Pre-tourney Rankings
Connecticut
Big East
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.1#16
Expected Predictive Rating+17.5#8
Pace67.6#181
Improvement+0.7#144

Offense
Total Offense+7.6#16
Improvement-0.4#190

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#16
Improvement+1.1#111
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 8.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 97.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round82.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen52.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight24.0% n/a n/a
Final Four10.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.2% n/a n/a
National Champion1.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 235   Stony Brook W 79-52 97%     1 - 0 +19.9 -3.1 -2.8
  Nov 17, 2010 146   Vermont W 89-73 93%     2 - 0 +14.2 -0.5 -0.7
  Nov 22, 2010 63   Wichita St. W 83-79 74%     3 - 0 +12.3 +4.3 +4.2
  Nov 23, 2010 42   Michigan St. W 70-67 67%     4 - 0 +13.7 +5.4 +5.4
  Nov 24, 2010 7   Kentucky W 84-67 44%     5 - 0 +33.8 +9.0 +8.6
  Nov 30, 2010 283   New Hampshire W 62-55 98%     6 - 0 -3.7 -5.4 -5.0
  Dec 03, 2010 333   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 94-61 99%     7 - 0 +14.8 -8.3 -8.4
  Dec 08, 2010 320   Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-54 99%     8 - 0 +9.6 -6.8 -6.5
  Dec 20, 2010 269   Coppin St. W 76-64 98%     9 - 0 +2.1 -4.8 -4.6
  Dec 22, 2010 75   Harvard W 81-52 86%     10 - 0 +32.4 +2.0 +2.8
  Dec 27, 2010 4   @ Pittsburgh L 63-78 26%     10 - 1 0 - 1 +6.7 +10.4 +10.7
  Dec 31, 2010 112   South Florida W 66-61 OT 91%     11 - 1 1 - 1 +5.2 +0.0 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2011 8   @ Notre Dame L 70-73 32%     11 - 2 1 - 2 +16.9 +9.7 +10.1
  Jan 08, 2011 5   @ Texas W 82-81 OT 27%     12 - 2 +22.6 +10.8 +10.8
  Jan 11, 2011 70   Rutgers W 67-53 84%     13 - 2 2 - 2 +18.3 +2.1 +2.8
  Jan 15, 2011 194   @ DePaul W 82-62 89%     14 - 2 3 - 2 +21.5 +1.1 +1.3
  Jan 17, 2011 28   Villanova W 61-59 71%     15 - 2 4 - 2 +11.4 +4.3 +5.2
  Jan 22, 2011 56   Tennessee W 72-61 81%     16 - 2 +16.8 +3.3 +3.0
  Jan 25, 2011 23   @ Marquette W 76-68 46%     17 - 2 5 - 2 +24.1 +8.0 +8.5
  Jan 29, 2011 11   Louisville L 78-79 2OT 58%     17 - 3 5 - 3 +11.9 +6.2 +6.6
  Feb 02, 2011 15   Syracuse L 58-66 60%     17 - 4 5 - 4 +4.5 +5.6 +6.5
  Feb 05, 2011 52   @ Seton Hall W 61-59 59%     18 - 4 6 - 4 +14.7 +6.1 +6.7
  Feb 10, 2011 32   @ St. John's L 72-89 50%     18 - 5 6 - 5 -1.8 +7.5 +6.9
  Feb 13, 2011 86   Providence W 75-57 89%     19 - 5 7 - 5 +20.0 +1.1 +1.8
  Feb 16, 2011 22   Georgetown W 78-70 69%     20 - 5 8 - 5 +17.8 +5.3 +5.0
  Feb 18, 2011 11   @ Louisville L 58-71 34%     20 - 6 8 - 6 +6.3 +9.2 +9.4
  Feb 24, 2011 23   Marquette L 67-74 OT 70%     20 - 7 8 - 7 +2.8 +4.3 +5.2
  Feb 27, 2011 19   @ Cincinnati W 67-59 44%     21 - 7 9 - 7 +24.6 +8.4 +8.6
  Mar 02, 2011 17   @ West Virginia L 56-65 42%     21 - 8 9 - 8 +8.2 +8.2 +8.5
  Mar 05, 2011 8   Notre Dame L 67-70 56%     21 - 9 9 - 9 +10.6 +6.9 +6.5
  Mar 08, 2011 194   DePaul W 97-71 93%     22 - 9 +24.3 -0.4 -0.2
  Mar 09, 2011 22   Georgetown W 79-62 58%     23 - 9 +30.0 +6.8 +7.0
  Mar 10, 2011 4   Pittsburgh W 76-74 37%     24 - 9 +20.6 +9.9 +8.8
  Mar 11, 2011 15   Syracuse W 76-71 OT 48%     25 - 9 +20.7 +7.7 +8.2
  Mar 12, 2011 11   Louisville W 69-66 46%     26 - 9 +19.1 +8.1 +8.1
Projected Record 26.0 - 9.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.3 0.5 7.8 51.3 38.4 2.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.3 0.5 7.8 51.3 38.4 2.1