Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
111 Kent St. 0.0%   22 - 11 12 - 4 22 - 11 12 - 4 +3.4      +1.7 111 +1.8 109 70.9 99 +4.7 98 +5.4 1
116 Buffalo 0.0%   17 - 13 8 - 8 17 - 13 8 - 8 +3.1      +1.5 115 +1.5 117 68.1 168 +0.3 161 -1.5 8
120 Akron 100.0%   15   22 - 12 9 - 7 22 - 12 9 - 7 +2.8      +1.4 125 +1.5 119 68.9 149 +3.2 121 -0.3 5
155 Ohio 0.0%   18 - 15 9 - 7 18 - 15 9 - 7 +0.9      +0.5 152 +0.4 157 72.1 71 +0.2 165 +0.5 4
167 Ball St. 0.0%   18 - 12 10 - 6 18 - 12 10 - 6 -0.1      -0.1 168 -0.1 166 63.6 275 +0.8 152 -0.5 6
168 Western Michigan 0.0%   19 - 12 11 - 5 19 - 12 11 - 5 -0.2      0.0 165 -0.1 169 71.0 93 +0.8 151 +1.3 3
176 Miami (OH) 0.0%   15 - 16 11 - 5 15 - 16 11 - 5 -0.7      -0.2 175 -0.4 176 62.8 293 +1.8 142 +3.5 2
237 Bowling Green 0.0%   13 - 19 8 - 8 13 - 19 8 - 8 -4.3      -2.2 238 -2.1 237 65.6 238 -4.1 228 -0.9 7
268 Central Michigan 0.0%   9 - 21 7 - 9 9 - 21 7 - 9 -6.6      -3.5 273 -3.1 265 63.3 281 -7.0 269 -4.9 9
270 Northern Illinois 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 11 8 - 21 5 - 11 -6.7      -3.3 269 -3.4 273 73.1 63 -8.5 295 -8.3 11
281 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   6 - 22 5 - 11 6 - 22 5 - 11 -7.5      -4.0 289 -3.5 275 69.6 132 -10.7 316 -8.0 10
328 Toledo 0.0%   3 - 28 1 - 15 3 - 28 1 - 15 -13.5      -6.8 328 -6.7 329 63.0 289 -15.1 331 -18.4 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Kent St. 1.0 100.0
Buffalo 7.0 100.0
Akron 5.0 100.0
Ohio 5.0 100.0
Ball St. 4.0 100.0
Western Michigan 2.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 2.0 100.0
Bowling Green 7.0 100.0
Central Michigan 9.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 10.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 10.0 100.0
Toledo 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Kent St. 12 - 4 100.0
Buffalo 8 - 8 100.0
Akron 9 - 7 100.0
Ohio 9 - 7 100.0
Ball St. 10 - 6 100.0
Western Michigan 11 - 5 100.0
Miami (OH) 11 - 5 100.0
Bowling Green 8 - 8 100.0
Central Michigan 7 - 9 100.0
Northern Illinois 5 - 11 100.0
Eastern Michigan 5 - 11 100.0
Toledo 1 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kent St. 100.0% 100.0
Buffalo
Akron
Ohio
Ball St.
Western Michigan
Miami (OH)
Bowling Green
Central Michigan
Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan
Toledo


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Akron 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   1.8 26.5 71.5 0.2
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 8.2% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 8.2% 0.1 91.8 8.2
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0