Louisville
Atlantic Coast
2022-23 - 2023-24 - 2024-25
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.
RatingRank
INCC Stats Predictive Rating -0.5 168
INCC Stats Results Rating -2.5 211
Consistency 0.14 132
Pace 73.2 58
Improvement +1.3 120

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 170 C- C+ C- A D-
Defense C 197 D+ B- C+ C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 252 C+ 58% 133 -1.0 220
2 Pt. Jumpers 52% 59 C+ 39% 126 +3.7 31
Three Pointers 33% 313 C- 33% 241 -3.7 314
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.3 320 C +0.3 163
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 213
Second Chance C 28.9% 166 B- 1.07 103 C+ 0.31 131
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.3% 292
Other Turnovers C+ 7.2% 131
Turnovers C- 17.5% 216
Freethrows A- 0.35 12 B- 75% 75 A 0.26 9
Total Offense C +0.2 170

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 50% 138 C+ 10.6% 148
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 201 C- 5.9% 256
Three Pointers B- 88% 75 B+ 0.2% 25
Total C- 51% 227 C 5.7% 176


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 302 D- 63% 331 -0.4 157
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 88 C- 38% 231 +1.1 292
Three Pointers 40% 121 C- 35% 230 +1.5 267
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 70 D +2.7 294
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.04 249
Second Chance B- 26.7% 107 B- 0.96 87 B- 0.25 81
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.3% 262
Other Turnovers A- 9.4% 18
Turnovers C+ 17.7% 121
Freethrows C 0.29 206 C 72% 180 C 0.21 211
Total Defense C -0.7 197

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 284 C- 10.1% 212
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 170 C 4.8% 171
Three Pointers C- 83% 195 C 0.9% 149
Total C- 56% 241 C- 5.0% 218

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.5 70 17.3 171
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 315 0.14 83
Consistency 0.13 222 0.12 163
Improvement +0.5 154 +0.8 137



Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
Mon, Nov 6 267 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 94 - 93 78% -3  22% 1 - 0 D -8 C +1 F A+ F+ F -9 F C- F+
Fri, Nov 10 140 Chattanooga L 71 - 81 54% -8  3% 1 - 1 D- -11 F -12 D- D F C+ +1 B+ F B+
Wed, Nov 15 360 Coppin St. W 61 - 41 96% +10  87% 2 - 1 C -0 F -13 D F D A+ +15 A+ D+ C+
Sun, Nov 19 23 Texas L 80 - 81 10% -1  24% 2 - 2 B+ +12 A+ +16 C+ A+ B D+ -3 C A+ F
Mon, Nov 20 84 Indiana L 66 - 74 25% -2  42% 2 - 3 C -1 F+ -8 D D+ C+ A- +7 A+ A D+
Sun, Nov 26 285 New Mexico St. W 90 - 84 OT 80% -3  14% 3 - 3 C- -3 C+ +3 F+ A+ D D- -7 F C- A-
Wed, Nov 29 316 Bellarmine W 73 - 68 86% +1  58% 4 - 3 D+ -7 F -11 D+ F F B +3 C+ A C+
Sun, Dec 3 59 Virginia Tech L 68 - 75 11% +1  49% 4 - 4 0 - 1 B- +6 D+ -3 C F D+ A +9 A+ C C-
Sat, Dec 9 295 DePaul L 68 - 75 64% -8  3% 4 - 5 D- -11 F -12 F B- B- C+ +1 F B A-
Wed, Dec 13 133 Arkansas St. L 63 - 75 51% -6  3% 4 - 6 D- -13 F -16 F D B- B +3 A F C+
Sun, Dec 17 200 Pepperdine W 85 - 63 68% +13  95% 5 - 6 A +17 B- +4 C A+ D+ A+ +13 A- B C+
Thu, Dec 21 17 Kentucky L 76 - 95 14% -13  11% 5 - 7 D -8 D -5 D C C+ C- -1 C- D- B+
Wed, Jan 3 66 Virginia L 53 - 77 14% -11  4% 5 - 8 0 - 2 D- -13 C +1 B- F+ A+ F -19 F D- F
Sat, Jan 6 28 Pittsburgh L 70 - 83 17% -9  0% 5 - 9 0 - 3 C- -3 C+ +2 A+ A- F D- -6 F C+ A-
Wed, Jan 10 87 Miami (FL) W 80 - 71 17% -1  28% 6 - 9 1 - 3 A +19 B- +4 A F B A+ +14 A A+ C+
Sat, Jan 13 38 North Carolina St. L 83 - 89 19% -7  1% 6 - 10 1 - 4 C+ +3 B+ +8 B B A+ D -5 F D A+
Wed, Jan 17 6 North Carolina L 70 - 86 3% -12  0% 6 - 11 1 - 5 B- +6 B +6 A+ C D C+ +0 F A+ C+
Sat, Jan 20 27 Wake Forest L 65 - 90 7% -13  0% 6 - 12 1 - 6 D -9 D+ -3 D+ D+ A+ D- -6 F B D-
Tue, Jan 23 8 Duke L 69 - 83 8% -8  8% 6 - 13 1 - 7 C +1 C+ +3 C+ A- A- C- -2 A F C-
Sat, Jan 27 66 Virginia L 52 - 69 29% -19  0% 6 - 14 1 - 8 D- -12 F -11 C- F F C- -2 F A- A
Tue, Jan 30 19 Clemson L 64 - 70 6% -8  9% 6 - 15 1 - 9 B+ +11 D -5 F+ A+ F A+ +16 A A+ A
Sat, Feb 3 72 Florida St. W 101 - 92 31% +6  84% 7 - 15 2 - 9 A- +14 A- +9 B A A- B- +3 C C- A
Wed, Feb 7 74 Syracuse L 92 - 94 15% -0  40% 7 - 16 2 - 10 B +9 A+ +16 B+ A+ C- D- -7 F A+ D+
Sat, Feb 10 114 Georgia Tech W 79 - 67 45% -0  34% 8 - 16 3 - 10 B+ +13 C +1 F A+ D- A+ +12 B+ A+ A-
Tue, Feb 13 68 Boston College L 77 - 89 14% -2  43% 8 - 17 3 - 11 C -1 B- +4 C A+ C- D+ -4 F A+ D+
Sat, Feb 17 28 Pittsburgh L 59 - 86 7% -11  6% 8 - 18 3 - 12 D- -11 D -4 C- D- C- F -9 C F F
Wed, Feb 21 108 Notre Dame L 50 - 72 42% -9  0% 8 - 19 3 - 13 F -21 F -18 F F+ C D+ -4 C- C+ F
Wed, Feb 28 8 Duke L 59 - 84 3% -13  3% 8 - 20 3 - 14 C- -4 D+ -4 D+ C+ A C- -2 F C- A+
Sat, Mar 2 74 Syracuse L 76 - 82 31% -8  2% 8 - 21 3 - 15 C -1 D+ -4 D+ D+ A B- +3 F+ A- B+
Tue, Mar 5 59 Virginia Tech L 64 - 80 25% -13  0% 8 - 22 3 - 16 D -9 D- -7 B+ F+ D- D+ -3 D- A+ D-
Sat, Mar 9 68 Boston College L 61 - 67 29% -8  4% 8 - 23 3 - 17 C -1 F -14 F+ F D+ A+ +13 A- B- A+
Tue, Mar 12 38 North Carolina St. L 85 - 94 13% -0  41% 8 - 24 C+ +3 A +13 A+ C+ D- F -10 F C C
Totals 8 - 24 3 - 17 +0 C +0 C C D- C -1 C- B- A


Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Pts Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ C+ C- C 36% 52% 33% D- C- C B- C+ C- A- B- A C D- C- C- D 34% 26% 40% B- D+ B- B- B- C+ C C C
1.09 58% 39% 33% 0 -1 0.98 29% 1.1 .31 18% .35 75% .26 1.10 63% 38% 35% +3 -1 1.04 27% 1.0 .25 18% .29 72% .25
Nov
6		 UMBC C C+ D F F 43% 33% 24% F F A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ F A+ F F B- F F 30% 41% 30% A F F A C- F+ F A+ D
1.18 59% 35% 17% -6 -1 0.86 47% 1.4 .65 18% .60 62% .37 1.17 72% 36% 56% +14 -3 1.21 31% 0.8 .26 14% .32 55% .18
Nov
10		 Chattanooga F D+ F C+ D 37% 33% 30% F D- A F D F A D- B C+ A- D+ D+ C+ 16% 29% 55% A+ B+ F+ F F B+ F+ A- D
0.95 52% 26% 35% -5 -1 0.88 37% 0.7 .26 20% .33 65% .22 1.08 50% 43% 37% +3 -2 1.02 33% 1.5 .50 21% .32 68% .22
Nov
15		 Coppin St. F B+ C+ C- C 26% 35% 39% F D C+ F F D D B+ C- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 22% 46% 33% A A+ D+ C- D+ C+ A A- A
0.95 67% 38% 33% +2 -2 1.00 40% 0.5 .20 23% .29 79% .22 0.64 50% 24% 13% -18 -4 0.57 28% 0.8 .23 23% .18 67% .12
Nov
19		 Texas A+ D- F+ A+ C+ 45% 23% 32% B C+ A+ A- A+ B A+ A+ A+ D+ F F A+ B- 47% 24% 29% F+ C F A+ A+ F F C+ F
1.22 45% 30% 43% -3 +1 0.95 39% 1.1 .42 17% .57 87% .49 1.23 81% 46% 13% +4 0 1.09 40% 0.5 .21 8% .38 74% .28
Nov
20		 Indiana F+ D F F D- 42% 22% 36% B- D F+ B D+ C+ A+ C- A+ A- D B+ A+ A+ 51% 26% 23% C+ A+ A+ C- A D+ F F+ F
0.90 48% 27% 28% -9 0 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 15% .47 72% .34 1.01 67% 33% 9% -5 0 0.91 21% 1.1 .24 15% .55 74% .40
Nov
26		 NM St. C+ A+ F F D- 33% 26% 41% D F+ A B+ A+ D A+ C+ A+ D- F F C- F 37% 35% 29% C+ F D+ C+ C- A- C A+ B+
1.17 73% 25% 21% -6 -1 0.87 38% 1.3 .51 17% .77 73% .57 1.10 74% 67% 33% +16 -2 1.29 29% 1.0 .29 21% .28 53% .15
Nov
29		 Bellarmine F A+ F D D+ 28% 26% 46% D D+ C- F F F A+ C- A B F+ A+ B- C+ 33% 31% 37% B- C+ C- A+ A C+ F F F
1.02 71% 31% 30% 0 -1 0.98 29% 0.8 .23 20% .38 73% .28 0.95 65% 25% 32% -3 -1 0.92 22% 0.5 .11 17% .32 95% .30
Dec
3		 VA Tech D+ C+ D C C 33% 31% 35% D C C+ F F D+ A- A+ A+ A D+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% D+ A+ C+ D+ C C- F D+ F
0.97 59% 31% 33% -2 -1 0.94 27% 0.6 .15 20% .32 89% .28 1.07 65% 13% 22% -7 +1 0.90 25% 1.3 .31 14% .45 81% .37
Dec
9		 DePaul F F D- F F 38% 29% 34% D+ F D- A+ B- B- B+ C B C+ D F C- F 34% 17% 49% C- F A F B A- F B- F
0.94 43% 31% 26% -11 -1 0.77 23% 1.7 .38 14% .29 72% .21 1.03 63% 63% 35% +7 +1 1.15 18% 1.4 .25 23% .43 71% .31
Dec
13		 Ark St. F D- C+ F F 35% 44% 21% F F B- F D B- A D+ A- B F A+ A+ A 43% 18% 39% B- A D+ F F C+ A- F B-
0.91 50% 39% 18% -7 -3 0.81 31% 0.7 .21 13% .38 74% .28 1.08 67% 20% 18% -8 +1 0.86 36% 1.3 .46 16% .21 83% .17
Dec
17		 Pepperdine B- C F A+ B- 35% 36% 29% F C A+ B+ A+ D+ D+ B- C- A+ F C+ A+ A- 24% 33% 43% C+ A- A+ F B C+ B F C+
1.19 58% 25% 56% +6 -2 1.07 41% 1.1 .46 18% .27 75% .20 0.88 69% 39% 26% -1 -2 0.93 15% 1.4 .21 18% .24 79% .19
Dec
21		 Kentucky D F+ A+ F C- 32% 42% 26% F D B D- C C+ A+ C+ A+ C- C D F D 25% 37% 38% A+ C- D D D- B+ B- D C+
1.00 47% 55% 14% -4 -3 0.87 32% 0.8 .26 17% .49 71% .35 1.25 60% 45% 48% +12 -3 1.18 32% 1.4 .44 17% .25 81% .21
Jan
3		 Virginia C A+ A+ F B 24% 19% 57% C- B- F C- F+ A+ B+ D+ B F F F F+ F 25% 25% 49% C- F D+ F+ D- F A- D- B
0.94 70% 50% 25% -2 0 0.95 17% 0.8 .13 14% .27 69% .19 1.36 69% 54% 40% +12 -1 1.22 29% 1.1 .32 5% .19 70% .13
Jan
6		 Pitt C+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 30% 23% 47% D+ A+ B- A+ A- F B A+ A- D- F+ F F+ F 24% 16% 60% C F D+ B C+ A- F F F
1.06 77% 30% 45% +12 -1 1.23 26% 1.2 .30 27% .29 86% .25 1.25 67% 50% 40% +10 0 1.20 34% 1.0 .34 17% .38 90% .34
Jan
10		 Miami FL B- B- B A+ A 37% 22% 41% C A F A+ F B A- A+ A+ A+ C A+ A- A+ 35% 12% 53% F+ A B A+ A+ C+ C A+ A-
1.08 60% 42% 41% +6 0 1.13 10% 1.7 .17 16% .26 88% .22 0.95 60% 14% 30% -5 +1 0.93 27% 0.9 .24 17% .24 53% .13
Jan
13		 NC St. B+ F A+ A+ A 29% 44% 27% F B C- A+ B A+ A+ B A+ D D F F F 30% 35% 35% A+ F B- F D A+ B- F D
1.14 33% 48% 50% +4 -3 1.02 26% 1.2 .32 14% .40 76% .30 1.22 63% 47% 47% +12 -2 1.20 28% 1.4 .38 21% .29 88% .26
Jan
17		 UNC B F A+ A+ A+ 27% 37% 35% D- A+ D A C D C- F F C+ D- C- F F 40% 20% 40% D+ F C A+ A+ C+ F+ C+ D-
1.00 29% 68% 44% +9 -3 1.14 18% 1.0 .18 19% .23 46% .11 1.23 65% 40% 50% +13 +1 1.28 35% 0.4 .15 14% .40 75% .30
Jan
20		 Wake Forest D+ C+ C+ F D+ 41% 39% 20% D+ D+ F A+ D+ A+ F A- F+ D- A+ F F F 27% 18% 55% D+ F A F B D- A+ D A+
0.94 57% 41% 18% -3 -2 0.89 9% 2.0 .18 10% .18 82% .15 1.31 40% 60% 55% +17 0 1.34 21% 1.3 .28 12% .20 83% .16
Jan
23		 Duke C+ C A- D B 24% 39% 37% F C+ D A+ A- A- A+ C+ A+ C- F A+ B+ B+ 29% 31% 40% A+ A F F F C- F+ C D-
1.03 55% 44% 29% 0 -3 0.93 20% 1.6 .31 15% .42 67% .28 1.24 81% 24% 32% +2 -2 1.00 42% 1.4 .58 13% .38 73% .28
Jan
27		 Virginia F A+ F D+ B- 28% 44% 28% F C- C F F F A+ A A+ C- C- F F F 35% 33% 33% C+ F A+ C- A- A B+ D- B
0.81 70% 25% 30% -3 -4 0.86 26% 0.3 .06 28% .52 79% .41 1.08 59% 50% 44% +10 -1 1.16 18% 1.0 .18 17% .19 70% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Clemson D B- D+ F F+ 36% 32% 32% D+ F+ A+ D A+ F A+ A- A+ A+ F+ A A+ A 40% 21% 40% C A A+ A+ A+ A F F+ F
0.90 56% 38% 13% -11 -1 0.76 46% 0.7 .33 23% .42 78% .33 0.99 68% 30% 26% -1 0 0.98 13% 0.5 .06 18% .43 84% .36
Feb
3		 FL St. A- B A D B+ 49% 31% 20% D+ B C- A+ A A- A+ A+ A+ B- F F A+ C+ 42% 27% 31% D C D B- C- A F B+ F
1.17 63% 47% 30% +4 0 1.08 29% 1.4 .42 19% .64 80% .51 1.07 74% 47% 18% +2 0 1.04 33% 1.1 .36 21% .51 66% .34
Feb
7		 Syracuse A+ D- A+ A+ A- 41% 19% 41% C B+ A+ A+ A+ C- B- B- B D- F F F F 43% 14% 43% F F A+ F A+ D+ F A- F
1.23 50% 50% 41% +4 +1 1.09 42% 1.6 .70 23% .26 73% .19 1.26 81% 57% 43% +19 +1 1.41 7% 1.5 .11 13% .51 67% .34
Feb
10		 GA Tech C B- F F F 30% 34% 36% D- F A A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ D B- 13% 42% 45% A+ B+ C- A+ A+ A- D F+ D-
1.09 57% 25% 18% -13 -2 0.70 37% 1.5 .57 17% .56 91% .51 0.93 71% 27% 38% 0 -4 0.92 33% 0.5 .17 21% .31 78% .24
Feb
13		 Boston Col B- F A+ D- C 46% 28% 26% C+ C A- A+ A+ C- A F B- D+ F B F F 34% 26% 40% C+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ B+ D+ B
1.07 40% 67% 29% -2 0 0.96 34% 1.3 .46 18% .32 63% .20 1.23 85% 33% 48% +17 -1 1.33 18% 0.8 .14 12% .21 77% .16
Feb
17		 Pitt D B- A+ F C- 44% 29% 27% C- C- F A+ D- C- A+ A+ A+ F A+ D+ F C 32% 21% 46% C+ C C F F F A+ F A
0.92 60% 54% 8% -4 0 0.91 8% 1.5 .12 19% .40 86% .35 1.34 44% 42% 42% +3 0 1.05 32% 1.5 .49 5% .18 82% .15
Feb
21		 Notre Dame F C- D+ F D- 22% 49% 29% F F D- F F+ C B+ F D+ D+ C- A F D 22% 36% 42% A+ C- B+ D C+ F A+ C- A+
0.76 55% 33% 21% -8 -4 0.76 20% 0.6 .13 17% .29 50% .14 1.09 58% 30% 43% +4 -3 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 11% .14 75% .10
Feb
28		 Duke D+ A- F+ F D+ 38% 32% 30% D+ D+ D+ A+ C+ A A+ F B- C- F C+ F F 43% 17% 40% C- F F A+ C- A+ C+ A+ A
0.90 63% 31% 20% -6 -1 0.86 21% 1.1 .24 14% .33 53% .18 1.28 75% 38% 47% +16 +1 1.34 45% 0.9 .41 21% .31 56% .17
Mar
2		 Syracuse D+ A F F D+ 44% 25% 32% D+ D+ D- B D+ A A A+ A+ B- F C F F 40% 44% 16% A+ F+ A+ F A- B+ F A F
0.99 68% 21% 22% -5 0 0.91 24% 1.1 .26 17% .31 80% .25 1.07 76% 37% 57% +13 -3 1.21 7% 2.5 .19 18% .62 64% .40
Mar
5		 VA Tech D- A+ F+ A+ A 20% 35% 45% F B+ D F F+ D- D- F F D+ A F F F 16% 31% 53% A+ D- B A+ A+ D- C- A+ B-
0.96 80% 29% 41% +7 -3 1.08 21% 0.9 .18 21% .21 45% .10 1.20 50% 56% 44% +13 -2 1.22 23% 0.7 .16 12% .32 68% .22
Mar
9		 Boston Col F D D- F F+ 34% 32% 34% D+ F+ F F F D+ A+ A A+ A+ C+ C- B A- 29% 27% 45% B A- D+ A B- A+ C A+ B
0.87 50% 33% 25% -8 -1 0.81 16% 0.2 .03 18% .49 82% .40 0.95 57% 38% 32% -1 -1 0.96 31% 1.0 .31 23% .26 64% .17
Mar
12		 NC St. A B A+ A+ A+ 28% 40% 32% F A+ C B- C+ D- F+ A+ C F D F F F+ 51% 13% 36% F F C C- C C F F F
1.19 60% 52% 59% +19 -3 1.32 27% 1.0 .27 22% .20 100% .20 1.31 63% 50% 41% +8 +2 1.21 30% 1.1 .33 13% .64 83% .53