Big South
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
High Point 67%   13   Likely Out 4 - 0 0 - 0 +9.8 66 B +5 66 B +4 65 +10 44 0 1
Longwood 8%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.3 233 C- -2 229 C- -2 236 -6 264 0 1
Presbyterian 6%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -5.0 251 C- -1 193 D -4 305 -11 321 0 1
Winthrop 6%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -5.3 254 C +0 165 D- -5 336 -20 358 0 1
Radford 7%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -5.7 260 D+ -4 270 C- -2 241 -6 268 0 1
UNC Asheville 4%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -7.6 292 D+ -4 277 D -4 302 -6 274 0 1
Charleston Southern 2%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -9.4 317 D -6 322 D+ -4 296 -4 249 0 1
SC Upstate 1%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -12.4 348 F+ -8 354 D -4 309 -21 361 0 1
Gardner-Webb 1%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -12.6 349 D- -8 346 D -5 330 +9 47 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 9 260 Radford 47 18 Tennessee 70   
265 Coastal Carolina 65 348 South Carolina Upstate 56   
Tue, Nov 10 49 North Carolina St. 94 251 Presbyterian 60   
317 Charleston Southern 64 94 Wake Forest 82   
146 Kennesaw St. 88 254 Winthrop 79   
Wed, Nov 11 292 UNC Asheville 73 327 West Georgia 70   
Thu, Nov 12 66 High Point 88 259 Southern Utah 59   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Sat, Nov 14 109 Georgia Tech 85 292 UNC Asheville 70 91%   
233 Longwood 65 151 Old Dominion 72 75%   
349 Gardner-Webb 60 87 South Carolina 83 97%   
289 Jackson St. 79 254 Winthrop 84 69%   
269 Campbell 76 348 South Carolina Upstate 66 81%   
317 Charleston Southern 76 327 West Georgia 73 64%   
Sun, Nov 15 66 High Point 78 32 Saint Louis 86 76%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
High Point 1 89% 80% 8% 1% 89 8 2 0 0 0
Longwood 4 8% 4% 4% 0% 8 27 20 15 12 8 5 4 2
Radford 4 5% 2% 2% 0% 5 21 21 16 13 11 7 4 2
Winthrop 4 3% 1% 2% 0% 3 23 20 17 14 9 7 4 3
Presbyterian 5 3% 1% 1% 0% 3 14 16 18 16 12 10 7 4
UNC Asheville 5 2% 1% 1% 0% 2 14 17 15 15 13 11 8 5
Charleston Southern 6 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 5 9 11 13 14 17 16 15
Gardner-Webb 7 0% 0% 0% 0 2 4 7 9 15 17 22 23
SC Upstate 7 0% 0% 0% 0 2 4 7 10 14 17 21 23

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
High Point 13 - 2 26 - 4 0 0 1 2 6 14 24 31 21
Longwood 9 - 7 15 - 14 0 0 1 2 5 8 12 15 16 15 12 8 3 1 0 0
Radford 8 - 8 11 - 18 0 0 0 1 4 6 11 15 16 15 14 9 6 2 1 0 0
Winthrop 8 - 7 11 - 17 0 0 1 3 6 10 15 16 17 14 10 5 2 1 0
Presbyterian 8 - 7 12 - 16 0 1 3 5 10 13 17 18 14 10 6 3 1 0 0
UNC Asheville 7 - 9 11 - 18 0 1 3 6 10 14 16 16 13 10 6 3 1 0 0
Charleston Southern 6 - 10 10 - 19 0 2 4 8 14 16 17 14 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
Gardner-Webb 5 - 11 7 - 21 1 3 6 13 18 18 17 11 7 3 1 1 0 0
SC Upstate 5 - 10 8 - 21 1 3 7 12 19 17 17 12 7 3 2 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
High Point 67% 66% 3% 13 Likely Out 1 3 15 32 12 2 33
Longwood 8% 8% 0% Negligible 1 3 4 92
Presbyterian 6% 6% 0% Negligible 0 2 3 94
Winthrop 6% 6% 0% Negligible 2 4 94
Radford 7% 7% 0% Negligible 2 4 93
UNC Asheville 4% 4% 0% Negligible 1 3 96
Charleston Southern 2% 2% 0% Negligible 2 98
SC Upstate 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99
Gardner-Webb 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 99 1
1st Round 86% 0.9 14 85 0
2nd Round 15% 0.2 85 15 0
Sweet Sixteen 4% 0.0 96 4
Elite Eight 1% 0.0 99 1
Final Four 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Game 0% 0.0 100 0
Champion 0% 0.0 100 0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
High Point 67% 1% 66% 15% 4% 1%
Longwood 8% 6% 5%
Presbyterian 6% 5% 4%
Winthrop 6% 6% 4%
Radford 7% 6% 4%
UNC Asheville 4% 4% 2%
Charleston Southern 2% 2% 1%
SC Upstate 1% 1%
Gardner-Webb 1% 1%