Northeast
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
LIU Brooklyn 30%   16   Negligible 0 - 5 0 - 0 -6.2 268 D -6 319 C -1 172 -10 306 0 1
Mercyhurst 0%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -8.6 305 D -5 314 D+ -3 283 -2 216 0 1
Central Connecticut St. 12%   Negligible 2 - 2 0 - 0 -9.4 317 D -5 311 D -4 311 0 188 0 1
Le Moyne 13%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -9.9 324 D -6 320 D -4 313 +3 149 0 1
Chicago St. 13%   Negligible 2 - 3 0 - 0 -10.1 328 D -5 317 D -5 323 -6 275 0 1
Fairleigh Dickinson 11%   Negligible 1 - 3 0 - 0 -10.5 331 D -5 313 D- -5 334 +1 179 0 1
Wagner 13%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -11.1 340 D- -8 350 D+ -3 275 +1 180 0 1
New Haven 0%   Negligible 1 - 2 0 - 0 -11.2 341 D- -8 351 D+ -3 278 -3 231 0 1
Stonehill 8%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -12.9 355 D- -8 352 D -5 326 -11 321 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Tue, Nov 10 343 Army 55 341 New Haven 63   
Wed, Nov 11 331 Fairleigh Dickinson 80 278 East Texas A&M 76   
319 California Baptist 62 328 Chicago St. 81   
Thu, Nov 12 305 Mercyhurst 57 101 Penn St. 72   
317 Central Connecticut St. 79 308 Sacred Heart 75   
Fri, Nov 13 331 Fairleigh Dickinson 58 73 Oklahoma 74   
118 Fordham 80 268 LIU Brooklyn 58   
328 Chicago St. 67 139 San Diego 87   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Sat, Nov 14 355 Stonehill 52 12 Texas Tech 86 100%   
324 Le Moyne 75 330 Manhattan 72 63%   
Sun, Nov 15 341 New Haven 59 101 Penn St. 78 95%   
133 James Madison 73 305 Mercyhurst 61 87%   
328 Chicago St. 66 173 Loyola Marymount 77 86%   
317 Central Connecticut St. 69 226 Quinnipiac 72 60%   
Mon, Nov 16 268 LIU Brooklyn 71 158 St. Thomas 74 60%   
Tue, Nov 17 125 Saint Joseph's 74 340 Wagner 58 93%   
280 Evansville 74 324 Le Moyne 68 72%   
Wed, Nov 18 268 LIU Brooklyn 67 104 UNC Wilmington 75 77%   
328 Chicago St. 61 112 Illinois-Chicago 78 93%   
311 New Hampshire 66 355 Stonehill 65 54%   
331 Fairleigh Dickinson 70 356 NJIT 64 70%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
LIU Brooklyn 3 38% 26% 9% 3% 38 20 13 9 7 5 4 2 1
Mercyhurst 4 18% 11% 5% 2% 18 16 14 12 11 9 8 7 5
Chicago St. 5 13% 7% 4% 2% 13 13 13 13 12 11 10 9 7
Le Moyne 5 12% 7% 4% 2% 12 13 13 12 11 11 10 10 8
Wagner 5 12% 6% 4% 2% 12 12 13 12 12 11 10 9 8
Central Connecticut St. 5 12% 6% 4% 2% 12 12 12 12 11 11 10 10 9
Fairleigh Dickinson 5 10% 6% 3% 2% 10 11 11 12 12 11 11 11 10
New Haven 5 8% 5% 3% 1% 8 10 11 11 12 12 12 12 12
Stonehill 6 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 8 10 10 11 12 13 14 14

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
LIU Brooklyn 10 - 6 12 - 19 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 16 16 13 9 5 2 0
Mercyhurst 9 - 7 11 - 17 0 0 0 1 3 6 10 13 15 16 13 10 7 3 2 0 0
Chicago St. 8 - 8 11 - 21 0 0 1 2 5 8 12 15 15 15 11 8 5 2 1 0 0
Le Moyne 8 - 8 12 - 17 0 0 1 3 5 8 12 15 15 14 11 8 4 2 1 0 0
Wagner 8 - 8 10 - 17 0 0 1 2 5 9 12 15 15 14 11 8 4 2 1 0 0
Central Connecticut St. 8 - 8 12 - 15 0 0 1 3 6 9 12 14 16 13 11 7 4 2 1 0 0
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 8 11 - 18 0 0 1 3 6 10 13 15 16 13 10 7 4 2 1 0 0
New Haven 7 - 9 11 - 17 0 0 2 4 7 11 14 15 15 13 9 6 3 1 0 0 0
Stonehill 7 - 9 9 - 19 0 1 2 4 9 12 15 16 14 11 7 5 2 1 0 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
LIU Brooklyn 30% 30% 0% 16 Negligible 2 28 70
Mercyhurst 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Central Connecticut St. 12% 12% 0% Negligible 12 88
Le Moyne 13% 13% 0% Negligible 13 87
Chicago St. 13% 13% 0% Negligible 13 87
Fairleigh Dickinson 11% 11% 0% Negligible 11 89
Wagner 13% 13% 0% Negligible 13 87
New Haven 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Stonehill 8% 8% 0% Negligible 8 92

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 49% 0.5 51 49
2nd Round 1% 0.0 99 1
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100
Final Four 0% 0.0 100
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
LIU Brooklyn 30% 30% 16%
Mercyhurst
Central Connecticut St. 12% 12% 6%
Le Moyne 13% 13% 6%
Chicago St. 13% 13% 6%
Fairleigh Dickinson 11% 11% 5%
Wagner 13% 13% 6%
New Haven
Stonehill 8% 8% 3%