Southwestern Athletic
2025-26 - 2026-27 - 2027-28
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Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed At-Large
Selection		 Record Predictive
Rating		 Offense Defense Results
Rating		 Conf Results Rating
Overall Conf
Bethune-Cookman 31%   16   Negligible 0 - 4 0 - 0 -2.7 199 C- -1 199 C- -1 215 -4 250 0 1
Jackson St. 13%   Negligible 1 - 3 0 - 0 -7.3 289 D+ -4 283 D+ -3 279 -1 214 0 1
Alabama St. 11%   Negligible 0 - 1 0 - 0 -7.8 294 D+ -4 290 D+ -3 286 +7 77 0 1
Southern 10%   Negligible 0 - 5 0 - 0 -8.8 306 D -6 329 D+ -3 260 -3 237 0 1
Prairie View 10%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -8.9 308 D -5 312 D+ -4 293 -12 332 0 1
Grambling St. 8%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -9.1 314 D -5 305 D -4 307 +8 54 0 1
Alabama A&M 0%   Negligible 1 - 1 0 - 0 -10.1 329 D -5 302 D- -5 333 -2 228 0 1
Texas Southern 7%   Negligible 0 - 2 0 - 0 -10.7 333 D- -8 347 D+ -3 273 +4 144 0 1
Alcorn St. 5%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -12.8 351 D -6 331 F+ -7 359 -12 329 0 1
Florida A&M 3%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -13.0 357 D- -7 345 D- -6 346 -14 337 0 1
Arkansas Pine Bluff 1%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -16.1 363 F+ -9 362 F+ -7 362 +5 99 0 1
Mississippi Valley St. 1%   Negligible 0 - 3 0 - 0 -19.7 365 F -12 365 F+ -8 364 -1 220 0 1


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Competitiveness
Mon, Nov 9 314 Grambling St. 62 10 Texas 93   
289 Jackson St. 57 58 Mississippi St. 98   
365 Mississippi Valley 64 83 Washington 77   
329 Alabama A&M 47 70 DePaul 84   
357 Florida A&M 64 138 UAB 92   
Tue, Nov 10 23 Iowa St. 84 306 Southern 47   
308 Prairie View 63 60 SMU 98   
351 Alcorn St. 57 77 Murray St. 94   
Wed, Nov 11 199 Bethune-Cookman 75 67 San Diego St. 88   
363 Arkansas Pine Bluff 37 13 UCLA 106   
365 Mississippi Valley 66 53 Oregon 100   
289 Jackson St. 80 246 Southern Miss 84   
357 Florida A&M 65 255 UMKC 87   
Thu, Nov 12 50 Minnesota 91 306 Southern 61   
329 Alabama A&M 85 354 West Florida 83   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Competitiveness
Fri, Nov 13 308 Prairie View 61 16 Vanderbilt 91 99%   
77 Murray St. 88 333 Texas Southern 67 97%   
365 Mississippi Valley 59 80 Oregon St. 89 99%   
351 Alcorn St. 68 193 Tarleton St. 82 89%   
363 Arkansas Pine Bluff 68 318 California Baptist 78 82%   
Sat, Nov 14 289 Jackson St. 79 254 Winthrop 84 69%   
Sun, Nov 15 363 Arkansas Pine Bluff 62 26 USC 96 100%   
294 Alabama St. 73 175 San Jose St. 82 81%   
357 Florida A&M 62 188 UTEP 76 90%   
329 Alabama A&M 75 319 Cleveland St. 73 59%   
Mon, Nov 16 314 Grambling St. 62 36 Kentucky 87 98%   
44 Ohio St. 87 308 Prairie View 63 98%   
351 Alcorn St. 60 54 Maryland 87 99%   
333 Texas Southern 61 105 UC San Diego 79 95%   
Tue, Nov 17 294 Alabama St. 71 206 UC Davis 78 77%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Team Avg
Finish		 Champ Co-Champions Finishing Place
0 1 2+ 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Bethune-Cookman 3 40% 26% 11% 4% 40 19 13 8 7 4 3 2 1 1 0 0
Prairie View 4 18% 11% 5% 2% 18 15 13 11 11 7 7 5 4 3 3 1
Southern 5 14% 8% 4% 2% 14 14 12 11 10 9 7 7 6 5 3 2
Jackson St. 5 12% 6% 4% 2% 12 13 12 12 11 9 8 7 6 5 3 2
Alabama St. 5 10% 4% 4% 2% 10 13 11 12 11 9 9 8 6 5 4 2
Alabama A&M 6 11% 7% 3% 2% 11 10 10 10 9 8 9 7 8 7 6 4
Grambling St. 6 10% 5% 3% 2% 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 6 5 5
Alcorn St. 6 7% 4% 2% 1% 7 9 9 9 9 10 10 8 9 7 7 5
Texas Southern 6 6% 3% 2% 1% 6 8 9 9 10 9 10 10 9 8 7 4
Mississippi Valley St. 8 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 3 4 5 6 7 9 10 12 13 15 15
Florida A&M 8 1% 0% 1% 0% 1 2 4 5 5 7 9 11 13 14 15 14
Arkansas Pine Bluff 9 1% 0% 0% 0% 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 10 11 13 17 20

Team Expected Record Projected Conference Record
Conf Overall 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Bethune-Cookman 11 - 5 14 - 17 0 0 0 1 3 5 10 13 18 17 16 11 5 1
Prairie View 10 - 7 11 - 17 0 0 0 2 3 6 8 11 14 16 14 11 8 4 2 1 0
Southern 9 - 8 10 - 19 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 12 15 15 13 10 5 3 1 0 0
Jackson St. 9 - 7 13 - 19 0 0 0 1 2 4 7 11 14 16 16 13 10 5 2 0 0
Alabama St. 9 - 7 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 8 11 14 16 15 12 9 4 2 0 0
Alabama A&M 9 - 9 11 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 10 11 13 14 14 10 7 5 2 1 0 0
Grambling St. 9 - 8 12 - 17 0 0 1 2 4 7 9 12 15 15 12 10 6 5 1 1 0 0
Alcorn St. 8 - 10 9 - 23 0 0 2 5 8 11 12 16 14 11 10 6 3 2 0 0
Texas Southern 8 - 8 11 - 19 0 0 0 3 5 7 11 15 16 14 12 8 5 3 1 0 0
Mississippi Valley St. 6 - 12 7 - 25 0 1 2 6 11 15 16 15 14 9 5 3 1 0 0 0 0
Florida A&M 6 - 10 8 - 22 0 1 3 7 10 14 17 16 13 9 6 3 1 0 0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 6 - 11 7 - 23 0 2 5 9 13 15 17 13 12 7 5 2 1 0 0


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
Team Tourney Bid Auto At-Large Exp Seed At-Large Chances 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid
Bethune-Cookman 31% 31% 0% 16 Negligible 2 11 18 69
Jackson St. 13% 13% 0% Negligible 1 12 87
Alabama St. 11% 11% 0% Negligible 1 10 89
Southern 10% 10% 0% Negligible 9 90
Prairie View 10% 10% 0% Negligible 10 90
Grambling St. 8% 8% 0% Negligible 8 92
Alabama A&M 0% 0% 0% Negligible 100
Texas Southern 7% 7% 0% Negligible 7 93
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 0% Negligible 5 95
Florida A&M 3% 3% 0% Negligible 3 97
Arkansas Pine Bluff 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99
Mississippi Valley St. 1% 1% 0% Negligible 1 99

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100% 1.0 100
1st Round 51% 0.5 49 51
2nd Round 2% 0.0 98 2
Sweet Sixteen 0% 0.0 100 0
Elite Eight 0% 0.0 100 0
Final Four 0% 0.0 100
Final Game 0% 0.0 100
Champion 0% 0.0 100

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bethune-Cookman 31% 28% 18% 1%
Jackson St. 13% 13% 7%
Alabama St. 11% 10% 5%
Southern 10% 10% 4%
Prairie View 10% 10% 5%
Grambling St. 8% 8% 4%
Alabama A&M
Texas Southern 7% 7% 3%
Alcorn St. 5% 5% 2%
Florida A&M 3% 3% 1%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 1% 1%
Mississippi Valley St. 1% 1% 1%