Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-Eastern
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
187 Savannah St. 0.0%   19 - 11 14 - 2 19 - 11 14 - 2 -1.3      -5.5 295 +4.2 63 63.0 274 -1.5 192 +3.2 1
196 Norfolk St. 100.0%   16   24 - 8 13 - 3 24 - 8 13 - 3 -1.9      -1.7 224 -0.2 175 71.4 84 +3.2 130 +0.6 2
222 NC Central 0.0%   13 - 15 10 - 6 13 - 15 10 - 6 -3.3      -3.6 274 +0.3 163 67.4 171 -5.6 256 -5.0 5
242 Delaware St. 0.0%   13 - 14 12 - 4 13 - 14 12 - 4 -4.6      -0.8 194 -3.8 277 58.1 329 -5.3 250 -1.2 3
257 Bethune-Cookman 0.0%   16 - 17 11 - 5 16 - 17 11 - 5 -5.7      -0.4 179 -5.3 305 61.9 292 -5.5 255 -3.1 4
266 Morgan St. 0.0%   9 - 20 6 - 10 9 - 20 6 - 10 -6.2      -3.3 264 -2.9 261 70.2 106 -9.8 300 -10.9 11
277 Coppin St. 0.0%   10 - 16 9 - 7 10 - 16 9 - 7 -6.9      +2.4 105 -9.2 340 73.6 46 -8.0 288 -6.0 6
288 Hampton 0.0%   12 - 21 6 - 10 12 - 21 6 - 10 -7.5      -7.7 319 +0.2 168 71.8 74 -9.0 296 -10.7 10
303 N.C. A&T 0.0%   9 - 20 7 - 9 9 - 20 7 - 9 -9.3      -6.5 307 -2.8 260 75.1 34 -9.9 301 -9.1 7
311 Howard 0.0%   9 - 21 6 - 10 9 - 21 6 - 10 -11.0      -8.4 326 -2.6 256 68.3 143 -9.3 298 -10.6 9
318 Florida A&M 0.0%   8 - 23 6 - 10 8 - 23 6 - 10 -11.9      -6.6 308 -5.3 304 75.2 33 -11.2 314 -10.5 8
327 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0%   6 - 23 4 - 12 6 - 23 4 - 12 -12.8      -10.9 341 -1.9 228 71.3 85 -11.8 315 -12.7 12
343 South Carolina St. 0.0%   3 - 26 0 - 16 3 - 26 0 - 16 -17.9      -7.7 318 -10.2 342 75.3 32 -19.0 339 -26.2 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th
Savannah St. 1.0 100.0
Norfolk St. 2.0 100.0
NC Central 5.0 100.0
Delaware St. 3.0 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 4.0 100.0
Morgan St. 8.0 100.0
Coppin St. 6.0 100.0
Hampton 8.0 100.0
N.C. A&T 7.0 100.0
Howard 8.0 100.0
Florida A&M 8.0 100.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 12.0 100.0
South Carolina St. 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Savannah St. 14 - 2 100.0
Norfolk St. 13 - 3 100.0
NC Central 10 - 6 100.0
Delaware St. 12 - 4 100.0
Bethune-Cookman 11 - 5 100.0
Morgan St. 6 - 10 100.0
Coppin St. 9 - 7 100.0
Hampton 6 - 10 100.0
N.C. A&T 7 - 9 100.0
Howard 6 - 10 100.0
Florida A&M 6 - 10 100.0
Maryland Eastern Shore 4 - 12 100.0
South Carolina St. 0 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Savannah St. 100.0% 100.0
Norfolk St.
NC Central
Delaware St.
Bethune-Cookman
Morgan St.
Coppin St.
Hampton
N.C. A&T
Howard
Florida A&M
Maryland Eastern Shore
South Carolina St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Savannah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Norfolk St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.0 15.4 84.5
NC Central 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Morgan St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Howard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Savannah St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Norfolk St. 100.0% 46.4% 69.8% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NC Central 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bethune-Cookman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Coppin St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hampton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
N.C. A&T 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Howard 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Florida A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 69.8% 0.7 30.2 69.8
2nd Round 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0