Pre-tourney Rankings
Projected NCAA Tournament Seeding
2011-12


Compare with others at bracketmatrix.com

View: Probabilistic Seeding


Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
1  Kentucky At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Syracuse At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  North Carolina At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
1  Michigan St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Kansas At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Ohio St. At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
2  Missouri Auto 100.0% 100.0%
2  Duke At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Baylor At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Marquette At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Indiana At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
3  Michigan At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Wisconsin At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
4  Florida St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
4  Wichita St. At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
4  Louisville Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  Georgetown At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
5  Vanderbilt Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  Memphis Auto 100.0% 100.0%
5  New Mexico Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  Temple At-Large 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
6  Florida At-Large 99.8% 99.8% 99.8%
6  Murray St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
6  UNLV At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
7  San Diego St. At-Large 99.8% 99.8% 99.8%
7  Cincinnati At-Large 99.9% 99.9% 99.9%
7  Creighton Auto 100.0% 100.0%
7  Notre Dame At-Large 99.6% 99.6% 99.6%
8  Iowa St. At-Large 98.5% 98.5% 98.5%
8  Gonzaga At-Large 99.0% 99.0% 99.0%
8  St. Mary's Auto 100.0% 100.0%
8  Kansas St. At-Large 98.9% 98.9% 98.9%
Seed Team Bid Type Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
9  Connecticut At-Large 97.6% 97.6% 97.6%
9  Purdue At-Large 97.4% 97.4% 97.4%
9  Saint Louis At-Large 96.0% 96.0% 96.0%
9  Alabama At-Large 98.0% 98.0% 98.0%
10  Southern Miss At-Large 93.0% 93.0% 93.0%
10  Virginia At-Large 96.1% 96.1% 96.1%
10  West Virginia At-Large 88.0% 88.0% 88.0%
10  Xavier At-Large 84.5% 84.5% 84.5%
11  California At-Large 89.2% 89.2% 89.2%
11  Texas At-Large 81.2% 81.2% 81.2%
11  Colorado St. At-Large 71.2% 71.2% 71.2%
11  Seton Hall At-Large 53.2% 53.2% 53.2%
11  North Carolina St. At-Large 69.7% 69.7% 69.7%
12  BYU At-Large 63.8% 63.8% 63.8%
12  Mississippi St. At-Large 36.5% 36.5% 36.5%
12  Virginia Commonwealth Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Harvard Auto 100.0% 100.0%
12  Colorado Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Ohio Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Long Beach St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  Belmont Auto 100.0% 100.0%
13  St. Bonaventure Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  New Mexico St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Davidson Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  South Dakota St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
14  Montana Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Loyola Maryland Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  Lehigh Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  LIU Brooklyn Auto 100.0% 100.0%
15  UNC Asheville Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Lamar Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Detroit Mercy Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Norfolk St. Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Vermont Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Western Kentucky Auto 100.0% 100.0%
16  Mississippi Valley Auto 100.0% 100.0%



Bubble Teams - Last at Large Teams

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Xavier 84.5% 84.5% 84.5%
Texas 81.2% 81.2% 81.2%
Colorado St. 71.2% 71.2% 71.2%
North Carolina St. 69.7% 69.7% 69.7%
BYU 63.8% 63.8% 63.8%
Seton Hall 53.2% 53.2% 53.2%
Mississippi St. 36.5% 36.5% 36.5%


Bubble Teams - First Teams Out

Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Marshall 34.7% 34.7% 34.7%
Miami (FL) 25.6% 25.6% 25.6%
Oregon 23.1% 23.1% 23.1%
South Florida 22.5% 22.5% 22.5%
Tennessee 20.2% 20.2% 20.2%
Dayton 19.9% 19.9% 19.9%
Iona 17.2% 17.2% 17.2%
Mississippi 16.2% 16.2% 16.2%
Middle Tennessee 14.7% 14.7% 14.7%
Drexel 14.6% 14.6% 14.6%
Saint Joseph's 13.0% 13.0% 13.0%
Washington 11.1% 11.1% 11.1%
Oral Roberts 10.5% 10.5% 10.5%
Central Florida 8.4% 8.4% 8.4%
Nevada 7.6% 7.6% 7.6%
Arizona 5.6% 5.6% 5.6%
Massachusetts 5.5% 5.5% 5.5%
Northwestern 5.3% 5.3% 5.3%
Illinois 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
Minnesota 3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
Akron 2.5% 2.5% 2.5%
Northern Iowa 1.4% 1.4% 1.4%
Stanford 1.2% 1.2% 1.2%
LSU 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
La Salle 0.7% 0.7% 0.7%
Cleveland St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Wyoming 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
George Mason 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Team Bid Chance Auto-Chance At-Large Chance At-Large If Not Auto
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wagner 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%