%	.23	1.03	50%	40%	35%	-1				-1	0.96	31%	0.6	.18	15%	.38	68%	.26
Dec 20	W. Illinois	F	F	C+	F	F	32%	30%	38%	D	F	F	D	F	F	A+	C+	A+	B-	F	C-	F	F	34%	46%	20%	A+	F	A+	A+	A+	B-	F	A+	F
		0.77	38%	40%	16%	-16				-1	0.66	20%	1.0	.20	20%	.34	74%	.25	0.93	93%	37%	50%	+17				-3	1.27	23%	0.0	.00	23%	.48	50%	.24
Dec 28	Oklahoma	C+	A+	B	B	A+	40%	20%	40%	B	A+	C+	F	F	F	C	B	C+	D+	C+	F	F	D-	48%	13%	39%	D+	D-	B	F	D	D-	C-	C+	C-
		1.00	70%	40%	35%	+6				+1	1.14	25%	0.5	.13	24%	.25	79%	.20	1.22	58%	57%	43%	+8				+2	1.20	28%	1.4	.41	14%	.35	73%	.26
Dec 30	Missouri	F	A+	F	C-	C-	9%	38%	53%	F	D	D	F	F	F	C-	C+	C-	F	F	F	A+	F	22%	42%	36%	A+	F	F	C	F	A+	D+	D	D
		0.84	100%	28%	32%	-1				-4	0.89	28%	0.5	.14	28%	.32	75%	.24	1.31	100%	62%	22%	+14				-4	1.20	64%	1.1	.70	23%	.31	82%	.26
Jan 6	N. Alabama	C+	B+	F	A	B	37%	20%	43%	C-	B	F	A+	C+	D	B-	B-	B	C	B	D+	D-	D+	39%	9%	52%	F	D-	F+	A+	C+	F	D	A+	B-
		1.14	63%	30%	41%	+5				0	1.12	19%	1.7	.32	16%	.39	75%	.29	1.10	50%	40%	38%	+1				+2	1.05	30%	0.7	.21	11%	.34	59%	.20
Jan 11	E. Kentucky	F	F	F+	F	F	38%	36%	26%	D+	F	F+	A+	C	C	A+	C-	A+	F	C+	F+	F	F	37%	13%	50%	F	F	D-	F	F	C+	B-	F	C-
		0.89	39%	29%	17%	-16				-2	0.64	24%	1.4	.33	14%	.56	74%	.41	1.22	55%	43%	44%	+8				+1	1.19	35%	1.2	.42	17%	.24	79%	.19
Jan 13	Bellarmine	F	B	B-	F	D-	30%	26%	45%	D	F+	D-	A+	C	C	C-	F	F	B	A+	F	B+	A	33%	23%	44%	D+	A-	B-	F	D+	F+	F+	A-	D
		0.97	64%	42%	24%	-3				-1	0.91	24%	1.5	.35	15%	.27	50%	.14	0.94	38%	45%	29%	-8				0	0.83	18%	1.3	.24	12%	.26	71%	.19
Jan 18	Lipscomb	A+	F	D+	A+	A+	21%	25%	55%	D+	A+	D-	A	C	D	B	A+	A	C-	F	F	B	C-	33%	27%	40%	B+	C	A+	F	C	F	F	C-	F
		1.33	45%	38%	62%	+21				-1	1.40	24%	1.3	.31	18%	.25	87%	.22	1.19	72%	47%	32%	+6				-1	1.11	10%	2.3	.23	7%	.34	78%	.27
Jan 20	Austin Peay	D-	C-	D	F	F	33%	35%	31%	F+	F	C+	A+	A	D+	D-	F	F+	F	C-	F	F	F	35%	29%	36%	D+	F	F	F	F	F+	C-	C	C-
		1.05	59%	33%	25%	-5				-2	0.86	35%	1.4	.48	18%	.29	63%	.18	1.39	58%	56%	45%	+12				-1	1.22	44%	1.4	.63	10%	.28	71%	.20
Jan 24	Queens	F	C-	F	D-	F	38%	32%	30%	F	F	C	C+	C+	F	A	B-	A	D-	F	F	F	F	39%	22%	39%	B+	F	D	C+	C-	C	F+	D	F
		0.96	57%	28%	29%	-5				-1	0.88	30%	1.2	.35	21%	.35	74%	.26	1.17	65%	54%	39%	+10				0	1.20	29%	0.9	.26	17%	.35	75%	.26
				Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				PPS	2nd Chance			TOs	Freethrows				Shot Accuracy				Shot Selection				PPS	2nd Chance			TOs	Freethrows
Jan 27	Kennesaw St.	B-	A+	A+	F	C	29%	25%	46%	F+	C-	D	D	D-	A+	A-	A+	A+	F+	D-	F	D	F	30%	15%	56%	C	F	B+	F+	C+	C+	F	F	F
		1.22	75%	50%	27%	+3				-1	1.05	27%	1.0	.27	9%	.44	83%	.37	1.15	63%	63%	37%	+8				+1	1.17	23%	1.1	.27	17%	.39	83%	.32
Feb 1	FGCU	F	D-	F+	F	F	38%	17%	45%	B-	F	A-	F	C	D	F	A	F	F	F	F	F	F	25%	15%	60%	D	F	F	B	D	C+	A+	A+	A+
		0.89	50%	33%	21%	-12				+1	0.77	36%	0.9	.31	18%	.16	78%	.13	1.23	77%	50%	44%	+16				0	1.32	35%	1.0	.35	20%	.11	33%	.04
Feb 3	Stetson	F	F	F	D-	F	33%	31%	36%	F	F	F+	D+	F+	C	F	A-	F+	A	A-	A+	B+	A+	37%	24%	39%	C+	A+	C	F	F	A-	F	B+	F
		0.82	38%	20%	30%	-13				-1	0.70	24%	0.9	.22	13%	.15	80%	.12	0.97	47%	25%	30%	-9				0	0.82	26%	1.5	.38	20%	.40	71%	.28
Feb 8	Jacksonville	F	F	D	F	F	48%	20%	33%	B-	F	F	A+	D	C-	B	A	A	A	A+	D+	C+	B+	45%	16%	39%	F	B-	A+	C-	A-	F	A-	C+	A-
		0.85	45%	33%	13%	-16				+1	0.70	18%	1.4	.25	19%	.40	81%	.32	0.91	41%	38%	32%	-9				+1	0.86	24%	1.0	.24	12%	.23	69%	.16
Feb 10	N. Florida	C-	A-	C+	A	B+	38%	31%	31%	D-	B	C	D+	C-	C-	F	C	F	C+	F	A+	D+	D-	24%	8%	67%	C	D-	C	A	B-	B-	F	F	F
		1.12	67%	41%	41%	+8				-1	1.15	30%	0.9	.27	16%	.18	73%	.13	1.09	75%	25%	36%	+6				+1	1.14	22%	0.7	.16	18%	.36	86%	.31
Feb 15	Austin Peay	F	A+	F	F	F+	33%	41%	27%	F	F	B+	F	D+	F	B-	F	D	C-	A+	A+	F	A	34%	18%	48%	F	B+	C-	C-	C-	F+	F	F	F
		0.97	75%	25%	23%	-3				-3	0.88	39%	0.8	.32	20%	.36	55%	.20	1.12	35%	0%	46%	-5				0	0.90	29%	0.9	.27	10%	.45	86%	.39
Feb 17	Lipscomb	F+	F+	F	B	D-	26%	35%	39%	F	F+	B-	D-	C	C-	D-	D	D-	F	F	F	F	F	32%	30%	39%	A	F	D+	C+	C-	F	A+	F	A
		1.03	50%	32%	38%	-1				-2	0.93	33%	0.9	.31	17%	.16	67%	.11	1.29	72%	47%	45%	+14				-1	1.26	24%	1.0	.24	11%	.12	86%	.10
Feb 22	Bellarmine	F	F+	D-	D-	F	40%	12%	48%	B+	F+	C-	F	F+	F	C-	A-	C	B+	C-	F+	A-	C+	33%	16%	51%	F	C	A+	F	B+	F	B-	D	C+
		0.91	50%	33%	29%	-7				+2	0.90	28%	0.9	.25	21%	.27	80%	.21	0.96	58%	44%	28%	-3				+1	0.95	8%	1.7	.14	11%	.17	82%	.14
Feb 24	E. Kentucky	D+	B-	D+	A	B-	16%	48%	36%	F	C-	F	A+	C	C-	D+	A+	B	F	F	D	D+	F	30%	30%	39%	D-	F	F+	F	F	C-	F	C-	F
		1.07	60%	34%	41%	+3				-5	0.97	18%	1.9	.34	14%	.24	94%	.23	1.24	71%	41%	36%	+7				-1	1.11	37%	1.4	.53	16%	.40	69%	.28
Mar 1	N. Alabama	D+	A+	F	A+	A-	27%	42%	31%	F	B-	B-	D-	C-	F	A+	C	A+	F	C-	A+	D-	C+	31%	29%	40%	A	B-	C-	C+	C	F	F	F	F
		1.13	75%	26%	50%	+8				-3	1.09	32%	0.9	.29	19%	.52	72%	.37	1.19	56%	20%	38%	-3				-1	0.92	26%	0.9	.24	9%	.44	96%	.43