Pre-tourney Rankings
Dayton
Atlantic 10
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#100
Expected Predictive Rating+6.6#74
Pace66.8#208
Improvement+0.0#185

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#100
Improvement-2.8#294

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#98
Improvement+2.8#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2010 252   Mount St. Mary's W 67-52 89%     1 - 0 +6.2 -4.4 -3.6
  Nov 16, 2010 120   Akron W 76-68 68%     2 - 0 +7.6 +0.3 -0.3
  Nov 20, 2010 76   @ Mississippi W 78-71 OT 30%     3 - 0 +16.7 +4.6 +5.3
  Nov 22, 2010 265   Savannah St. W 61-59 90%     4 - 0 -7.4 -4.5 -4.7
  Nov 24, 2010 327   Florida A&M W 80-60 96%     5 - 0 +3.7 -7.7 -7.7
  Nov 27, 2010 19   Cincinnati L 34-68 20%     5 - 1 -20.6 +5.1 +6.8
  Dec 01, 2010 121   East Tennessee St. L 68-73 68%     5 - 2 -5.4 -0.4 -0.2
  Dec 04, 2010 176   Miami (OH) W 70-58 78%     6 - 2 +8.2 -2.1 -1.2
  Dec 07, 2010 163   Central Connecticut St. W 63-61 76%     7 - 2 -1.1 -1.7 -1.3
  Dec 11, 2010 61   @ Old Dominion L 71-74 24%     7 - 3 +8.8 +5.8 +5.9
  Dec 18, 2010 193   Western Carolina W 71-60 81%     8 - 3 +6.2 -2.3 -2.0
  Dec 20, 2010 227   Winthrop W 73-58 85%     9 - 3 +8.5 -2.8 -3.0
  Dec 22, 2010 52   @ Seton Hall W 69-65 22%     10 - 3 +16.7 +6.3 +6.6
  Dec 29, 2010 34   George Mason W 73-67 35%     11 - 3 +14.3 +4.2 +4.3
  Jan 01, 2011 46   New Mexico W 76-73 2OT 40%     12 - 3 +10.0 +3.2 +3.9
  Jan 05, 2011 133   @ Saint Louis W 60-50 46%     13 - 3 1 - 0 +15.4 +2.6 +3.3
  Jan 09, 2011 181   @ Massachusetts L 50-55 59%     13 - 4 1 - 1 -2.9 +0.5 +1.4
  Jan 12, 2011 183   Saint Joseph's W 65-59 79%     14 - 4 2 - 1 +1.7 -2.1 -1.8
  Jan 15, 2011 41   @ Xavier L 76-81 18%     14 - 5 2 - 2 +9.1 +7.5 +6.3
  Jan 22, 2011 290   Fordham W 91-57 92%     15 - 5 3 - 2 +22.8 -4.8 -4.9
  Jan 25, 2011 47   Richmond L 61-70 40%     15 - 6 3 - 3 -2.0 +3.1 +3.5
  Jan 30, 2011 53   Duquesne L 64-82 32%     15 - 7 3 - 4 -8.7 +4.1 +4.4
  Feb 02, 2011 138   St. Bonaventure W 63-61 71%     16 - 7 4 - 4 +0.8 -0.9 -0.2
  Feb 05, 2011 169   @ La Salle W 85-81 56%     17 - 7 5 - 4 +6.9 +1.4 +1.7
  Feb 09, 2011 124   @ Rhode Island L 53-67 44%     17 - 8 5 - 5 -8.1 +2.2 +3.0
  Feb 12, 2011 37   Temple L 63-75 37%     17 - 9 5 - 6 -4.1 +3.5 +3.9
  Feb 16, 2011 199   @ Charlotte W 69-51 63%     18 - 9 6 - 6 +18.9 +0.4 +1.3
  Feb 19, 2011 53   Duquesne W 64-63 43%     19 - 9 7 - 6 +7.1 +2.9 +3.3
  Feb 27, 2011 41   Xavier L 62-66 37%     19 - 10 7 - 7 +3.7 +3.4 +4.1
  Mar 02, 2011 133   Saint Louis L 51-69 70%     19 - 11 7 - 8 -19.0 -1.3 -0.5
  Mar 05, 2011 158   @ George Washington L 58-60 53%     19 - 12 7 - 9 +1.7 +1.5 +2.1
  Mar 08, 2011 181   @ Massachusetts W 78-50 59%     20 - 12 +30.1 +1.3 +2.0
  Mar 11, 2011 41   Xavier W 68-67 27%     21 - 12 +11.9 +5.5 +5.4
  Mar 12, 2011 183   Saint Joseph's W 64-61 70%     22 - 12 +1.9 -0.7 -0.2
  Mar 13, 2011 47   Richmond L 54-67 29%     22 - 13 -2.8 +4.5 +5.0
Projected Record 22.0 - 13.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 1.0% 1.0% 12.2 0.7 0.2 99.0 1.0%
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.0% 0.0% 1.0% 12.2 0.7 0.2 99.0 1.0%