Pre-tourney Rankings
Davidson
Southern
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.1#165
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#173
Pace70.5#111
Improvement-2.8#282

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#163
Improvement+0.1#174

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#164
Improvement-2.9#303
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 177   @ Penn L 64-69 41%     0 - 1 -2.7 +0.8 +1.3
  Nov 18, 2010 17   West Virginia L 70-84 10%     0 - 2 +0.0 +6.5 +6.9
  Nov 19, 2010 54   Nebraska W 70-67 19%     1 - 2 +12.1 +4.5 +4.7
  Nov 21, 2010 221   Western Kentucky W 64-51 62%     2 - 2 +9.8 -1.7 -0.8
  Nov 27, 2010 124   @ Rhode Island L 58-71 29%     2 - 3 -7.1 +2.5 +2.7
  Nov 29, 2010 273   Monmouth W 69-53 83%     3 - 3 +6.0 -4.8 -4.5
  Dec 02, 2010 80   @ College of Charleston L 73-82 19%     3 - 4 0 - 1 +0.2 +4.5 +4.3
  Dec 04, 2010 282   @ The Citadel W 68-53 66%     4 - 4 1 - 1 +10.7 -2.4 -1.2
  Dec 11, 2010 199   Charlotte W 82-68 70%     5 - 4 +8.5 -2.3 -2.6
  Dec 20, 2010 32   @ St. John's L 57-62 9%     5 - 5 +10.2 +7.0 +8.0
  Dec 21, 2010 204   St. Francis Brooklyn W 76-69 60%     6 - 5 +4.4 -1.3 -1.1
  Jan 02, 2011 31   @ Vanderbilt L 52-80 9%     6 - 6 -12.8 +6.5 +7.5
  Jan 05, 2011 219   Appalachian St. L 66-74 73%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -14.3 -3.5 -3.1
  Jan 08, 2011 193   @ Western Carolina L 73-81 44%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -6.4 +0.9 +0.3
  Jan 12, 2011 151   Furman W 79-70 58%     7 - 8 2 - 3 +6.9 -0.8 -0.9
  Jan 15, 2011 90   Wofford L 64-69 44%     7 - 9 2 - 4 -3.3 +0.4 +1.1
  Jan 17, 2011 286   @ UNC Greensboro L 69-77 68%     7 - 10 2 - 5 -12.6 -2.8 -2.2
  Jan 20, 2011 245   @ Elon L 70-77 56%     7 - 11 2 - 6 -8.6 -1.2 -0.7
  Jan 26, 2011 282   The Citadel L 75-85 84%     7 - 12 2 - 7 -20.7 -5.1 -6.0
  Jan 29, 2011 80   College of Charleston W 75-64 39%     8 - 12 3 - 7 +13.9 +1.4 +2.0
  Jan 31, 2011 326   @ Georgia Southern W 73-66 82%     9 - 12 4 - 7 -2.8 -4.8 -4.6
  Feb 03, 2011 306   @ Samford W 62-49 74%     10 - 12 5 - 7 +6.5 -3.2 -2.6
  Feb 05, 2011 271   Chattanooga W 73-59 83%     11 - 12 6 - 7 +4.1 -5.1 -4.3
  Feb 09, 2011 90   @ Wofford W 67-58 22%     12 - 12 7 - 7 +17.1 +3.9 +4.7
  Feb 12, 2011 151   @ Furman L 79-88 34%     12 - 13 7 - 8 -4.8 +2.2 +1.7
  Feb 16, 2011 326   Georgia Southern W 83-56 93%     13 - 13 8 - 8 +10.9 -7.4 -7.5
  Feb 19, 2011 250   @ Presbyterian W 71-65 58%     14 - 13 +3.9 -0.6 -1.1
  Feb 24, 2011 245   Elon W 83-75 78%     15 - 13 9 - 8 +0.1 -3.5 -4.1
  Feb 26, 2011 286   UNC Greensboro W 78-67 85%     16 - 13 10 - 8 +0.0 -5.4 -5.1
  Mar 04, 2011 286   UNC Greensboro L 64-71 77%     16 - 14 -14.8 -4.3 -3.8
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%