Pre-tourney Rankings
Patriot League
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
93 Bucknell 100.0%   13   25 - 8 13 - 1 25 - 8 13 - 1 +4.7      +2.3 94 +2.4 94 66.6 215 +6.0 85 +10.0 1
174 American 0.0%   22 - 9 11 - 3 22 - 9 11 - 3 -0.6      -0.2 174 -0.3 174 58.1 333 +3.1 123 +4.1 2
190 Lehigh 0.0%   16 - 15 6 - 8 16 - 15 6 - 8 -1.4      -0.7 191 -0.7 191 79.7 15 -2.7 207 -5.8 6
226 Lafayette 0.0%   12 - 19 6 - 8 12 - 19 6 - 8 -3.3      -1.6 223 -1.8 230 66.1 226 -4.9 244 -5.5 5
229 Holy Cross 0.0%   8 - 21 7 - 7 8 - 21 7 - 7 -3.4      -1.7 224 -1.7 229 66.6 214 -8.2 292 -3.7 3
275 Navy 0.0%   10 - 20 6 - 8 10 - 20 6 - 8 -6.9      -3.6 278 -3.3 270 78.7 22 -7.6 282 -4.9 4
280 Army 0.0%   10 - 19 3 - 11 10 - 19 3 - 11 -7.5      -3.7 280 -3.8 281 71.4 85 -7.4 277 -11.1 8
313 Colgate 0.0%   7 - 23 4 - 10 7 - 23 4 - 10 -10.2      -5.1 312 -5.2 314 70.1 120 -11.1 317 -8.3 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
Bucknell 1.0 100.0
American 2.0 100.0
Lehigh 4.0 100.0
Lafayette 4.0 100.0
Holy Cross 3.0 100.0
Navy 4.0 100.0
Army 8.0 100.0
Colgate 7.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0
Bucknell 13 - 1 100.0
American 11 - 3 100.0
Lehigh 6 - 8 100.0
Lafayette 6 - 8 100.0
Holy Cross 7 - 7 100.0
Navy 6 - 8 100.0
Army 3 - 11 100.0
Colgate 4 - 10 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0
American
Lehigh
Lafayette
Holy Cross
Navy
Army
Colgate


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Bucknell 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   0.0 37.1 58.0 4.9
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Bucknell 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 13.3% 3.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
American 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lehigh 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lafayette 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Holy Cross 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Navy 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Army 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colgate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 13.3% 0.1 86.7 13.3
Sweet Sixteen 3.3% 0.0 96.7 3.3
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0