Northeast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28


Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
LIU Brooklyn 32%   16   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.0 251 D+ -3 268 C- -2 226 0 2 0 1
Mercyhurst 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.0 302 D -4 300 D -4 298 0 2 0 1
Le Moyne 14%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.3 320 D -5 315 D -4 323 0 2 0 1
Central Connecticut St. 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.4 335 D- -7 345 D+ -3 290 0 2 0 1
Fairleigh Dickinson 12%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.7 339 D- -6 340 D -4 320 0 2 0 1
Wagner 16%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.8 341 D- -7 348 D -4 300 0 2 0 1
Chicago St. 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.6 349 D- -7 343 D -5 334 0 2 0 1
Stonehill 9%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.1 351 D- -8 354 D -5 331 0 2 0 1
New Haven 0%   Negligible 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.1 352 F+ -8 357 D -4 319 0 2 0 1


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 2 339 Fairleigh Dickinson 50 3 Illinois 85 100%   
Mon, Nov 2 349 Chicago St. 53 12 Texas 85 99%   
Mon, Nov 2 320 Le Moyne 58 23 Nebraska 86 99%   
Mon, Nov 2 33 Marquette 82 302 Mercyhurst 57 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 117 Florida Atlantic 79 251 LIU Brooklyn 68 84%   
Mon, Nov 2 352 New Haven 53 65 Syracuse 77 98%   
Mon, Nov 2 335 Central Connecticut St. 58 118 Temple 73 92%   
Tue, Nov 3 107 Boston College 75 341 Wagner 58 94%   
Wed, Nov 4 93 Butler 78 339 Fairleigh Dickinson 59 95%   
Thu, Nov 5 44 Creighton 87 320 Le Moyne 63 98%   
Thu, Nov 5 251 LIU Brooklyn 59 74 Seton Hall 75 92%   
Thu, Nov 5 302 Mercyhurst 57 72 Notre Dame 76 95%   
Thu, Nov 5 335 Central Connecticut St. 55 65 Syracuse 78 97%   
Thu, Nov 5 116 Fordham 74 351 Stonehill 56 94%   
Thu, Nov 5 349 Chicago St. 64 304 Incarnate Word 70 73%   
Fri, Nov 6 18 Miami (FL) 84 341 Wagner 54 99%   
Fri, Nov 6 352 New Haven 54 82 Rutgers 76 97%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
LIU Brooklyn 3 36% 24% 9% 3% 36 20 14 10 7 5 4 2 1
Wagner 4 18% 11% 5% 2% 18 15 14 12 11 10 8 7 5
Le Moyne 4 17% 10% 5% 2% 17 15 13 12 11 10 8 8 6
Mercyhurst 4 13% 7% 5% 2% 13 15 14 13 12 10 9 7 5
Fairleigh Dickinson 5 13% 7% 4% 2% 13 12 12 12 11 11 11 10 8
Chicago St. 5 10% 5% 3% 2% 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 11 10
Stonehill 5 9% 5% 3% 1% 9 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 11
New Haven 5 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 9 10 11 12 12 12 14 13
Central Connecticut St. 6 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 10 - 5 13 - 17 0 0 0 1 2 5 8 12 16 17 16 12 7 3 1
Wagner 8 - 8 10 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 13 15 15 12 10 6 3 1 0 0
Le Moyne 8 - 8 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 13 15 15 12 9 5 3 1 0 0
Mercyhurst 8 - 6 11 - 15 0 0 1 2 4 8 11 15 17 16 13 8 4 2 0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 8 11 - 18 0 0 1 3 6 10 13 15 15 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
Chicago St. 7 - 9 10 - 22 0 1 2 4 7 11 15 15 15 12 9 5 3 1 0 0 0
Stonehill 7 - 9 10 - 18 0 0 2 4 8 11 14 16 15 12 8 5 3 1 0 0 0
New Haven 7 - 9 10 - 18 0 1 2 5 9 13 15 15 14 11 7 4 2 1 0 0 0
Central Connecticut St. 7 - 8 9 - 17 0 1 3 6 10 13 15 16 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
LIU Brooklyn 32% 32% 0% 16 Negligible 1 6 25 68
Mercyhurst 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Le Moyne 14% 14% 0% Negligible 14 86
Central Connecticut St. 9% 9% 0% Negligible 8 91
Fairleigh Dickinson 12% 12% 0% Negligible 12 88
Wagner 16% 16% 0% Negligible 15 84
Chicago St. 9% 9% 0% Negligible 9 91
Stonehill 9% 9% 0% Negligible 9 91
New Haven 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 50% 0.5 50 50
2nd Round 1% 0.0 99 1
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 32% 30% 18% 1%
Mercyhurst
Le Moyne 14% 14% 7%
Central Connecticut St. 9% 9% 4%
Fairleigh Dickinson 12% 12% 5%
Wagner 16% 16% 7%
Chicago St. 9% 9% 4%
Stonehill 9% 9% 4%
New Haven