Pre-tourney Rankings
Buffalo
Mid-American
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#116
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#161
Pace68.1#168
Improvement-2.8#280

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#115
Improvement+0.7#140

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#117
Improvement-3.5#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 275   Navy W 88-46 89%     1 - 0 +31.9 -4.8 -3.7
  Nov 16, 2010 251   @ Youngstown St. L 53-64 70%     1 - 1 -13.3 -2.3 -0.5
  Nov 20, 2010 272   Towson W 87-76 88%     2 - 1 +1.0 -4.8 -4.7
  Nov 23, 2010 187   @ Canisius W 81-64 54%     3 - 1 +19.0 +1.3 +1.4
  Nov 27, 2010 118   @ Indiana St. L 54-58 38%     3 - 2 +2.2 +2.4 +3.5
  Dec 01, 2010 280   @ Army W 56-54 76%     4 - 2 -2.3 -2.8 -1.4
  Dec 04, 2010 138   @ St. Bonaventure L 74-76 42%     4 - 3 +3.1 +2.7 +2.3
  Dec 08, 2010 295   Niagara W 82-64 91%     5 - 3 +6.2 -5.5 -5.5
  Dec 11, 2010 159   Green Bay W 78-64 71%     6 - 3 +11.3 -1.1 -1.0
  Dec 30, 2010 12   BYU L 82-90 18%     6 - 4 +4.9 +6.4 +6.2
  Jan 03, 2011 189   @ Cornell W 78-66 55%     7 - 4 +13.8 +1.0 +1.3
  Jan 08, 2011 237   Bowling Green L 71-74 2OT 84%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -10.5 -4.1 -3.5
  Jan 13, 2011 176   @ Miami (OH) L 67-70 52%     7 - 6 0 - 2 -0.5 +0.9 +1.4
  Jan 16, 2011 120   Akron W 73-70 63%     8 - 6 1 - 2 +2.6 -0.3 +0.0
  Jan 19, 2011 111   Kent St. W 79-54 61%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +25.3 +0.4 +1.0
  Jan 22, 2011 155   @ Ohio W 73-68 46%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +9.1 +2.2 +2.1
  Jan 25, 2011 168   @ Western Michigan W 79-68 50%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +14.0 +1.7 +1.8
  Jan 29, 2011 270   Northern Illinois W 63-52 88%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +1.1 -5.1 -4.2
  Feb 03, 2011 328   Toledo W 81-58 96%     13 - 6 6 - 2 +6.3 -7.7 -7.9
  Feb 05, 2011 167   @ Ball St. L 71-72 50%     13 - 7 6 - 3 +2.0 +1.9 +1.1
  Feb 08, 2011 268   Central Michigan W 72-43 88%     14 - 7 7 - 3 +19.2 -4.3 -4.0
  Feb 12, 2011 281   @ Eastern Michigan L 65-78 76%     14 - 8 7 - 4 -17.3 -2.3 -2.6
  Feb 15, 2011 155   Ohio L 69-76 70%     14 - 9 7 - 5 -9.3 -1.2 -1.4
  Feb 19, 2011 131   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-65 65%     15 - 9 +14.1 +0.1 -0.2
  Feb 24, 2011 111   @ Kent St. L 69-72 36%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +3.6 +3.3 +3.2
  Feb 26, 2011 120   @ Akron L 60-69 39%     15 - 11 7 - 7 -3.0 +2.7 +2.8
  Mar 02, 2011 176   Miami (OH) W 59-49 75%     16 - 11 8 - 7 +6.2 -2.3 -1.0
  Mar 05, 2011 237   @ Bowling Green L 63-73 66%     16 - 12 8 - 8 -11.1 -0.7 -0.9
  Mar 08, 2011 268   Central Michigan W 64-50 88%     17 - 12 +4.2 -4.7 -4.4
  Mar 10, 2011 111   Kent St. L 62-73 49%     17 - 13 -7.6 +1.2 +1.7
Projected Record 17.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%