Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2010-11


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
80 College of Charleston 0.0%   24 - 10 14 - 4 24 - 10 14 - 4 +6.0      +3.2 77 +2.9 81 70.0 122 +5.5 91 +4.5 1
90 Wofford 100.0%   14   21 - 12 14 - 4 21 - 12 14 - 4 +4.9      +2.6 86 +2.3 97 63.7 269 +3.5 117 +4.1 2
151 Furman 0.0%   20 - 10 12 - 6 20 - 10 12 - 6 +1.1      +0.6 151 +0.5 151 62.2 303 +2.7 129 +0.9 4
165 Davidson 0.0%   16 - 14 10 - 8 16 - 14 10 - 8 +0.1      0.0 163 0.0 164 70.5 111 -0.6 173 -2.1 6
193 Western Carolina 0.0%   17 - 15 12 - 6 17 - 15 12 - 6 -1.6      -0.9 196 -0.7 189 73.5 52 -1.1 182 +0.2 5
219 Appalachian St. 0.0%   14 - 15 10 - 8 14 - 15 10 - 8 -3.1      -1.4 211 -1.7 225 69.5 134 -2.1 196 -2.5 7
245 Elon 0.0%   11 - 17 7 - 11 11 - 17 7 - 11 -4.8      -2.2 241 -2.5 248 71.5 83 -5.5 255 -7.3 9
271 Chattanooga 0.0%   14 - 16 12 - 6 14 - 16 12 - 6 -6.8      -3.4 272 -3.4 274 75.5 37 -2.6 205 +1.6 3
282 The Citadel 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 12 8 - 22 6 - 12 -7.5      -3.7 279 -3.9 285 61.7 309 -9.3 302 -6.9 8
286 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   7 - 24 6 - 12 7 - 24 6 - 12 -7.8      -3.8 283 -4.0 289 76.6 30 -9.5 303 -8.9 10
306 Samford 0.0%   10 - 19 4 - 14 10 - 19 4 - 14 -9.7      -4.8 306 -4.9 307 58.3 331 -6.8 268 -10.9 11
326 Georgia Southern 0.0%   2 - 27 1 - 17 2 - 27 1 - 17 -12.9      -6.6 326 -6.4 326 69.3 144 -20.0 340 -19.5 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
College of Charleston 1.0 100.0
Wofford 1.0 100.0
Furman 3.0 100.0
Davidson 6.0 100.0
Western Carolina 3.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 6.0 100.0
Elon 8.0 100.0
Chattanooga 3.0 100.0
The Citadel 9.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 9.0 100.0
Samford 11.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
College of Charleston 14 - 4 100.0
Wofford 14 - 4 100.0
Furman 12 - 6 100.0
Davidson 10 - 8 100.0
Western Carolina 12 - 6 100.0
Appalachian St. 10 - 8 100.0
Elon 7 - 11 100.0
Chattanooga 12 - 6 100.0
The Citadel 6 - 12 100.0
UNC Greensboro 6 - 12 100.0
Samford 4 - 14 100.0
Georgia Southern 1 - 17 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
College of Charleston 100.0% 100.0
Wofford 100.0% 100.0
Furman
Davidson
Western Carolina
Appalachian St.
Elon
Chattanooga
The Citadel
UNC Greensboro
Samford
Georgia Southern


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Wofford 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   7.9 56.6 35.4 0.0
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 12.8% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Davidson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 12.8% 0.1 87.2 12.8
Sweet Sixteen 3.1% 0.0 97.0 3.1
Elite Eight 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0