Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Atlantic 10
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#41
Expected Predictive Rating+11.7#32
Pace65.7#235
Improvement+4.8#17

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#37
Improvement+4.0#20

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#42
Improvement+0.8#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 27.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round96.3% n/a n/a
Second Round49.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen14.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.2% n/a n/a
Final Four1.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 168   Western Michigan W 68-65 90%     1 - 0 -0.3 -1.7 -1.5
  Nov 16, 2010 186   Purdue Fort Wayne W 76-66 OT 91%     2 - 0 +5.7 -2.4 -1.5
  Nov 19, 2010 85   Iowa W 86-73 71%     3 - 0 +18.2 +3.2 +2.6
  Nov 21, 2010 52   Seton Hall W 57-52 55%     4 - 0 +14.5 +4.4 +5.3
  Nov 22, 2010 61   Old Dominion L 58-67 59%     4 - 1 -0.4 +3.8 +4.5
  Nov 27, 2010 90   Wofford W 94-90 3OT 81%     5 - 1 +5.7 +1.0 +0.9
  Dec 01, 2010 176   @ Miami (OH) L 64-75 79%     5 - 2 -8.5 +1.0 +1.0
  Dec 09, 2010 51   Butler W 51-49 67%     6 - 2 +8.5 +2.4 +4.1
  Dec 18, 2010 261   Wake Forest W 83-75 96%     7 - 2 -1.2 -4.5 -4.3
  Dec 22, 2010 35   @ Gonzaga L 54-64 36%     7 - 3 +4.5 +6.3 +7.7
  Dec 28, 2010 241   Albany W 88-64 95%     8 - 3 +16.3 -2.8 -3.7
  Dec 31, 2010 18   Florida L 67-71 52%     8 - 4 +6.5 +5.1 +5.2
  Jan 06, 2011 19   @ Cincinnati L 46-66 29%     8 - 5 -3.4 +7.6 +7.9
  Jan 09, 2011 124   @ Rhode Island W 72-45 69%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +32.9 +3.3 +3.9
  Jan 12, 2011 181   Massachusetts W 79-50 91%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +24.8 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 15, 2011 100   Dayton W 81-76 82%     11 - 5 3 - 0 +6.2 +1.5 +0.0
  Jan 19, 2011 138   @ St. Bonaventure W 79-65 71%     12 - 5 4 - 0 +19.1 +2.9 +2.9
  Jan 22, 2011 37   Temple W 88-77 61%     13 - 5 5 - 0 +18.9 +4.6 +3.8
  Jan 26, 2011 158   George Washington W 81-74 89%     14 - 5 6 - 0 +4.3 -0.4 -1.8
  Jan 29, 2011 47   @ Richmond W 85-62 41%     15 - 5 7 - 0 +36.3 +7.5 +7.0
  Feb 02, 2011 199   @ Charlotte L 62-66 83%     15 - 6 7 - 1 -3.1 +0.0 +0.7
  Feb 05, 2011 133   Saint Louis W 76-68 86%     16 - 6 8 - 1 +7.0 +0.1 -0.7
  Feb 08, 2011 64   @ Georgia W 65-57 48%     17 - 6 +19.4 +5.6 +6.2
  Feb 13, 2011 53   Duquesne W 71-63 56%     18 - 6 9 - 1 +17.3 +4.6 +5.0
  Feb 16, 2011 183   @ Saint Joseph's W 74-54 80%     19 - 6 10 - 1 +22.1 +1.0 +2.0
  Feb 19, 2011 290   Fordham W 79-72 97%     20 - 6 11 - 1 -4.2 -5.1 -5.7
  Feb 22, 2011 169   La Salle W 100-62 90%     21 - 6 12 - 1 +34.6 -0.8 -1.0
  Feb 27, 2011 100   @ Dayton W 66-62 63%     22 - 6 13 - 1 +11.6 +3.7 +4.1
  Mar 02, 2011 199   Charlotte W 68-48 93%     23 - 6 14 - 1 +14.5 -2.5 -1.9
  Mar 05, 2011 133   @ Saint Louis W 66-55 70%     24 - 6 15 - 1 +16.4 +2.6 +3.3
  Mar 11, 2011 100   Dayton L 67-68 73%     24 - 7 +3.4 +2.4 +2.0
Projected Record 24.0 - 7.0 15.0 - 1.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 100.0% 96.3% 96.3% 7.2 0.0 3.8 24.0 34.1 23.3 9.4 1.5 0.1 3.7 96.3%
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 96.3% 0.0% 96.3% 7.2 0.0 3.8 24.0 34.1 23.3 9.4 1.5 0.1 3.7 96.3%