Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.6#28
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#29
Pace69.5#137
Improvement-5.3#336

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#26
Improvement-1.1#235

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#29
Improvement-4.2#323
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 32.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.6% n/a n/a
Second Round57.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen20.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.4% n/a n/a
Final Four2.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 93   Bucknell W 68-52 85%     1 - 0 +17.5 +0.8 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2010 317   Marist W 84-47 98%     2 - 0 +23.4 -6.4 -5.6
  Nov 17, 2010 178   Boston University W 82-66 93%     3 - 0 +11.9 -1.5 -1.8
  Nov 20, 2010 226   Lafayette W 86-41 95%     4 - 0 +38.5 -2.8 -1.7
  Nov 24, 2010 50   UCLA W 82-70 61%     5 - 0 +21.7 +5.1 +5.1
  Nov 26, 2010 56   Tennessee L 68-78 64%     5 - 1 -1.1 +4.1 +4.4
  Dec 03, 2010 183   Saint Joseph's W 71-60 93%     6 - 1 +6.7 -2.1 -1.6
  Dec 08, 2010 177   @ Penn W 65-53 83%     7 - 1 +14.3 +1.1 +1.8
  Dec 12, 2010 169   @ La Salle W 84-81 82%     8 - 1 +5.9 +1.3 +1.7
  Dec 18, 2010 200   Delaware W 78-59 94%     9 - 1 +13.5 -2.8 -2.0
  Dec 22, 2010 273   @ Monmouth W 76-36 93%     10 - 1 +36.3 -1.5 -0.3
  Dec 30, 2010 37   Temple W 78-74 68%     11 - 1 +11.9 +4.2 +3.9
  Jan 02, 2011 70   Rutgers W 81-65 79%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +20.3 +2.6 +2.4
  Jan 06, 2011 112   @ South Florida W 83-71 72%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +18.6 +4.1 +3.1
  Jan 09, 2011 19   Cincinnati W 72-61 59%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +21.2 +5.1 +5.7
  Jan 12, 2011 11   Louisville W 88-74 49%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +26.9 +6.9 +6.6
  Jan 15, 2011 38   Maryland W 74-66 68%     16 - 1 +15.9 +4.0 +4.2
  Jan 17, 2011 16   @ Connecticut L 59-61 29%     16 - 2 4 - 1 +16.3 +8.7 +9.5
  Jan 22, 2011 15   @ Syracuse W 83-72 27%     17 - 2 5 - 1 +29.8 +10.1 +9.3
  Jan 26, 2011 86   @ Providence L 68-83 66%     17 - 3 5 - 2 -6.6 +3.6 +4.1
  Jan 29, 2011 22   Georgetown L 66-69 60%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +6.8 +4.7 +5.0
  Feb 02, 2011 23   Marquette W 75-70 61%     18 - 4 6 - 3 +14.8 +4.9 +5.1
  Feb 05, 2011 17   West Virginia W 66-50 57%     19 - 4 7 - 3 +26.8 +5.9 +5.8
  Feb 09, 2011 70   @ Rutgers L 76-77 58%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +9.6 +6.0 +4.6
  Feb 12, 2011 4   Pittsburgh L 54-57 39%     19 - 6 7 - 5 +12.4 +7.1 +8.1
  Feb 15, 2011 52   @ Seton Hall W 60-57 50%     20 - 6 8 - 5 +15.7 +6.2 +6.7
  Feb 19, 2011 194   @ DePaul W 77-75 OT 85%     21 - 6 9 - 5 +3.5 +0.6 +1.0
  Feb 21, 2011 15   Syracuse L 64-69 50%     21 - 7 9 - 6 +7.5 +5.7 +6.6
  Feb 26, 2011 32   St. John's L 68-81 64%     21 - 8 9 - 7 -4.1 +4.2 +4.0
  Feb 28, 2011 8   @ Notre Dame L 72-93 24%     21 - 9 9 - 8 -1.1 +9.9 +9.1
  Mar 05, 2011 4   @ Pittsburgh L 50-60 19%     21 - 10 9 - 9 +11.7 +10.3 +10.8
  Mar 08, 2011 112   South Florida L 69-70 81%     21 - 11 +2.4 +2.1 +1.2
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 99.6% 99.6% 6.9 0.0 4.3 28.3 43.6 20.0 3.4 0.1 0.4 99.6%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 6.9 0.0 4.3 28.3 43.6 20.0 3.4 0.1 0.4 99.6%