America East
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Vermont 40%   16   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -0.5 161 C -1 180 C +0 147 -1 228 0 1
UMass Lowell 13%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.9 280 D+ -4 280 D+ -3 279 +11 30 0 1
New Hampshire 10%   Negligible 2 - 0 0 - 0 -7.8 295 D- -7 341 C- -1 185 +7 83 0 1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -7.9 296 D+ -4 272 D -4 314 -13 321 0 1
Bryant 7%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -8.7 310 D- -6 331 D+ -2 247 -5 270 0 1
Albany 7%   Negligible 1 - 0 0 - 0 -8.7 311 D -5 314 D+ -3 293 +5 116 0 1
Maine 6%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -9.5 323 D- -8 348 C- -2 229 +5 126 0 1
Binghamton 4%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -10.8 335 D -5 316 D- -5 343 +2 171 0 1
NJIT 3%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -11.9 347 D- -7 342 D -5 328 -10 302 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Thu, Nov 5 254 Fairfield 67 161 Vermont 79   
249 Merrimack 61 280 Umass Lowell 71   
310 Bryant 56 231 Quinnipiac 66   
269 Marist 88 296 Maryland Baltimore Co. 80   
193 Iona 72 347 NJIT 49   
323 Maine 74 317 Sacred Heart 72   
335 Binghamton 58 318 St. Peter's 55   
336 Manhattan 68 311 Albany 72   
295 New Hampshire 66 360 Rider 55   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Sun, Nov 8 231 Quinnipiac 65 161 Vermont 72 74%   
269 Marist 68 280 Umass Lowell 71 58%   
249 Merrimack 64 311 Albany 63 52%   
310 Bryant 69 254 Fairfield 70 52%   
295 New Hampshire 72 317 Sacred Heart 68 66%   
323 Maine 69 336 Manhattan 64 67%   
347 NJIT 67 318 St. Peter's 66 50%   
335 Binghamton 70 360 Rider 63 75%   
Tue, Nov 10 310 Bryant 61 47 Providence 85 98%   
347 NJIT 60 84 Rutgers 82 97%   
323 Maine 57 108 Rhode Island 74 93%   
Wed, Nov 11 347 NJIT 61 63 Virginia Commonwealth 86 98%   
160 Massachusetts 79 280 Umass Lowell 69 81%   
283 Dartmouth 68 311 Albany 69 55%   
Thu, Nov 12 342 Morgan St. 77 296 Maryland Baltimore Co. 83 73%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 2 62% 49% 10% 2% 62 18 9 5 3 2 1 0 0
UMass Lowell 4 14% 8% 5% 2% 14 19 17 14 11 9 7 6 3
Maryland Baltimore Co. 4 11% 6% 4% 1% 11 16 15 14 13 10 9 7 4
New Hampshire 4 10% 6% 3% 1% 10 15 15 14 13 11 9 7 5
Bryant 5 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 13 14 14 13 12 11 9 7
Albany 5 8% 4% 3% 1% 8 12 13 13 13 12 11 9 8
Maine 5 5% 2% 2% 1% 5 10 11 12 13 13 13 12 11
Binghamton 6 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 5 8 10 11 13 15 17 19
NJIT 6 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 20

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 19 - 10 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 12 15 18 17 14 8 2
UMass Lowell 9 - 7 14 - 15 0 0 1 3 5 8 12 14 16 14 12 8 4 2 1 0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 8 - 8 13 - 16 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 14 15 15 13 10 6 3 1 0 0
New Hampshire 8 - 8 15 - 16 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 16 15 12 9 6 3 1 0 0
Bryant 8 - 8 12 - 18 0 0 1 3 6 9 13 15 15 14 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
Albany 8 - 8 14 - 16 0 0 1 3 6 9 13 16 15 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Maine 7 - 9 13 - 18 0 1 2 4 8 12 15 16 14 11 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
Binghamton 6 - 10 11 - 17 0 1 4 8 12 15 16 15 11 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
NJIT 6 - 10 10 - 21 0 1 4 8 12 15 17 15 12 8 4 2 1 0 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Vermont 40% 40% 0% 16 Negligible 2 7 18 13 60
UMass Lowell 13% 13% 0% Negligible 2 11 87
New Hampshire 10% 10% 0% Negligible 1 9 90
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10% 10% 0% Negligible 1 9 90
Bryant 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 7 93
Albany 7% 7% 0% Negligible 1 7 93
Maine 6% 6% 0% Negligible 5 94
Binghamton 4% 4% 0% Negligible 4 96
NJIT 3% 3% 0% Negligible 3 97

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 57% 0.6 43 57
2nd Round 3% 0.0 97 3
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 40% 26% 28% 2%
UMass Lowell 13% 13% 7%
New Hampshire 10% 10% 5%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 10% 10% 5%
Bryant 7% 7% 3%
Albany 7% 7% 3%
Maine 6% 6% 2%
Binghamton 4% 4% 2%
NJIT 3% 3% 2%